Sat, 1 Nov 2025, 14:30
Full Time

Match Timeline

24'
C. Hurford
Normal Goal
28'
S. Bradley
Penalty
29'
P. Mooney🟨
Yellow Card
32'
A. Davies
Normal Goal
34'
T. Walters🟨
Yellow Card
35'
K. Jenkins🟨
Yellow Card
63'
D. Packer🔄
Substitution 1 → R. George
65'
S. Bradley
Penalty
67'
C. Smith🔄
Substitution 2 → E. Sage
67'
C. Hurford🟨
Yellow Card
72'
M. Owen🟨
Yellow Card
73'
T. Price🔄
Substitution 3 → O. Anderson
75'
M. Bates🟨
Yellow Card
86'
M. Bates🔄
Substitution 4 → R. Dyer
86'
D. Jefferies🔄
Substitution 5 → R. Bevan
87'
J. Lock🔄
Substitution 1 → O. Ellis
89'
E. Sage🟨
Yellow Card
90+2'
S. Bradley🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Thomas
90+3'
P. Mooney
Normal Goal

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Caernarfon Town
Caernarfon Town
Form: W-W-D-L-L
Briton Ferry
Briton Ferry
Form: L-L-L-W-D
Record
4 W
2 D
4 L
1 W
3 D
6 L
Goals Per Game
1.8
Scored
vs
0.9
Scored
1.6
Conceded
vs
2.3
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:2.3
Conceded
Home:2.5
Away:1.0
Scored
Home:0.5
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:2.8
Away:1.5

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1583
Average
1437
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1642
↑ Momentum (+59)
1396
↓ Momentum (-41)
Expected Outcome
51%
Home Win
27%
Draw
22%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1613
Attack
1466
1549
Defence
1503
Recent Form
1644
Attack
1437
1558
Defence
1511
Post-Match Changes
+11
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Goal Fest Expected When Caernarfon Hosts Briton Ferry
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.67
Expected Value:+8.6%

Alright, goal lovers! The Big O is here to bring you the goods, and this match has all the ingredients for a spectacular scoring display. When these two teams met back in September, we witnessed an absolute thriller - a 5-2 masterpiece that had us all on our feet! Let's talk numbers, because that's where the real excitement lies. Caernarfon Town might be sitting pretty in 3rd place, but their recent games have been anything but boring. We're talking averages of 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. That's the kind of action The Big O lives for! Their recent form reads like a goal scorer's dream: 5-2 wins, 2-2 draws, 3-1 losses - this team simply doesn't do dull. Now, Briton Ferry might be struggling down in 10th, but here's the thing - they're involved in goal fests too! They're shipping 2.3 goals per game, but crucially, they're finding the net away from home with 1.5 goals per game on their travels. Their recent results show plenty of goal action: 0-5, 0-3, 2-5 - sure, they're losing, but they're keeping things interesting! The head-to-head history tells us everything we need to know. Three meetings, three Caernarfon wins, but more importantly for us goal enthusiasts, an average of 3 goals per game. Two out of three have gone Over 2.5, and that last 5-2 encounter? Pure poetry for the Big O! Both teams have been showing they can score and concede in equal measure. Caernarfon sees both teams score in 60% of their recent games, while Briton Ferry manages it in 50%. With goal expectancies pointing to 3.25 total goals, we're looking at a perfect setup for some serious goal action. The Big O sees value here, and when I see value, I get excited!

Read Full Preview →