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Match analysis

WalesPremier League

Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time1:4HT 1–2

Match Timeline

13'
N. Peate⚽
Normal Goal
20'
Owen Ieuan Gwyn⚽
Normal Goal
25'
Owen Ieuan Gwyn⚽
Normal Goal
28'
L. Sirrell🟥
Red Card
45+2'
J. Owen🔄
Substitution 1 → U. Kargbo
69'
O. Hulbert⚽
Normal Goal
73'
Owen Ieuan Gwyn🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Wigley
78'
R. Willmott⚽
Normal Goal
80'
L. Robles🔄
Substitution 2 → O. Davies
80'
J. Davies🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Williams
81'
A. Williams🔄
Substitution 4 → S. Hart
81'
E. Williams🔄
Substitution 2 → O. Cuddihy
81'
O. Hulbert🔄
Substitution 3 → D. Smith
86'
E. Richards🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Bernard
88'
A. Edwards🔄
Substitution 5 → R. Nash

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonLost

Bay's Defense Set to Shut Down Barry

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+30.0%

Right then, let's fire up the braai and look at this clash! Colwyn Bay are sitting pretty in 5th with 21 points, while Barry Town are chasing in 7th on 16 points. That's a proper 5-point gap between these sides, and the form book suggests it'll stay that way. Colwyn Bay have…

Umery UnderdogWon

Barry Town Ready to Bite as Underdogs

The pickBarry Town win

Chance
35%
Odds
3.00
Model EV
+5.0%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While most eyes will be on Colwyn Bay sitting pretty in 5th place, my attention is firmly fixed on those plucky underdogs from Barry Town. There's something special brewing here, and I think the bookies might have underestimated our…

Mr SimpleLost

Bay's Defence vs Barry's Attack - Low-Scoring Affair?

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
58%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+16.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Welsh Premier League clash between Colwyn Bay and Barry Town. The Bay are sitting pretty in 5th with 21 points, while Barry are just behind in 7th on 16 - so there's not much between these two in the table. But when you dig into the…

Value VinnyLost

Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town: Defensive Battle Expected

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
57%
Odds
1.90
Model EV
+8.3%

The numbers don't lie here, and they're screaming 'low-scoring affair.' Colwyn Bay arrives at this fixture with one of the most impressive defensive records in the league, conceding a mere 4 goals in their last 10 matches - that's just 0.40 per game. Their recent form reads like…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Colwyn Bay

5W 3D 2L1.80 pts/game

Barry Town

3W 4D 3L1.30 pts/game

Per game

Colwyn Bay at home vs Barry Town away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+55Barry Town
Venue edge
+3Barry Town
Rating period
Match snapshot
Colwyn Bay versus Barry Town: long term Elo, before the match
Colwyn BayHomeRatingBarry TownAway
Strength
1,524Overall1,579
1,498Match venue1,501
1,498At home1,577
1,466Away1,501
Attack & defence
1,456Attack1,514
1,598Defence1,590
1,496Home attack1,525
1,437Away attack1,474
1,547Home defence1,595
1,532Away defence1,522
Match profile
1,522Goal environment1,682
1,515Home goals1,595
1,507Away goals1,587
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,481Close games1,526
1,542Winning margin1,600

Match venue compares Colwyn Bay at home with Barry Town away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting lineups

Lineups are not available yet. They are usually confirmed about an hour before kick-off.