Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 14:30
Full Time
3:1
HT: 0 - 1

Match Timeline

1'
J. Marques⚽
Normal Goal → J. Livolant
49'
Figueiredo⚽
Normal Goal → Chiquinho
58'
Cassiano🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Mendes
63'
Chiquinho⚽
Normal Goal
68'
J. Livolant🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Livramento
69'
J. Marques🔄
Substitution 3 → L. Ofori
69'
S. Perez🔄
Substitution 4 → I. Mohamed
75'
Sandro Lima🔄
Substitution 1 → Marezi
82'
D. Sousa🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Geraldes
83'
Rhaldney⚽
Normal Goal → Marezi
87'
Rhaldney🔄
Substitution 2 → C. Nuozzi
87'
Figueiredo🔄
Substitution 3 → V. Moreira
90+3'
Lincoln🔄
Substitution 4 → D. Gui
90+3'
Chiquinho🔄
Substitution 5 → Z. Kassary

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal5
11Total Shots15
2Blocked Shots5
6Shots insidebox8
5Shots outsidebox7
10Fouls15
9Corner Kicks11
0Offsides1
60Ball Possession40
4Goalkeeper Saves3
366Total passes238
289Passes accurate144
79Passes %61
1.83expected_goals0.65
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

AlvercaAlverca1:1

Starting XI

31Matheus MendesG
33B. MeupiyouD
12I. JamesM
10ChiquinhoF
5S. GomezD
18LincolnM
91Sandro LimaF
4NavesD
26RhaldneyM
20FigueiredoF
2N. TouaiziM

Casa PiaCasa Pia1:1

Starting XI

1P. SequeiraG
43D. SousaD
75P. RosasM
11J. MarquesF
3KalyD
8R. BritoM
90CassianoF
4J. GoulartD
42S. PerezM
29J. LivolantF
72G. LarrazabalM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Alverca
Alverca
Form: W-L-D-D-D
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Form: D-L-D-D-L
Record
1 W
6 D
3 L
•
2 W
5 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.0
Scored
vs
1.0
Scored
1.8
Conceded
vs
1.7
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
80%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:1.5
Away:2.0
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:0.0
Conceded
Home:1.6
Away:1.8

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Alverca versus Casa Pia: long term ELO, before the match
AlvercaHomeRatingCasa PiaAway
Strength
1,526.9Overall1,509.7
1,516.9Match venue1,480.8
1,516.9At home1,516.9
1,491.5Away1,480.8
Attack & defence
1,474.3Attack1,456.6
1,523.3Defence1,524.2
1,457.1Home attack1,484.5
1,504.3Away attack1,436.4
1,522.1Home defence1,541.5
1,493.5Away defence1,513.1
Match profile
1,516.7Goal environment1,465
1,490Home goals1,436.7
1,526.7Away goals1,528.3
1,477.6Possession1,464.3
Specialist ratings
1,523.7Set-piece attack1,424.3
1,522.4Set-piece defence1,426.5
1,522.1Close games1,558.4
1,522.8Winning margin1,490.5

Match venue compares Alverca at home with Casa Pia away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Alverca vs Casa Pia - Match Preview
Recommendation:DRAW
Odds:3.20
Expected Value:+21.6%
Confidence:6

Hmmm, a match of two teams, this is. Alverca and Casa Pia, they are. In the Primeira Liga, they compete. Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. This match, a draw is likely, it seems. Look at the form, you must. Alverca at home, 0% win rate in last 4 games, the stats say. Three draws, one loss, they have. 0.75 goals scored per game at home, they manage. A defensive struggle, it is. Casa Pia away, 0% win rate in last 5 games, the data shows. Two draws, three losses, they have. 0.00 goals scored per game away, they have. A scoring drought, it is. Both teams, draw specialists they are. Alverca: 6 draws in last 10 games. Casa Pia: 5 draws in last 10 games. In the league table, Casa Pia has 10 draws in 27 games. Alverca has 8 draws in 28 games. A high probability of a stalemate, this suggests. Head-to-head, two matches played. One win each, zero draws, the record shows. But recent form, it tells a different story. Alverca home venue: 0% win rate. Casa Pia away venue: 0% win rate. A draw, the most likely outcome, it is. Odds for the Draw: 3.20. Implied probability: 31.25%. Estimated probability: 38%. Edge: 6.75%. This meets the value threshold, it does. Goal Expectancies: Home 1.27, Away 1.25. Total 2.52 goals. A tight game, this will be. Under 2.5 Goals odds 1.67, but edge is only 3.62%. Not enough value, it is not. BTTS No odds 1.80, edge 3.6%. Not enough value, it is not. So, the Draw is the choice. Confidence 6/10. Probability of success 38%. Odds 3.20. Key Points: - Alverca Home: 0% win rate (last 4 games). - Casa Pia Away: 0% win rate (last 5 games). - Alverca: 6 draws in last 10 games. - Casa Pia: 5 draws in last 10 games. - Draw Odds: 3.20. - Estimated Draw Probability: 38%. - Edge: 6.75%. A draw, the prediction is. Bet wisely, you should.

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