Wed, 25 Mar 2026, 19:45
Full Time

Match Timeline

38'
T. Works
Normal Goal → R. Jones
48'
J. Daly
Normal Goal → J. Sims
50'
T. Perrett🟥
Red Card
56'
J. Sims🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Whittle
56'
T. Works🔄
Substitution 2 → D. McCoy-Splatt
62'
M. Barrett🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Cook
62'
J. Hinchy🔄
Substitution 2 → S. Spencer
62'
J. Wells-Morrison🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Agyemang
62'
S. Adarkwa🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Obiero
78'
C. McAvoy🔄
Substitution 5 → M. Adu Poku
81'
D. Hutchinson🟨
Yellow Card
82'
J. Wannell🟨
Yellow Card
90+1'
D. McCoy-Splatt🔄
Substitution 3 → H. Greenslade

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Wealdstone
Wealdstone
Form: L-L-W-W-W
Yeovil Town
Yeovil Town
Form: W-L-L-L-W
Record
4 W
1 D
5 L
3 W
2 D
5 L
Goals Per Game
1.7
Scored
vs
1.2
Scored
1.8
Conceded
vs
1.7
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
0%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.4
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:2.0
Away:1.6
Scored
Home:1.7
Away:0.5
Conceded
Home:1.7
Away:1.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1550
Average
1477
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1587
↑ Momentum (+37)
1507
↑ Momentum (+29)
Expected Outcome
42%
Home Win
31%
Draw
27%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1514
Attack
1434
1458
Defence
1500
Recent Form
1535
Attack
1468
1433
Defence
1488
Post-Match Changes
-18
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town - National League Betting Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.80
Expected Value:+26.0%
Confidence:75

Broers, wat beteken dit nie vleis nie? Ek hou van my braai en bier, en ek hou van wen! Welcome to the National League showdown between Wealdstone and Yeovil Town. As a tipster who loves winning, I'm looking for value, and the math points to goals. Wealdstone sit in 11th place with 48 points, while Yeovil Town is lower at 16th with 44 points. The standings show Wealdstone has a slight edge in the table. More importantly, the venue analysis reveals Wealdstone has a 60% home win rate in their last 5 home games, averaging 2.40 goals scored per game. Conversely, Yeovil Town has a 0% win rate in their last 4 away games, averaging only 0.50 goals scored away from home. Looking at the goal expectancies provided, the model predicts a total of 3.33 goals (Home 2.08, Away 1.25). This strongly supports a high-scoring affair. Wealdstone has not kept a single clean sheet in their last 10 games (0.00% clean sheet rate), while Yeovil Town has managed just one clean sheet in 10 games (10.00%). Both teams have scored in 60% of their recent matches. The Head-to-Head record shows Wealdstone won the last meeting 2-0 on 2025-11-04. While Wealdstone's specific home record against Yeovil is 1-1-2, the overall goal expectancy and recent scoring trends favor a goal-heavy game. The odds for Over 2.5 Goals are 1.80, which implies a probability of roughly 55%. Given the expected goal total of 3.33, the true probability is closer to 70%, offering significant value. Key Points: - Wealdstone Home Win Rate: 60% - Yeovil Town Away Win Rate: 0% - Goal Expectancy: 3.33 Total Goals - Wealdstone Clean Sheets: 0% in last 10 games - Last H2H Result: 2-0 to Wealdstone The numbers are singing, my friends. With a goal expectancy of 3.33 and both defenses leaking goals, the value lies in the goals market. I'm backing Over 2.5 Goals.

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📝 Match Preview

Wealdstone vs Yeovil Town Betting Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.80
Expected Value:+17.0%
Confidence:75

Listen closely, the path to profit is clear, it is. But one must be patient. Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. Wealdstone at home, they are strong, yes. 60% win rate at home, they have. 2.40 goals per game, they score. Their defense, however, is not perfect. 2.00 goals conceded at home, they allow. Yeovil Town, away from home, they struggle. 0% win rate on the road, a sad fact. 0.50 goals scored away, they manage. But they concede, 1.75 goals away, they do. Together, the numbers tell a story of goals, many goals. Expectancy says 3.33 goals, a high number. The bookmakers offer 1.80 for Over 2.5. The fair odds should be lower, the value is there, it is. Look at the recent form. Wealdstone lost twice recently, 0-2 and 0-1. But at home, they beat Solihull Moors 5-1. Yeovil Town won their last game 3-2 against Morecambe, but away, they have no wins in last 4 games. The head-to-head history shows Wealdstone has won 3 times, draws 4, Yeovil 2. Last meeting, Wealdstone won 2-0. But trends show Wealdstone goals scored declining, Yeovil goals scored improving. Yet the total goal expectancy remains high. The market says Over 2.5 goals is likely. The probability I calculate is 65%, the bookmaker implies 55%. The edge is clear, the value is there. Do not be rash, but act. Over 2.5 Goals is the choice. Trust the numbers, the numbers do not lie.

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