Sun, 10 May 2026, 17:00
Full Time
3:1
HT: 1 - 0

Match Timeline

23'
Roni
Normal Goal
49'
Mateus Pivo🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Galletto
53'
D. Gul
Normal Goal → B. Sainz
58'
Roni
Normal Goal → G. Neiva
59'
Roni🟨
Yellow Card
59'
S. Fofana🔄
Substitution 1 → V. Froholdt
59'
B. Sainz🔄
Substitution 2 → William Gomes
61'
Dominik Prpić🟨
Yellow Card
68'
G. Neiva🔄
Substitution 2 → Tomane
68'
A. Varela🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Silva
68'
Pepê🔄
Substitution 4 → O. Pietuszewski
76'
G. Mendonca🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Santos
80'
A. Santos
Normal Goal → T. Akinsola
81'
R. Mora🔄
Substitution 5 → G. Veiga
85'
Pedro Lima🟨
Yellow Card
90+2'
Dominik Prpić🟨
Yellow Card
90+2'
Dominik Prpić🟥
Red Card

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal6
9Total Shots20
2Blocked Shots10
6Shots insidebox16
3Shots outsidebox4
7Fouls9
3Corner Kicks7
1Offsides1
31Ball Possession69
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
4Goalkeeper Saves2
252Total passes550
171Passes accurate467
68Passes %85
0.75expected_goals3.06
-2.16goals_prevented-2.16

Starting Lineups

AVSAVS1:1

Starting XI

1AdrielG
12D. RivasD
70RoniM
21G. NeivaM
20D. DuarteF
3Paulo VitorD
23G. MendoncaM
8Pedro LimaM
42C. DevenishD
11T. AkinsolaM
97Mateus PivoD

FC PortoFC Porto1:1

Starting XI

14Claudio RamosG
74F. MouraD
86R. MoraM
17B. SainzF
21D. PrpicD
22A. VarelaM
27D. GulF
3Thiago SilvaD
42S. FofanaM
11PepêF
20A. CostaD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

AVS
AVS
Form: W-D-D-D-L
FC Porto
FC Porto
Form: W-W-D-W-L
Record
1 W
6 D
3 L
6 W
3 D
1 L
Goals Per Game
0.6
Scored
vs
1.5
Scored
1.2
Conceded
vs
0.7
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.5
Away:0.7
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.5
Scored
Home:1.3
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:0.5
Away:1.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1419
Average
1870
Strong
Short Term Elo Rating
1399
↓ Momentum (-20)
1915
↑ Momentum (+45)
Expected Outcome
6%
Home Win
17%
Draw
77%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1405
Attack
1665
1470
Defence
1750
Recent Form
1373
Attack
1659
1502
Defence
1766
Post-Match Changes
+22
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

AVS vs FC Porto: Under 2.5 Goals - Yoda's Wise Pick
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:2.50
Expected Value:+70.0%
Confidence:7

Listen closely, seeker of value. The path of the ball, we must see. In the Primeira Liga, AVS at the bottom dwells. 17 points, they possess after 32 games. 2 wins, 11 draws, 19 losses, their record shows. At their home ground, goals they struggle to find. 0.50 per game, they score. Conceding 0.75, they do. A fortress, their defense is not. 30% clean sheets, they keep. 36.2% possession, they hold. 11.50 shots, they take, but 3.00 on target only. Accuracy, lacking it is. FC Porto, at the summit they rest. 85 points, they hold. 27 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss, their record stands. Away from home, 1.75 goals they produce. 0.70 they concede. 40% clean sheets, they maintain. 48.2% possession, they command. 13.90 shots, they take, 4.20 on target. Precision, they have. Head-to-head, the past speaks clearly. Three times they met, three times Porto prevailed. 0-2, 0-2, 0-5. Not a single goal AVS scored. The will to fight, they lack. Recent form, we examine. AVS last 10 games: 1 win, 6 draws, 3 losses. 0.90 points per game. 6 goals scored, 12 conceded. 30% clean sheets. 71.6% pass accuracy, they show. 3.90 corners, they win. 14.60 fouls, they commit. FC Porto last 10 games: 6 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss. 2.10 points per game. 15 goals scored, 7 conceded. 40% clean sheets. 82.4% pass accuracy, they display. 5.20 corners, they claim. 14.10 fouls, they commit. The stars of the pitch align for a controlled contest. Expected goals, 2.0 is the number. Under 2.5 goals, the path of wisdom suggests. Odds of 2.50, value there is. 68% probability, our calculations show. Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. Key Points: - AVS sits 18th with 17 points, averaging 0.50 goals at home and 0.75 conceded. - FC Porto leads the league with 85 points, averaging 1.75 goals away and 0.70 conceded. - In all 3 previous meetings, FC Porto won, with AVS failing to score a single goal. - With an expected goal total of 2.0, Under 2.5 Goals offers strong value at 2.50 odds. The force of the game pulls toward a low-scoring result. Under 2.5 Goals, our recommendation is.

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