Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 15:00
Full Time
0:1
HT: 0 - 1

Match Timeline

33'
O. Sanderson⚽
Normal Goal β†’ T. Akinola
42'
R. Maher🟨
Yellow Card
58'
T. TonksπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ B. Milnes
58'
R. MaherπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ H. Sayer
70'
A. BoatswainπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ J. Kelly
70'
S. MolsπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ O. Lynch
70'
D. CreaneyπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ I. Duku
77'
W. Jaaskelainen🟨
Yellow Card
79'
M. WardπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ J. Osude
83'
A. BatesπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ J. Ponticelli
86'
O. Akinola🟨
Yellow Card
88'
O. SandersonπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ J. Forster-Caskey
88'
H. Hollis🟨
Yellow Card

Head-to-Head

πŸ“ˆ Team Form & Statistics

Tamworth
Tamworth
Form: L-L-W-W-W
Woking
Woking
Form: D-D-W-W-L
Record
6 W
2 D
2 L
β€’
3 W
5 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
1.5
Scored
vs
1.5
Scored
0.9
Conceded
vs
1.3
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.4
Away:2.0
Conceded
Home:0.9
Away:1.0
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:2.0
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:2.0

⚑ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1512
Average
1510
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1517
↑ Momentum (+5)
1520
↑ Momentum (+11)
Expected Outcome
33%
Home Win
35%
Draw
32%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1474
Attack
1443
1486
Defence
1564
Recent Form
1464
Attack
1435
1474
Defence
1587
Post-Match Changes
-14
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

πŸ“ Match Preview

Tamworth vs Woking: Both Teams To Score Looks Value
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.91
Expected Value:+5.1%

Alright boet, let's fire up the braai and look at this National League clash! Tamworth are sitting pretty in 10th with 25 points, while Woking are struggling down in 16th with just 17 points. That's an 8-point gap that tells a story right there. Tamworth's been decent lately with 6 wins from their last 10 games, but they've hit a rough patch with back-to-back losses - 0-1 against Leyton Orient in the FA Cup and then 1-3 at home to Boston United. Before that though, they were banging in goals like it's a weekend braai - 4-0 against Burnley U21 and solid away wins at Aldershot (2-1) and Altrincham (2-1). Woking, well, they're drawing more games than my uncle tells stories at a family gathering! 5 draws from their last 10 matches. They can score though - putting 3 past Altrincham away and 2 past Fulham U21. But that 6-2 hammering at Brackley Town in the FA Cup? Ouch, that's like burning the boerewors! Now here's the juicy bit that gets my betting senses tingling - these two teams have faced each other 6 times, and BOTH TEAMS HAVE SCORED IN EVERY SINGLE MATCH! That's 6 out of 6, my friend. Five of those games went over 2.5 goals too. Tamworth's home record against Woking is solid (2 wins from 3), but they've never kept a clean sheet against them. Looking at the stats, Tamworth scores 1.38 goals per game at home, while Woking averages 2.0 goals per game away (though they also concede 2.0). Both teams are finding the net regularly - Tamworth 60% BTTS rate, Woking 50% in their last 10. The odds for both teams to score are sitting at 1.91, and given that perfect H2H record and both teams' current scoring form, that looks like better value than a cold beer on a hot day! Key Points: β€’ Tamworth 10th (25 pts) vs Woking 16th (17 pts) - clear class gap β€’ Tamworth: 6W-2D-2L last 10, but two consecutive losses recently β€’ Woking: 3W-5D-2L last 10 - draw specialists but inconsistent β€’ HEAD-TO-HEAD GOLD: Both teams scored in ALL 6 previous meetings β€’ Woking scores 2.0 goals per game away, Tamworth 1.38 at home β€’ 5 out of 6 H2H matches went over 2.5 goals β€’ Tamworth's home record vs Woking: 2W-0D-1L but never kept clean sheet Summary: The head-to-head record is screaming both teams to score here. Perfect 6/6 record, both teams scoring regularly, and Woking's away attack (2.0 goals per game) against Tamworth's home attack (1.38) suggests goals at both ends. At 1.91, this looks like solid value for a Saturday afternoon punt!

