Sat, 25 Oct 2025, 10:00
Segunda Liga
Portugal
Portugal
Full Time

Match Timeline

17'
Vitor Hugo🟥
Red Card
23'
João Silva🔄
Substitution 1 → Ricardo Moura
25'
Josué Sá🟨
Yellow Card
26'
Josué Sá🟨
Yellow Card
26'
Josué Sá🟥
Red Card
27'
Tiago Mesquita🟨
Yellow Card
41'
Flavio Goncalves
Normal Goal → Rodrigo Dias
45+4'
Rafael Nel🟨
Yellow Card
45+9'
Rafael Nel
Normal Goal → José Silva
46'
Flavio Goncalves🔄
Substitution 1 → Rafael Besugo
46'
Rafael Nel🔄
Substitution 2 → Gabriel Silva
46'
Tiago Dias🔄
Substitution 2 → Ibrahim Alhassan Abdullahi
46'
Arsénio Nunes🔄
Substitution 3 → Silvério Junio
54'
José Silva
Normal Goal → Paulo Cardoso
60'
David Moreira🔄
Substitution 3 → Rafael Pontelo
60'
Samuel Justo🔄
Substitution 4 → Mauro Couto
61'
Miguel Teixeira🔄
Substitution 4 → Fabinho
64'
Gabriel Silva
Normal Goal
68'
José Silva🔄
Substitution 5 → Daniel Costa
77'
Luís Rocha🟨
Yellow Card
81'
Tiago Mesquita🔄
Substitution 5 → Gonçalo Braga
83'
Gabriel Silva🟨
Yellow Card
86'
Daniel Costa🟨
Yellow Card
90+3'
Rafael Besugo🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards2

Starting Lineups

Sporting CP BSporting CP B1:1

Starting XI

99Francisco SilvaG
50Rodrigo DiasD
88Manuel MendonçaM
90Rafael NelF
45David MoreiraD
73Eduardo FelicíssimoM
58Flavio GoncalvesF
49RômuloD
96Samuel JustoM
55José SilvaD
87Paulo CardosoM

Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa1:1

Starting XI

32Vitor HugoG
16Luís RochaD
77Tiago DiasM
11Miguel PereiraF
4Dylan CollardD
8Jose Campelo DoriaM
9João SilvaF
3Josué SáD
88Miguel TeixeiraM
12Arsénio NunesF
28Tiago MesquitaD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Sporting CP B
Sporting CP B
Form: W-L-W-W-L
Lusitânia Lourosa
Lusitânia Lourosa
Form: W-L-W-W-D
Record
8 W
0 D
2 L
5 W
3 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
1.8
Scored
vs
1.8
Scored
0.6
Conceded
vs
1.0
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
50%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
30%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.5
Away:2.0
Conceded
Home:0.3
Away:0.8
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:2.4
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1483
Average
1495
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1480
↓ Momentum (-3)
1478
↓ Momentum (-17)
Expected Outcome
32%
Home Win
34%
Draw
34%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1511
Attack
1480
1542
Defence
1496
Recent Form
1501
Attack
1454
1597
Defence
1482
Post-Match Changes
+13
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Wisdom of the Force Guides This Encounter
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:1.67
Expected Value:+8.6%

In the grand tapestry of the Segunda Liga, two paths converge. Sporting CP B, perched atop the table like a wise master on his meditation rock, brings forth the power of 15 points from 7 encounters. Their defensive fortress has conceded but 0.6 goals per game, with clean sheets in half their recent battles. Yet even the strongest stumble - narrow defeats to Maritimo and Oliveirense remind us that perfection, the Jedi seeks but rarely finds. Lusitânia Lourosa, though lower in the standings at 11th, carries the wisdom of the traveler. Away from home, they transform like a Padawan discovering their true potential - 80% win rate on their journeys, with 2.4 goals flowing per away game. Victories at Feirense and Maritimo speak of a team that finds strength when far from familiar grounds. The Force of history balances this encounter - each has claimed victory once in their two meetings. Sporting won 1-0 on their home soil, while Lusitânia prevailed 2-1 away. Patterns emerge from the data: under 2.5 goals have graced 70% of Sporting's recent contests and 60% of Lusitânia's. The defensive discipline both sides exhibit suggests a contest of strategy rather than chaos. Consider the rest advantage - Sporting CP B has had 20 days to meditate and prepare, while Lusitânia arrives with but 6 days since their last battle. In the physical realm, such advantages often prove decisive. The path of goals appears narrow here. Sporting's defensive resolve, combined with the natural caution that comes with important league encounters, points toward a contest where quality chances may be scarce. The odds of 1.67 for under 2.5 goals resonate with the wisdom of the statistics. Key Points: - Sporting CP B boasts league-best defense (0.6 goals conceded per game) - Lusitânia Lourosa has exceptional away form (80% win rate, 2.4 goals per game) - Under 2.5 goals occurred in 70% of Sporting's recent matches - Both teams have shown defensive solidity with high clean sheet percentages - Sporting CP B enjoys significant rest advantage (20 days vs 6 days) - Head-to-head record shows one win each in competitive encounters The Force suggests this battle will be won through defensive mastery rather than offensive fireworks. Patience and discipline shall prevail.

