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Match analysis

WalesPremier League

Penybont vs Caernarfon Town

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time0:2HT 0–0

Match Timeline

8'
S. Downey🟨
Yellow Card
18'
C. Roberts🟨
Yellow Card
41'
P. Mooney🟨
Yellow Card
51'
K. Harrison⚽
Normal Goal
56'
A. Baker🟨
Yellow Card
58'
C. Green🟨
Yellow Card
68'
N. WoodπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ O. Pritchard
68'
M. LittleπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ J. Clay
79'
M. Owen🟨
Yellow Card
79'
K. OwenπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ O. Warlow
84'
S. Bradley⚽
Normal Goal
84'
A. DaviesπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ C. Evans
85'
N. DaleyπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ I. Phillips
87'
J. Crole🟨
Yellow Card

Tipster previews (5)

Mr SimpleLost

Penybont Look To Extend Perfect Home Record

The pickPenybont win

Chance
58%
Odds
2.10
Model EV
+21.8%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this top-of-the-table clash in the Welsh Premier League. Penybont are sitting pretty in 2nd place with 26 points, while Caernarfon Town are lurking in 3rd on 21 points. Five points separate 'em, so this could be a proper six-pointer in the…

PajimonLost

Penybont Ready to Fire Up the BBQ at Home

The pickPenybont win

Chance
65%
Odds
2.10
Model EV
+36.5%

Right then, let's get down to business! This is a proper Welsh Premier League showdown between 2nd and 3rd place, and I'm backing the home boys to come out on top here. Penybont have been absolutely solid this season, sitting pretty in 2nd with 26 points, while Caernarfon Town…

Value VinnyLost

Mathematical Value Found in Goals Market

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
75%
Odds
1.50
Model EV
+12.5%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. Penybont sits second in the table with 26 points, boasting a formidable 2.10 points per game average and scoring 2.20 goals per game while conceding just 0.90. Their home form is particularly impressive - a 75% win…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Penybont

6W 3D 1L2.10 pts/game

Caernarfon Town

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Per game

Penybont at home vs Caernarfon Town away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match Β· within Premier League

Overall edge
+117Penybont
Venue edge
+72Penybont
Rating period
Match snapshot
Penybont versus Caernarfon Town: long term Elo, before the match
PenybontHomeRatingCaernarfon TownAway
Strength
1,764Overall1,648
1,662Match venue1,590
1,662At home1,583
1,677Away1,590
Attack & defence
1,593Attack1,634
1,707Defence1,533
1,541Home attack1,613
1,595Away attack1,596
1,670Home defence1,524
1,646Away defence1,520
Match profile
1,655Goal environment2,062
1,560Home goals1,778
1,595Away goals1,783
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,644Close games1,569
1,805Winning margin1,673

Match venue compares Penybont at home with Caernarfon Town away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting lineups

Lineups are not available yet. They are usually confirmed about an hour before kick-off.