Skip to main content

Match analysis

SpainSegunda División

Cultural Leonesa vs AD Ceuta FC

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Segunda División fixture.

Match Timeline

13'
Jamelli
Penalty
23'
Konrad de la Fuente🟨
Yellow Card
60'
K. de la Fuente🔄
Substitution 1 → K. Kone
65'
M. Justo🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Collado
65'
R. Sobrino🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Ribeiro
70'
Thiago Ojeda🟨
Yellow Card
74'
M. Diallo Selu🔄
Substitution 3 → P. Cortes
82'
R. Hinojo🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Larios
82'
L. Chacon🔄
Substitution 5 → D. Paraschiv
82'
K. Zalazar🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Bassinga
82'
Jamelli🔄
Substitution 3 → Y. Bodiger
82'
A. Ahmed🔄
Substitution 4 → S. Sanchez
89'
M. Fernandez Sanchez🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Caparros
90+4'
Matia Barzić🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal3
15Total Shots5
6Blocked Shots1
8Shots insidebox5
7Shots outsidebox0
15Fouls11
8Corner Kicks2
1Offsides3
67Ball Possession33
2Yellow Cards1
0Goalkeeper Saves2
597Total passes301
508Passes accurate233
85Passes %77

Tipster previews (3)

PajimonWon

Low-Scoring Affair Expected at Leonesa

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
68%
Odds
1.53
Model EV
+4.0%

Right then, let's get straight to the meat of this one. We've got Cultural Leonesa sitting 17th with 11 points hosting AD Ceuta FC in 10th with 15 points. On paper, there's a clear gap between these sides, but football's played on the pitch, not the league table. Looking at…

Value VinnyWon

Leonesa vs Ceuta: Value Found in Low-Scoring Affair

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
68%
Odds
1.53
Model EV
+4.0%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. Cultural Leonesa sits 17th in the table with 11 points, while AD Ceuta FC occupies 10th with 15 points. On paper, this looks like a mismatch, but the data tells a different story. The key statistical anomaly here is…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Cultural Leonesa

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

AD Ceuta FC

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Per game

Cultural Leonesa at home vs AD Ceuta FC away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Segunda División

Overall edge
+52AD Ceuta FC
Venue edge
+8Cultural Leonesa
Rating period
Match snapshot
Cultural Leonesa versus AD Ceuta FC: long term Elo, before the match
Cultural LeonesaHomeRatingAD Ceuta FCAway
Strength
1,484Overall1,537
1,499Match venue1,491
1,499At home1,533
1,463Away1,491
Attack & defence
1,482Attack1,475
1,513Defence1,543
1,466Home attack1,499
1,498Away attack1,480
1,525Home defence1,540
1,474Away defence1,496
Match profile
1,545Goal environment1,490
1,498Home goals1,485
1,547Away goals1,505
1,492Possession1,507
Specialist ratings
1,495Set-piece attack1,499
1,495Set-piece defence1,499
1,485Close games1,529
1,486Winning margin1,536

Match venue compares Cultural Leonesa at home with AD Ceuta FC away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Cultural LeonesaCultural Leonesa1:1

Starting XI

13Édgar BadíaG
21Roger HinojoD
10Luis ChacónM
23Selu DialloF
36Matia BarzićD
14BichoM
9Manu JustoF
4Rodri SuárezD
28Thiago OjedaM
17Ivan CaleroD
19Rubén SobrinoM

AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1:1

Starting XI

13Guillermo VallejoG
3Jose MatosD
19Rubén DíezM
18Konrad de la FuenteF
15Diego GonzálezD
5Youness LachhabM
9Marcos FernándezF
6Carlos HernándezD
8Kuki ZalazarM
7Aisar AhmedF
23AnuarD