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📝 Match Preview

Top Dogs Look to Bark at Home
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.10
Expected Value:+21.8%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Sporting CP B are sitting pretty at the top of the Segunda Liga table, and frankly, they're playing like it. Five wins from seven games, scoring for fun and keeping things tight at the back. They've been banging in 1.8 goals per game while only letting in 0.6 - that's proper stuff, that is. Their recent form's been top-notch too. They stuffed Leixoes 4-0 away from home, smashed Pacos Ferreira 3-0 at home, and even when they lost, it was only by the odd goal against decent sides like Maritimo and Oliveirense. The lads are fresh as a daisy too - 20 days since their last game, so they'll be raring to go. Now, Lusitânia Lourosa aren't mugs, mind you. They're sitting mid-table and have been decent on their travels, winning 80% of their away games this season. They score plenty too - 1.8 per game - and they've had some big results like that 5-0 cup win and a 2-1 victory at Feirense. But here's the thing - they've only had 6 days rest and played a cup game in that time. They might be running on fumes a bit. When these two met last season, it was one each - Sporting won 1-0 at home, Lourosa won 2-1 away. But Sporting CP B are a different beast this time around. They're top of the league for a reason, and at home, they've been winning 75% of their games. The bookies have Sporting at 2.10 to win, which seems a bit generous to me. They're the form team, they're at home, they're well-rested, and they're facing a team that's had less time to recover. Sometimes the simple bet is the best one, and this looks like one of those times. Key Points: - Sporting CP B top of the table with 15 points from 7 games - Home side have 80% win rate in last 10 games - Sporting CP B well-rested with 20 days since last game - Lusitânia Lourosa only had 6 days rest and played a cup match - Head-to-head split 1-1, but Sporting won the home fixture 1-0 - Sporting CP B concede just 0.6 goals per game - Both teams score 1.8 goals per game on average Summary: Sporting CP B are flying high at the top of the table and look too strong for a Lusitânia side that might be feeling the effects of a quick turnaround. The home win at 2.10 looks like decent value to me.

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📝 Match Preview

Table-Toppers Sporting B Host Resilient Lourosa
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.10
Expected Value:+15.5%

Ag man, this one's lekker! Sporting CP B are sitting pretty at the top of the Segunda Liga table with 15 points from 7 games, and they're hosting a Lusitânia Lourosa side that's been punching above their weight away from home. Let me break it down for you boet! Sporting B have been firing on all cylinders lately, winning 8 of their last 10 games (80% win rate). They just smashed Leixoes 4-0 away from home, showing they can score goals for days. At home, they're winning 75% of their games and keeping it tight at the back with only 0.25 goals conceded per home game. That's tighter than a boerewors on the braai! Now, Lusitânia Lourosa - these okes have been sneaky good on the road, winning 80% of their away games. They just put 2 past Resende in the cup and scored 2 at Feirense. But here's the thing - they've only had 6 days rest while Sporting B have been chilling for 20 days. That could make a difference, especially with Sporting's defense being so solid. The head-to-head is split 1-1, but Sporting won 1-0 at home last time they met. Both teams score about 1.8 goals per game, but Sporting's defense is much tighter (0.60 vs 1.00 conceded). With Sporting sitting top and Lourosa in 11th, the form table tells a clear story. The odds at 2.10 for the home win look pretty good value for a team that's dominating the league and playing at home. Sure, Lourosa's away form is impressive, but they haven't faced a team as quality as Sporting B on their travels yet.

