Wed, 25 Feb 2026, 19:45
Full Time

Match Timeline

46'
O. Scott🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Penney
50'
S. Patton
Normal Goal → J. Henry
60'
T. Harris
Normal Goal → S. Kamara
62'
S. Patton🔄
Substitution 2 → K. Thomas
62'
L. Jenkins🔄
Substitution 3 → C. Warren
64'
J. Akinde🔄
Substitution 1 → L. Walker
71'
G. Babic🔄
Substitution 2 → C. Cooper
75'
J. Meerholz🟨
Yellow Card
76'
T. Harris🟨
Yellow Card
79'
B. Drake🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Clampin
79'
S. Kamara🔄
Substitution 4 → Z. Massiah-Edwards
80'
J. Henry
Normal Goal
90+1'
C. Warren🟨
Yellow Card

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Braintree
Braintree
Form: L-D-W-W-D
Aldershot Town
Aldershot Town
Form: W-W-D-W-W
Record
3 W
3 D
4 L
6 W
2 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
0.7
Scored
vs
2.2
Scored
1.5
Conceded
vs
1.7
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
80%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.5
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.8
Scored
Home:2.4
Away:2.0
Conceded
Home:2.8
Away:0.6

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1496
Average
1526
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1527
↑ Momentum (+31)
1547
↑ Momentum (+21)
Expected Outcome
30%
Home Win
34%
Draw
36%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1363
Attack
1574
1538
Defence
1465
Recent Form
1334
Attack
1613
1546
Defence
1504
Post-Match Changes
-14
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Aldershot Look Lekker for Away Day Success
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.90
Expected Value:+10.2%

Howzit my bru! Grab a cold one and stoke the braai because we've got National League action coming your way this Tuesday evening. Braintree are hosting Aldershot Town and if the recent form is anything to go by, this could be a long night for the home faithful. Braintree find themselves stuck down in 21st place with just 30 points from 33 games – not exactly the kind of form that gets the blood pumping, hey? They've managed only three wins from their last ten outings, scoring a measly seven goals in that stretch. At home it's even worse – just 0.50 goals per game in their last four at the crib. They did manage a 2-1 win over Eastleigh recently and scraped past Sutton Utd 1-0, but then went and got a proper donnering from York (5-0) and Boreham Wood (3-0). Their last outing was a 2-1 loss away to Altrincham, which tells you everything about their struggles against mid-table sides. Now flip the boerewors and look at Aldershot Town – these okes are on fire! Sitting pretty in 12th with 39 points, they've taken 21 points from their last ten games. Six wins, three draws, and only one loss in that run. But here's the kicker – their away form is absolutely brilliant. Unbeaten in their last five on the road (three wins, two draws), scoring two goals per game and conceding just 0.60. They put three past Scunthorpe last weekend, smashed Eastleigh 4-1 away, and beat Hartlepool 3-0 on their travels. The only blot was a 5-1 hiding from Solihull Moors, but hey, even the best have off days. The head-to-head makes for grim reading if you're a Braintree supporter – Aldershot have won five of the last nine meetings compared to Braintree's two. The last time they met it ended 2-2, but Aldershot have dominated this fixture historically. With goal expectancies sitting at 0.55 for the hosts and 1.50 for the visitors, the numbers suggest Aldershot should control this match. Braintree's attack is blunter than a butter knife at the moment, while Aldershot are cutting through defenses like a hot knife through... well, you know. Key Points: • Aldershot are unbeaten in their last 5 away games (W3 D2), scoring 2.00 goals per game • Braintree have scored just 0.50 goals per game in their last 4 home matches • Aldershot have taken 21 points from their last 10 games compared to Braintree's 12 • The visitors have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 while scoring 21 goals • Braintree sit 21st in the table, 9 points behind 12th-placed Aldershot Summary: Listen here, the form guide doesn't lie. Aldershot are playing lekker football right now and their away record is impressive. Braintree are struggling to find the back of the net at home and face a side that's been scoring for fun on the road. At 1.90, the away win looks like value to me. These okes are hungry and I reckon they'll come away with the three points.