Read Full Preview β†’

πŸ“ Match Preview

Goal Fest Incoming at Tamworth?
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.91
Expected Value:+10.8%

Alright, my fellow goal-loving enthusiasts! The Big O here, and I'm practically salivating at the numbers for this National League showdown. When Tamworth and Woking meet, history tells us we're in for a treat - and by treat, I mean GOALS, GOALS, GOALS! Let's talk about the head-to-head record, which is basically music to my ears. These two have faced off six times, and get this - BOTH teams have scored in EVERY. SINGLE. MATCH. That's a 100% record for both teams finding the net! Even better, five of those six encounters went over 2.5 goals. We're talking averages of 2.17 goals for Tamworth and 2.00 for Woking in their meetings. That's the kind of consistency that makes The Big O's heart race! Looking at recent form, Tamworth's been averaging 1.5 goals per game while conceding 0.9. They've had some tasty results like that 4-0 demolition of Burnley U21 and a 2-1 win over Everton U21. But they've also shown they can be breached, conceding in 7 of their last 10 matches. Perfect for our purposes! Woking, meanwhile, brings their own attacking flair to the party. They're scoring 1.4 goals per game and have been particularly potent on their travels, averaging 2.0 goals scored away from home. Their recent results show they're not shy about high-scoring affairs - remember that 6-2 FA Cup thriller? Sure, they lost, but EIGHT goals! That's what I'm talking about! The goal expectancy models are showing 3.13 expected goals in this match, which aligns perfectly with the historical data. Both teams have been finding the net regularly in their recent fixtures, and when you combine that with their head-to-head history, we've got all the ingredients for a goal fest. Tamworth's home games average 1.38 goals scored, while Woking's away matches see 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. The numbers are screaming "both teams to score" and potentially "over 2.5 goals" as well. With odds of 1.91 for Both Teams to Score - Yes, and considering the perfect 6/6 record in H2H meetings, The Big O sees some serious value here. This isn't just a bet - it's an invitation to enjoy the beautiful game the way it should be played: with plenty of action at both ends! Key Points: β€’ Perfect 6/6 BTTS record in head-to-head meetings β€’ 5 out of 6 H2H matches went over 2.5 goals β€’ Goal expectancy shows 3.13 total goals expected β€’ Woking averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded away from home β€’ Both teams scoring regularly in recent fixtures β€’ Tamworth conceding in 70% of recent matches The Big O's Big O-ver: Both Teams to Score - Yes! The historical data is too compelling to ignore, and at 1.91, we're getting value on what looks like a highly probable outcome based on their encounters.

Read Full Preview β†’

πŸ“ Match Preview

Tamworth vs Woking: Goals on the Cards at The Lamb Ground
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.91
Expected Value:+5.1%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this National League clash between Tamworth and Woking. The Lambs are sitting comfortably in 10th spot with 25 points, while Woking are scrapping down in 16th with just 17 points to their name. That's a decent gap in the table, but form tells a different story. Tamworth have been a bit hit and miss lately. They've taken a couple of knocks on the bounce - losing 0-1 to Leyton Orient in the FA Cup and then getting turned over 1-3 by Boston United in the league. Before that though, they were flying, smashing four past Burnley U21 and picking up decent wins on the road at Aldershot and Altrincham. At home, they're averaging 1.38 goals per game, which isn't too shabby. Woking, on the other hand, have become the draw specialists of the division. Five draws in their last ten tells you they're hard to beat but struggle to get over the line. They did hold high-flying Rochdale to a 0-0 stalemate recently, which shows they can dig in. But they also had that absolute shocker in the FA Cup, getting hammered 6-2 by Brackley Town. Away from home, they're all action - scoring 2 per game but also letting in 2. Makes for entertaining viewing! Now here's where it gets interesting. These two have faced each other six times, and EVERY single match has seen both teams find the net. Five of those six have gone over 2.5 goals too. Tamworth have the edge at home against Woking, winning two and losing one of their three meetings on their own patch. Looking at the recent stats, both sides are averaging over 1.3 goals per game, and Woking's away games are basically end-to-end stuff. The goal expectancy has both teams scoring around 1.4-1.7 goals, which suggests we're in for a proper goal fest. The odds have Tamworth as favorites at 1.73, which makes sense given their league position. But for me, the value lies in the Both Teams to Score market at 1.91. When both teams have scored in literally every head-to-head meeting, and both sides are averaging decent numbers, that looks like money for old rope. Key Points: - Tamworth sit 8 points clear of Woking in the league table - Both teams have scored in ALL 6 previous meetings - 5 out of 6 H2H matches have gone over 2.5 goals - Woking average 2 goals scored AND 2 conceded away from home - Tamworth have lost their last two matches but were in good form before that Given the head-to-head record, both teams' recent scoring patterns, and Woking's end-to-end away style, I'm backing both teams to find the net. The stats don't lie here - every single meeting between these two has seen goals at both ends, and there's no reason to think that'll change on Saturday.

