Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 15:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

10'
B. McGavin
Normal Goal → T. Works
34'
G. Edwards
Normal Goal → L. Payne
36'
L. Payne🟨
Yellow Card
39'
P. Lewis🟨
Yellow Card
53'
T. Perrett🔄
Substitution 1 → D. McCoy-Splatt
58'
J. Daly
Normal Goal → T. Works
62'
R. Jones
Normal Goal → D. McCoy-Splatt
67'
T. Works🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Whittle
68'
K. Jameson🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Azeez
68'
Y. Songo'o🔄
Substitution 2 → B. Williams
76'
J. Nolan
Penalty
77'
M. Sangare🔄
Substitution 3 → D. Ogwuru
84'
R. Jones🔄
Substitution 3 → H. Greenslade
87'
P. Lewis🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Nuttall
87'
G. Edwards🔄
Substitution 5 → B. Tollitt
90+6'
B. Tollitt🟨
Yellow Card

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Yeovil Town
Yeovil Town
Form: L-L-L-W-D
Morecambe
Morecambe
Form: D-W-W-L-D
Record
2 W
2 D
6 L
3 W
4 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.1
Scored
vs
2.2
Scored
1.8
Conceded
vs
1.8
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.4
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:1.6
Away:2.0
Scored
Home:1.6
Away:2.8
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:2.4

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1465
Average
1453
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1477
↑ Momentum (+12)
1415
↓ Momentum (-39)
Expected Outcome
34%
Home Win
34%
Draw
32%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1416
Attack
1464
1505
Defence
1470
Recent Form
1433
Attack
1437
1498
Defence
1474
Post-Match Changes
+13
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Yeovil Town vs Morecambe Betting Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.70
Expected Value:+32.6%
Confidence:80

Welcome, friends! Pajimon here. You know me, I love a good braai, a cold beer, and a winning bet. What do you mean no meat? We need substance in our analysis! Today we look at the National League clash between Yeovil Town and Morecambe. This is a critical match for both sides, as they are fighting near the relegation zone. Yeovil Town is sitting 19th with 41 points from 37 games. Their recent form is struggling, with only 2 wins in their last 10 matches. They average 1.10 goals scored per game but concede 1.80. At home, they score 1.40 goals but still leak 1.60. Their trend is clearly declining, which is not good news for the home side. Morecambe is in 22nd place with 34 points. However, their recent form is stronger. In the last 10 games, they have 3 wins and 4 draws. They average 2.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded. Away from home, they are particularly potent, averaging 2.80 goals scored per game. Their trend is improving, showing they are finding their rhythm. Looking at the history, the head-to-head record shows high-scoring games. Out of 9 matches, 7 had Over 2.5 goals. The goal expectancy data supports this, projecting a combined total of 4.10 goals (1.90 for Yeovil, 2.20 for Morecambe). The bookmakers offer Over 2.5 Goals at 1.70 odds. Based on the expectancy, the fair probability is around 78%, while the odds imply roughly 59%. This creates significant value, baie goed! Key Points: - Yeovil: 19th place, declining form, 1.40 home goals/game. - Morecambe: 22nd place, improving form, 2.80 away goals/game. - H2H: 7 out of 9 matches went Over 2.5 Goals. - Expectancy: 4.10 total goals projected. Final Verdict: With the goal expectancy and H2H history pointing to a high-scoring affair, the value lies in the goals market. I recommend Over 2.5 Goals. No politics, no racism, just football and winning. Let's eat!

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📝 Match Preview

Yeovil Town vs Morecambe Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.70
Expected Value:+36.0%
Confidence:80

Welcome back, bettors! It's The Big O here, and I've got some big news for you. Life's too short for nil-nil, and this fixture screams goals. We're looking at Yeovil Town hosting Morecambe in the National League on March 21, 2026. If you're looking for excitement, this match has the potential to deliver. Yeovil Town are sitting 19th in the table with 41 points. Their recent form has been tough, averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per game over the last 10 matches. Their home defense is particularly leaky, conceding 1.60 goals per game at the Huish Park. Their trends indicate a decline in both goals scored and conceded, but the raw numbers still suggest vulnerability. Morecambe, currently 22nd with 34 points, are the visitors. They are showing signs of improvement, with an impressive away scoring rate of 2.80 goals per game. Their overall average is 2.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the last 10 games. Their trends show improvement in scoring and defense, suggesting a more offensive mindset. Head-to-head history is crucial here. In the last 9 meetings, 7 matches ended with Over 2.5 goals. That's a 77.7% rate. Even though the last meeting in November ended 0-0, the broader history points to goals. The mathematical goal expectancies are telling. Yeovil is expected to score 1.90 goals, while Morecambe is expected to score 2.20 goals. That's a combined total of 4.10 expected goals. This is well above the 2.5 threshold. The market odds for Over 2.5 Goals are sitting at 1.70. This implies a probability of roughly 59%. However, based on the 4.10 goal expectancy, my estimate is closer to 80%. That creates a significant edge. The Big O doesn't do boring games. With both teams leaking goals and scoring freely, this is the perfect storm for a high-scoring affair. The value is clear. **Key Points:** * Yeovil concedes 1.60 goals per game at home. * Morecambe scores 2.80 goals per game away. * 7 of 9 H2H matches saw Over 2.5 goals. * Combined Goal Expectancy is 4.10. * **Bet:** Over 2.5 Goals.

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📝 Match Preview

Yeovil Town vs Morecambe Betting Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.70
Expected Value:+19.0%
Confidence:70

Yeovil Town, at home, they are. Struggling, they are. 19th in the table, 41 points they hold. Last 10 games, only 2 wins they have. Goals conceded, 1.8 per game, that is. Defense, leaking it is. Home performance, 40% win rate, not good it is. Morecambe, away they are. 22nd in the table, but form improving it is. Away goals, 2.8 per game, that is high. Scoring machine, they are. Last 10 games, 3 wins, 4 draws. Goals scored, 22 they have. Goals conceded, 18. Attack, strong it is. Head-to-head, Morecambe dominates. 5 wins to 2, the record shows. Last meeting, 0-0 draw, but history shows goals. Over 2.5 goals, 7 out of 9 times, that happened. Trend, goals it points to. Goal expectancy, 4.1 total, the math says. Yeovil home, 1.4 scored. Morecambe away, 2.8 scored. Combined, 4.2 expected. Probability of Over 2.5, high it is. Odds 1.70 offered, value it holds. Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. Over 2.5 Goals, the pick it is. Confidence, 70% we have. Success, likely it is. The path to goals, clear it is.

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