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Match analysis

EnglandNational League

Eastleigh vs York

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this National League fixture.

Full time2:4HT 2–1

Match Timeline

25'
O. Pearce⚽
Normal Goal → O. Banks
32'
J. Felix🟨
Yellow Card
35'
L. Skinner⚽
Normal Goal → A. Harris
37'
J. Lundstram🟨
Yellow Card
44'
L. Skinner⚽
Normal Goal → J. Lundstram
50'
O. Banks🟨
Yellow Card
53'
D. Batty🟨
Yellow Card
69'
B. Brookes🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Hewitt
69'
J. Felix🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Nathaniel-George
70'
O. Pearce⚽
Normal Goal → A. Hunt
74'
L. Skinner🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Davis
79'
C. Hewitt⚽
Normal Goal → O. Pearce
79'
M. Kitching🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Fallowfield
82'
J. Stones⚽
Normal Goal → O. Pearce
85'
R. Brindley🔄
Substitution 2 → P. McCallum
86'
O. Pearce🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Fadera

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonLost

Spit Braai Special: Low-Scoring Affair on the Cards?

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
55%
Odds
1.90
Model EV
+4.5%

Right then, let's fire up the braai and look at this National League clash! York might be sitting pretty in 7th place with 27 points, but the form guide tells a different story. Eastleigh, despite being 5 places lower, have actually been picking up more points per game recently…

The Big "O"Won

Goals Galore Expected When York Visits Eastleigh

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
56%
Odds
1.90
Model EV
+6.4%

Alright folks, The Big O here, and I'm sensing fireworks at Eastleigh this weekend! Let's break down why this match has all the ingredients for a goal-fest. First, York has been absolutely buzzing in front of goal lately, averaging 1.80 goals per game over their last 10 matches…

Umery UnderdogLost

Eastleigh Ready to Bite Higher-Placed York

The pickEastleigh win

Chance
30%
Odds
4.00
Model EV
+20.0%

Oh, what a delightful little matchup we have here! While everyone's looking up the table at York sitting pretty in 7th place, I've got my eyes firmly on the underdog puppies at Eastleigh. And let me tell you, there's some real value wagging its tail here! Looking at the recent…

Value VinnyLost

Value Found In The Draw As Eastleigh Host York

The pickDraw

Chance
29%
Odds
3.75
Model EV
+8.8%

The numbers don't lie, and they're screaming value in this National League clash. Let's cut through the noise and look at the mathematical reality. York sits 7th in the table with 27 points and an impressive +16 goal difference, while Eastleigh languishes in 12th with 22 points…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Eastleigh

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

York

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Per game

Eastleigh at home vs York away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within National League

Overall edge
+162York
Venue edge
+55York
Rating period
Match snapshot
Eastleigh versus York: long term Elo, before the match
EastleighHomeRatingYorkAway
Strength
1,473Overall1,635
1,540Match venue1,595
1,540At home1,579
1,426Away1,595
Attack & defence
1,427Attack1,588
1,528Defence1,608
1,488Home attack1,589
1,404Away attack1,526
1,528Home defence1,563
1,507Away defence1,611
Match profile
1,837Goal environment1,617
1,590Home goals1,617
1,747Away goals1,500
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,497Close games1,523
1,466Winning margin1,663

Match venue compares Eastleigh at home with York away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting lineups

Lineups are not available yet. They are usually confirmed about an hour before kick-off.