Read Full Preview β†’

πŸ“ Match Preview

Tamworth vs Woking: Both Teams To Score Analysis
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.91
Expected Value:+29.9%

This National League clash presents an intriguing scenario between two teams with contrasting fortunes but a shared tendency for goal-scoring encounters. Tamworth, sitting 10th in the table with 25 points, hosts a Woking side languishing in 16th place with just 17 points. The eight-point gap in the standings suggests a clear quality differential, but the betting angles require careful consideration. Tamworth's recent form shows a solid 60% win rate over their last ten matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and only 0.9 conceded per game. However, their momentum has slightly dipped with two losses in their last three outings - a 0-1 FA Cup defeat to Leyton Orient and a 1-3 home loss against Boston United. Despite this, they've demonstrated attacking capability with impressive victories like the 4-0 demolition of Burnley U21 and a 2-1 away win at Aldershot Town. Their home record shows a balanced 50% win rate with 1.38 goals per game. Woking arrives with a more modest 30% win rate but has shown resilience, remaining unbeaten in five of their last ten matches. Their away form presents a fascinating paradox - while they've won 50% of their away games, they've also conceded exactly 2.0 goals per game on the road. Recent results highlight their inconsistency: a creditable 0-0 draw against high-flying Rochdale contrasts sharply with a humiliating 6-2 FA Cup loss to Brackley Town. The head-to-head record provides the most compelling statistical pattern. In six previous meetings, both teams have scored in every single encounter, with five of those matches featuring over 2.5 goals. Tamworth holds a 2-0-1 home advantage against Woking, but the consistent BTTS pattern (100% record) cannot be ignored. Current attacking and defensive metrics support this trend. Tamworth maintains a 60% both teams to score rate in recent matches, while Woking sits at 50%. Both sides are averaging over 1.3 goals scored per game, and neither has demonstrated consistent defensive solidity. The goal expectancy model projects 1.69 goals for Tamworth and 1.44 for Woking, suggesting a high probability of both teams finding the net. Key Points: β€’ Both teams have scored in all 6 previous head-to-head meetings β€’ Tamworth averages 1.5 goals scored per game, Woking averages 1.4 β€’ Woking concedes 2.0 goals per away game despite winning 50% of away matches β€’ Recent form shows both teams scoring regularly in most matches β€’ Goal expectancy suggests 3.13 total goals in this fixture Given the overwhelming historical pattern of both teams scoring, combined with current offensive capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides, the Both Teams To Score market offers exceptional value. The statistical foundation is robust enough to meet my stringent 65% probability threshold.

