Mon, 30 Mar 2026, 18:45
Full Time

Match Timeline

11'
M. Egbo
Normal Goal
75'
Papadopoulos🟥
Red Card
90+6'
L. Hallett
Normal Goal

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Chelmsford City
Chelmsford City
Form: W-L-L-W-L
AFC Totton
AFC Totton
Form: L-L-W-L-L
Record
5 W
2 D
3 L
4 W
1 D
5 L
Goals Per Game
2.2
Scored
vs
1.0
Scored
1.2
Conceded
vs
1.3
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
30%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.6
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.4
Scored
Home:1.3
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.5

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1563
Average
1561
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1577
↑ Momentum (+14)
1597
↑ Momentum (+37)
Expected Outcome
33%
Home Win
35%
Draw
32%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1484
Attack
1515
1563
Defence
1474
Recent Form
1501
Attack
1524
1570
Defence
1462
Post-Match Changes
-5
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Chelmsford City vs AFC Totton - Match Preview and Betting Tips
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.70
Expected Value:+5.4%
Confidence:65

The time is right, for a tale of two teams, we shall tell today. Chelmsford City, at home, they wait. AFC Totton, they come to visit. Chelmsford, they are strong at home. Sixty percent win rate, you see. Two point six goals per game, they score at home. Defense, also good—only one goal conceded per game at home. Recent form, mixed it is. Victory over Chippenham one-nil, then defeat to Farnborough four-two. Then Dover, they beat Chelmsford two-one at home. But against Slough, clean sheet and two-nil victory. AFC Totton, away from home, they struggle. Thirty-three percent win rate away. Less than one goal per game away from home. One point five goals conceded per game away—concerning, this is. Recent form shows three defeats in four away games. Maidstone beat them three-one. Worthing, three-nil. Only victory came at Chesham, two-one. Head-to-head, one meeting there was. Totton won two-one, away at Chelmsford. But one game, it is not enough to judge. The Force, it works in mysterious ways. Goal expectancy says Chelmsford two point zero five, Totton zero point nine two. The numbers, they speak clearly. Chelmsford, stronger at home. Totton, struggling away. The odds of one point seven for home win, fair value it seems. Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. The home win, it looks like the path forward. Two goals for Chelmsford, perhaps one for Totton. A two-one victory, likely it is. The Force is strong with Chelmsford this one, I think. Trust your instincts, but also the statistics.

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