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Match analysis

EnglandNational League

Tamworth vs Rochdale

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this National League fixture.

Full time1:2HT 0–1

Match Timeline

5'
H. Gilmour🟨
Yellow Card
41'
K. Gordon⚽
Normal Goal
62'
I. DukuπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ D. Creaney
62'
B. EnoruπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ T. Roberts
69'
C. Cockerill-Mollett🟨
Yellow Card
71'
E. Dieseruvwe
Penalty
71'
T. AllarakhiaπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ R. East
71'
A. BarlowπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ D. Moss
74'
D. Creaney⚽
Normal Goal β†’ K. Donkor
75'
B. MilnesπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ T. Tonks
75'
C. Cockerill-MollettπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ M. Curley
83'
J. PonticelliπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ O. Lynch
88'
C. McBrideπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ L. Amantchi
90+3'
T. Tonks🟨
Yellow Card
90+5'
L. Amantchi🟨
Yellow Card
90+5'
O. Whatmuff🟨
Yellow Card

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonLost

Rochdale Visit Tamworth in Top vs Mid-Table Clash

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
55%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+10.0%

Ag man, this is a proper mismatch if you look at the league table! Rochdale are sitting pretty in 2nd place with 40 points from just 17 games, while Tamworth are languishing in 9th with 28 points from 19 games. But let me tell you, recent form tells a different story! Tamworth…

Value VinnyLost

Mathematical Value Found in Low-Scoring Affair

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
55%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+10.0%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. Rochdale sits 2nd in the league with 40 points from 17 games, boasting an impressive +20 goal difference. Tamworth languishes in 9th with 28 points from 19 games and a -4 goal difference. The quality gap is…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Tamworth

5W 1D 4L1.60 pts/game

Rochdale

5W 1D 4L1.60 pts/game

Per game

Tamworth at home vs Rochdale away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match Β· within National League

Overall edge
+129Rochdale
Venue edge
+57Rochdale
Rating period
Match snapshot
Tamworth versus Rochdale: long term Elo, before the match
TamworthHomeRatingRochdaleAway
Strength
1,511Overall1,639
1,498Match venue1,555
1,498At home1,608
1,459Away1,555
Attack & defence
1,481Attack1,539
1,484Defence1,634
1,462Home attack1,573
1,469Away attack1,487
1,536Home defence1,610
1,436Away defence1,592
Match profile
1,618Goal environment1,567
1,493Home goals1,555
1,625Away goals1,512
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,542Close games1,542
1,499Winning margin1,662

Match venue compares Tamworth at home with Rochdale away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting lineups

Lineups are not available yet. They are usually confirmed about an hour before kick-off.