Read Full Preview β†’

πŸ“ Match Preview

Wisdom of Goals: Tamworth vs Woking Battle
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:2.00
Expected Value:+16.0%

In the grand tapestry of football, some matches reveal their nature through patterns of the past. Much like the force, the data speaks to those who listen deeply. Tamworth, sitting comfortably in 10th with 25 points, welcomes Woking, who languish in 16th with merely 17 points. A gap in the table, yes, but gaps can be bridged when destiny calls. Recent form tells an interesting tale. Tamworth has shown strength with 6 victories in their last 10 encounters, including impressive performances like the 4-0 dismantling of Burnley U21 and a solid 2-1 victory at Aldershot. Yet even the strongest trees show weakness - recent losses to Leyton Orient (0-1) and Boston United (1-3) remind us that perfection is but an illusion. Woking, though lower in the standings, has found resilience in drawing. Five draws in ten games speak of a team that refuses to be broken easily. Their 3-1 away triumph at Altrincham and the goalless stand against high-flying Rochdale show flashes of quality. But the 6-2 FA Cup devastation at Brackley Town reveals a vulnerability that cannot be ignored. The head-to-head records whisper secrets of what may come. Six meetings between these sides, and in ALL six, both teams have found the net. Five of these encounters have produced over 2.5 goals. Tamworth holds the historical advantage, especially on their own ground where they have won twice, drawn once, and lost once against Woking. The numbers paint a picture of attacking intent. Tamworth averages 1.5 goals scored while conceding 0.9. Woking matches this with 1.4 scored but 1.2 conceded. Most telling is Woking's away form - 2.00 goals both scored and conceded per game. This suggests an open, flowing contest where defenses may struggle to contain the attacking forces. Fatigue may play its part in this cosmic dance. Tamworth has had but five days' rest and has played twice in the past fortnight, while Woking arrives with fourteen days of preparation and no recent matches. Energy, like the force, flows where it is needed most. The goal expectancies suggest approximately 3.13 goals in this encounter, aligning perfectly with the historical patterns between these teams. When both sides have scored in every previous meeting, and five of six have seen three or more goals, the wise observer takes note. Remember, young padawan: in football as in life, patterns repeat until broken. The weight of history and the flow of current form point toward a match where goals will flow freely.

Read Full Preview β†’

πŸ“ Match Preview

Mathematical Value Found in Goals Market
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:2.00
Expected Value:+10.0%

Let's cut through the noise and focus on what matters: cold, hard numbers. The bookies have priced this National League clash based on league positions, but they're missing a crucial pattern that screams value. Tamworth sits 10th with 25 points, while Woking languishes in 16th with just 17 points. The form guide tells a similar story - Tamworth are averaging 2.00 points per game over their last 10 matches compared to Woking's 1.40. On paper, this looks like a straightforward home advantage scenario. But here's where the mathematical edge emerges. The head-to-head record between these sides is absolutely compelling: 6 matches played, and in EVERY SINGLE ONE both teams found the net. Even more telling, 5 of those 6 encounters saw over 2.5 goals. That's not a pattern - that's a statistical anomaly the odds compilers have underestimated. Digging into the recent performances, Tamworth are scoring 1.5 goals per game while conceding 0.9. Woking, despite their lower league position, are actually more potent on the road - averaging 2.0 goals scored away from home, though they do leak 2.0 goals per away game too. This sets up perfectly for the historical both-teams-to-score pattern to continue. The goal expectancy model projects 1.69 for Tamworth and 1.44 for Woking - totaling 3.13 expected goals. Yet the market offers even money on over 2.5 goals, implying just a 50% probability. The maths doesn't add up. Tamworth's recent results show they can both score and concede - they've kept clean sheets in only 30% of their last 10 games. Woking's away form is particularly porous, with that 2.0 goals conceded per game average on their travels. When you combine these defensive vulnerabilities with both sides' ability to score, the over 2.5 goals market looks significantly mispriced. The bookies have focused too much on league position and recent points hauls, ignoring the historical goal patterns and current attacking/defensive profiles. That's where value hunters like me find our edge. Key Points: - Head-to-head shows 100% both teams scored rate (6/6 matches) - 83% of previous meetings went over 2.5 goals (5/6 matches) - Goal expectancy model projects 3.13 total goals - Woking averages 2.0 goals scored AND conceded away from home - Tamworth scores 1.5 goals per game at home - Mathematical edge of 5% on Over 2.5 goals market The numbers don't lie - this is a clear value play in the goals market.

Read Full Preview β†’