Sat, 2 May 2026, 13:00
Segunda Liga
Portugal
Portugal
Full Time

Match Timeline

32'
Álvaro Zamora🟨
Yellow Card
40'
Thio🟨
Yellow Card
44'
Luís Silva🟨
Yellow Card
55'
L. Rocha🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Sampaio
66'
Thio🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Loppy
68'
Robinho🟨
Yellow Card
70'
João Guilherme🟨
Yellow Card
72'
Damien Loppy🟨
Yellow Card
75'
L. Silva🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Ceitil
75'
C. Kahraman🔄
Substitution 2 → N. Mortimer
75'
Joao Guilherme🔄
Substitution 3 → B. Silva
81'
Moha Moukhliss🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Bastunov
81'
Y. Fortune🔄
Substitution 4 → Y. Kitala
81'
O. Godwin🔄
Substitution 5 → Italo Henrique
84'
Ítalo🟨
Yellow Card
85'
A. Zamora🔄
Substitution 4 → D. Steczyk
85'
Andre Clovis🔄
Substitution 5 → L. Gohi

Match Statistics

4Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0

Starting Lineups

Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu1:1

Starting XI

75D. GrilG
57G. CostaD
14S. MesseguemM
32A. ZamoraM
33Andre ClovisF
41A. CorreiaD
7L. SilvaM
17C. KahramanM
44R. PereiraD
31Joao GuilhermeM
9Robinho2:4

VizelaVizelaUnknown

Starting XI

1A. GomisG
77JojoD
13L. RochaD
55A. HristovD
20O. GodwinD
5Moha MoukhlissM
22A. BusnicM
11ThioM
24H. MorschelM
36M. LacavaF
23Y. FortuneF

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Academico Viseu
Academico Viseu
Form: D-W-L-L-W
Vizela
Vizela
Form: W-L-L-L-W
Record
6 W
1 D
3 L
6 W
0 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
2.0
Scored
vs
1.3
Scored
0.9
Conceded
vs
1.4
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
40%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.6
Away:1.4
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.0
Scored
Home:1.5
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:2.0
Away:0.5

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1600
Good
1557
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1660
↑ Momentum (+59)
1528
↓ Momentum (-30)
Expected Outcome
38%
Home Win
32%
Draw
30%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1545
Attack
1496
1574
Defence
1548
Recent Form
1612
Attack
1484
1581
Defence
1500
Post-Match Changes
-1
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Academico Viseu vs Vizela: Backing the Underdog
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:3.51
Expected Value:+22.9%
Confidence:60

The Segunda Liga clash between Academico Viseu and Vizela promises a fascinating tactical battle, but as a tipster who always roots for the overlooked, my eyes are firmly on the visitors. While Viseu sits comfortably in second place with 54 points, Vizela is just behind in fifth with 47 points, and the market has set them as clear underdogs at 3.51. However, looking past the table position reveals hidden value in the away side. Academico Viseu has been formidable at home, boasting an 80% win rate over their last five home fixtures, averaging 2.60 goals scored and conceding just 0.80 per game. Their recent home results include convincing wins against Feirense (3-0), Leixoes (3-1), Maritimo (3-1), and Oliveirense (4-1). Despite this strong home record, their overall points trend is showing a slight decline, and their last outing was a goalless draw against Farense. Vizela, on the other hand, presents a compelling underdog case. Over their last four away games, they have won three, maintaining a 75% win rate on the road. Crucially, their defensive organization away from home has been exceptional, conceding an average of just 0.50 goals per game. Their recent away victories include narrow but hard-fought wins against Feirense (1-0), Penafiel (1-0), Felgueiras 1932 (1-0), and Leixoes (2-1). This defensive solidity away from home directly counters Viseu's attacking threat. The head-to-head history heavily favors a tight, low-scoring affair. In their eight previous meetings, the teams have drawn four times, with Vizela securing three wins to Viseu's single victory. The average goals scored per match in these fixtures is a mere 0.50, and only one of the last eight encounters saw more than 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting ended in a 0-0 stalemate. Given Vizela's rock-solid away defense and the historical tendency for draws or narrow away wins, the visitors are perfectly positioned to snatch three points. **Key Points:** - Vizela boasts a 75% win rate in their last four away games, conceding only 0.50 goals per match. - Head-to-head record shows Vizela has won 3 of 8 meetings, with 4 draws, highlighting their ability to handle Viseu. - Viseu's points trend is slightly declining, while Vizela's defensive metrics away are improving. - Historical matchups are consistently low-scoring, with an average of 0.50 goals for Viseu and 0.88 conceded. - The market prices Vizela at 3.51, offering significant value for a team with such strong away form and H2H success. Summary: Backing the underdog, Vizela away win at 3.51 odds looks like a smart play for value hunters.

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