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📝 Match Preview

Aldershot's Away Force Strong Against Struggling Braintree
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.90
Expected Value:+10.2%
Confidence:65

Much wisdom, the recent form reveals. Like the Force, momentum flows strongly through Aldershot Town, whilst Braintree battles against the dark clouds of relegation. The hosts, languishing in 21st position with merely 30 points from 33 contests, have struggled to find the net at their fortress. A mere 0.50 goals per game they average at home, and in their last four on home soil, victories have been scarce—only one triumph against three draws and defeats. Yet, resilient they have been in defense of late, with four clean sheets in their last ten battles, including a stoic 0-0 stand against playoff-chasing Solihull Moors and a hard-fought goalless draw with Boston United. But formidable, the visitors are. Aldershot arrives with the wind of six victories in their last ten matches, sitting comfortably in 12th with 39 points. Away from home, dominant they have been—undefeated in their last five travels, winning three, drawing two, and conceding a stingy 0.60 goals per contest. Three goals they scored at Hartlepool, four at Eastleigh, showing their attacking prowess travels well. The history between these sides favors the Shots, with five victories to Braintree's two in nine meetings. At this venue, however, closer the contests have been—two wins apiece and one draw suggesting home advantage holds some power, though recent form suggests this balance may tip. The goal expectancies whisper of a struggle for the hosts (0.55 expected) against Aldershot's fire (1.50 expected). With Braintree's attack declining and Aldershot's defense improving, the path seems clear for the away side to claim the spoils. **Key Points:** - Aldershot Town have won 6 of their last 10 matches (2.10 PPG), while Braintree have won just 3 of their last 10 (1.20 PPG) - The visitors boast an impressive away record: 60% win rate, scoring 2.00 goals per game and conceding only 0.60 in their last 5 away trips - Braintree have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 games but scored just 7 goals in that period (0.70 per game) - Aldershot have scored 21 goals in their last 10 games (2.10 per game) - Head-to-head record favors Aldershot (5 wins to 2), though Braintree have a 40% home win rate in this fixture **Summary:** The force of form guides us toward the away victory. At odds of 1.90, Aldershot Town represent solid value against a Braintree side struggling for goals and consistency. Bet on the away win, you should.

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📝 Match Preview

Shots Firing on All Cylinders at Braintree
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.90
Expected Value:+10.2%
Confidence:65

Alright, gather round the bar for this National League clash, because we've got a right mismatch on our hands down in Essex. Braintree are hosting Aldershot Town on Wednesday night, and if the form book is anything to go by, the away side should be coming back to Hampshire with the three points tucked in their kit bag. Let's start with the hosts, and I hate to say it, but Braintree are in a proper pickle. Sat down in 21st spot with just 30 points from 33 games, they're looking over their shoulders at the relegation zone with a worried expression. The Iron have managed just three wins from their last ten outings, scoring a measly seven goals in that stretch – that's 0.7 goals per game if you're doing the maths, which I always am. At home it's even worse, with only 0.5 goals per game and a paltry 25% win rate from their last four at Cressing Road. They just lost 2-1 to Altrincham at the weekend – and Altrincham have been dreadful, picking up just 0.8 points per game recently. When you're losing to sides that poor, alarm bells start ringing. Now flip the coin and look at Aldershot Town. Cor blimey, what a difference! The Shots are absolutely flying at the moment – sixth in the form table with 21 points from their last ten games. They've won six of those, drawing three and losing just once. They're banging in 2.1 goals per game and have been ruthless on their travels, winning 60% of their away days and conceding just 0.6 goals per game on the road. They put three past Scunthorpe last weekend (and Scunthorpe are no mugs), and they've also recently stuck three past Hartlepool away and four past Eastleigh. This lot know where the onion bag is. The head-to-head makes grim reading for Braintree fans too. Aldershot have won five of the last nine meetings between these two, and crucially, they've won on their last three visits to Braintree – 1-0, 1-0, and 2-0. The hosts haven't managed to score against the Shots at home in their last three attempts, which tells you everything about who has the psychological edge here. The bookies have Aldershot at 1.90 to win, which translates to about a 52.6% chance. Given their 60% win rate away from home recently, and Braintree's struggles to find the net (they've drawn blanks in three of their last four home games), I'd say that's a fair bit of value. The goal expectancies back this up too – the model has Aldershot at 1.50 expected goals to Braintree's 0.55. **Key Points:** • Braintree are 21st in the National League with just 30 points and are struggling for goals (0.7 per game in last 10) • Aldershot are in superb form – 6 wins from last 10, 2.10 points per game, and scoring 2.1 goals per game • Aldershot have won their last three visits to Braintree without conceding a goal (1-0, 1-0, 2-0) • Braintree have failed to score in 3 of their last 4 home matches • Aldershot's away defence has been rock solid – conceding just 0.6 goals per game on the road recently **Summary:** Sometimes the obvious bet is the right bet. Aldershot are flying high, Braintree can't buy a goal at home, and the Shots have a cracking record at this ground. At 1.90, the away win is the only play here. The form gap is too wide to ignore, and Aldershot should have enough quality to see off a side that's lost 17 games already this season.

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