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Match analysis

WalesPremier League

Caernarfon Town vs Flint Town United

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Match Timeline

7'
A. Davies⚽
Normal Goal
22'
B. Wynne🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Jones
36'
J. Lock🟨
Yellow Card
37'
D. Davies🟨
Yellow Card
58'
D. Thomas🟨
Yellow Card
70'
D. Thomas🔄
Substitution 1 → O. Ellis
80'
J. Canavan⚽
Normal Goal
90+2'
A. Davies🔄
Substitution 2 → O. Abadaki
90+2'
J. Lock🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Bradley
90+5'
J. Canavan🔄
Substitution 2 → S. Sanogo Fofana

Tipster previews (6)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Home Force Strong With Caernarfon

The pickCaernarfon Town win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.62
Model EV
+5.3%

The force of home advantage flows strongly through this encounter. Caernarfon Town, sitting fourth in the league with 29 points, welcomes Flint Town United who languish tenth with merely 16 points. A gap of 13 points tells a story of two different seasons. Recent form reveals…

Mr SimpleLost

Canaries Set To Soar Against Struggling Flint

The pickCaernarfon Town win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.62
Model EV
+5.3%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Welsh Premier League clash down at Caernarfon. The home side are sitting pretty in 4th spot with 29 points, while Flint are languishing down in 10th with just 16 points to show for their efforts. There's a proper gulf between these…

Value VinnyWon

Value Found in Under 2.5 Goals Market

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
48%
Odds
2.70
Model EV
+29.6%

Let's cut through the noise and focus on where the real value lies. The market has priced this game as a high-scoring affair, but the mathematical reality tells a different story. Caernarfon Town sit 4th in the table with 29 points, clearly the superior side based on season-long…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Caernarfon Town

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Flint Town United

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Per game

Caernarfon Town at home vs Flint Town United away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+138Caernarfon Town
Venue edge
+157Caernarfon Town
Rating period
Match snapshot
Caernarfon Town versus Flint Town United: long term Elo, before the match
Caernarfon TownHomeRatingFlint Town UnitedAway
Strength
1,656Overall1,518
1,591Match venue1,434
1,591At home1,552
1,594Away1,434
Attack & defence
1,628Attack1,562
1,549Defence1,490
1,627Home attack1,560
1,579Away attack1,505
1,521Home defence1,562
1,539Away defence1,429
Match profile
2,070Goal environment1,788
1,792Home goals1,588
1,778Away goals1,700
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,564Close games1,476
1,689Winning margin1,525

Match venue compares Caernarfon Town at home with Flint Town United away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting lineups

Lineups are not available yet. They are usually confirmed about an hour before kick-off.