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📝 Match Preview

Big O's Goal Fest Forecast: Lions vs Lourosa
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:2.15
Expected Value:+18.3%

Alright, goal lovers! The Big O is here to bring you the goods, and this Segunda Liga clash has all the ingredients for a spectacular scoring display. Sporting CP B, sitting pretty at the top of the table, have been absolutely ruthless lately with an 80% win rate and averaging 1.8 goals per game. Their recent 4-0 demolition of Leixoes shows they're not just winning - they're doing it with style! But don't sleep on Lusitânia Lourosa! These visitors have been scoring machines on their travels, netting a whopping 2.4 goals per game away from home. Their recent form includes a 5-0 thrashing of Castrense in the cup, proving they can absolutely explode on any given day. With both teams averaging 1.8 goals scored per game overall, we're looking at two sides who love to find the back of the net. The head-to-head record might be evenly split at 1-1, but the last meeting saw three goals, and both teams have shown they can be vulnerable defensively. Sporting CP B might have kept 50% clean sheets, but they've also shown they can be involved in shootouts. Lourosa, meanwhile, have both teams scoring in 60% of their recent matches - music to The Big O's ears! With goal expectancies sitting at 1.25 for the home side and 1.32 for the visitors, we're looking at a projected 2.57 goals. That's well over the 2.5 line, and at odds of 2.15, The Big O sees tremendous value here. Both teams have everything to play for - Sporting CP B want to maintain their position at the summit, while Lourosa are pushing for European spots.

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📝 Match Preview

Sporting CP B's Defensive Solidity Key to Low-Scoring Affair
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:1.67
Expected Value:+13.6%

This Segunda Liga clash pits the league leaders Sporting CP B against mid-table Lusitânia Lourosa, with the home side's defensive prowess likely to dictate the tempo and outcome. Sporting CP B sit atop the table with 15 points from 7 matches, boasting an impressive 5-0-2 record that underscores their consistency this season. Their recent form has been particularly formidable, with 8 wins in their last 10 matches and an exceptional 80% win rate. The statistics reveal a team built on defensive foundations. Sporting CP B have conceded just 0.60 goals per game over their last 10 matches while keeping clean sheets in 50% of those contests. Their recent results demonstrate this solidity emphatically - a commanding 4-0 victory at Leixoes, a 3-0 home win against Pacos Ferreira, and a narrow 1-0 victory over União de Leiria. Even their two defeats were tight 0-1 losses against Maritimo and Oliveirense, showing they rarely get blown out. Lusitânia Lourosa arrive with respectable form of their own, having won 5 of their last 10 matches. However, their league position of 11th reflects a more inconsistent campaign with 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses from 7 games. Interestingly, they've shown better form away from home with an 80% win rate in their last 5 away matches, including impressive victories at Feirense (2-1) and Maritimo (1-0). Yet they've also shown vulnerability, suffering a 3-1 defeat at Felgueiras 1932 and a 2-1 home loss to Farense. The head-to-head record is evenly split with one win each, though Sporting CP B won their only home encounter 1-0. Both teams average 1.80 goals scored per game, but the key difference lies in defense - Sporting CP B concede just 0.60 goals per game compared to Lourosa's 1.00. With Sporting CP B's home advantage and defensive record, combined with odds that don't fully reflect their league-leading status, the value points toward a controlled, low-scoring encounter where the home side's organization should prevail.

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📝 Match Preview

Lourosa Ready to Bite Top Dogs
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:3.40
Expected Value:+19.0%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While everyone's looking at the league leaders Sporting CP B sitting pretty at the top, my eyes are fixed on the little puppy with a mighty bite - Lusitânia Lourosa! 🐾 Now, I know what you're thinking. Sporting is 1st, Lourosa is 11th, case closed, right? Wrong! Let me tell you why this underdog has some serious bark to back up its bite. Look at those away numbers - an incredible 80% win rate on the road! That's not just good, that's spectacular. They're averaging 2.4 goals per game away from home, which is more than Sporting manages at their own den (1.5). But here's where it gets really exciting for us underdog lovers. Lourosa has already proven they can take down the big guns this season. Remember that 1-0 victory at Maritimo? That's the 3rd place team! And they went to Feirense (6th place) and won 2-1. These aren't fluke results - this team has genuine quality when they travel. The head-to-head tells us everything we need to know too. Last time these two met, Lourosa walked away with a 2-1 victory. They know how to beat Sporting, and they've done it recently. Sure, Sporting has been impressive at home with that 75% win rate, but they're not invincible. They've already lost twice in the league this season, including that 0-1 defeat to Maritimo at home. And let's not forget Lourosa comes into this fresh off a 2-0 cup victory, full of confidence. The odds of 3.40 for an away win? That's beautiful value in my book! The market is sleeping on this traveling giant, and that's exactly where we find our profitable opportunities. When you combine Lourosa's exceptional away form, their proven ability to beat top teams, and those generous odds, you have all the ingredients for a classic underdog victory. Time to back the little puppy that can! 🐕

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