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Match analysis

EnglandNational League

Rochdale vs Southend

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this National League fixture.

Full time2:1HT 1–1

Match Timeline

40'
G. Scott-Morriss⚽
Normal Goal
44'
K. Gordon⚽
Normal Goal → T. Adebayo-Rowling
56'
I. Henderson🔄
Substitution 1 → E. Dieseruvwe
56'
S. Spasov🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Hopper
57'
L. Chambers-Parillon🔄
Substitution 2 → K. Appiah-Forson
71'
D. Rodney🔄
Substitution 3 → C. Pettit
71'
D. Moss🔄
Substitution 2 → T. Allarakhia
72'
J. Gubbins🔄
Substitution 3 → B. Goodliffe
73'
A. Dallas🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Walker
83'
S. Austin🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Bridge
88'
J. Burger🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Pritchard
90'
H. Gilmour⚽
Normal Goal → J. Pritchard
90+6'
Unknown Player🟨
Yellow Card

Tipster previews (6)

Mr SimpleWon

Rochdale vs Southend: Can the Dale's Fortress Hold?

The pickRochdale win

Chance
58%
Odds
2.02
Model EV
+17.2%

Right then, let's get stuck into this National League top-eight clash. It's second-placed Rochdale, who are absolutely flying, hosting a decent Southend side who've been hard to beat lately. On paper, it's a cracker, but the numbers tell a fascinating story. First up, Rochdale…

PajimonWon

Rochdale's Title Charge Meets Southend Resistance

The pickRochdale win

Chance
55%
Odds
2.02
Model EV
+11.1%

Listen up, braai masters and beer lovers! We've got a proper National League showdown here. Rochdale, sitting pretty in second place, are hunting down York at the top. Southend, comfortably in the playoff mix, are no pushovers. This is the kind of match where winners are made…

Mr CertaintyLost

Rochdale's Iron Defense to Silence Southend

The pickBTTS No

Chance
72%
Odds
2.27
Model EV
+63.4%

When second-placed Rochdale host eighth-placed Southend this Tuesday, we're presented with a classic clash between a defensive juggernaut and a capable but inconsistent attacking unit. The numbers tell a compelling story that demands our attention. Rochdale's recent form is…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Rochdale

8W 1D 1L2.50 pts/game

Southend

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Per game

Rochdale at home vs Southend away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within National League

Overall edge
+84Rochdale
Venue edge
+55Rochdale
Rating period
Match snapshot
Rochdale versus Southend: long term Elo, before the match
RochdaleHomeRatingSouthendAway
Strength
1,672Overall1,587
1,605Match venue1,550
1,605At home1,586
1,603Away1,550
Attack & defence
1,546Attack1,526
1,655Defence1,606
1,567Home attack1,518
1,509Away attack1,500
1,614Home defence1,631
1,622Away defence1,572
Match profile
1,563Goal environment1,428
1,553Home goals1,488
1,510Away goals1,440
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,565Close games1,514
1,696Winning margin1,610

Match venue compares Rochdale at home with Southend away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting lineups

Lineups are not available yet. They are usually confirmed about an hour before kick-off.