Mon, 30 Mar 2026, 18:45
Full Time

Match Timeline

11'
M. Egbo⚽
Normal Goal
75'
Papadopoulos🟥
Red Card
90+6'
L. Hallett⚽
Normal Goal

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Chelmsford City
Chelmsford City
Form: W-L-L-W-L
AFC Totton
AFC Totton
Form: L-L-W-L-L
Record
5 W
2 D
3 L
•
4 W
1 D
5 L
Goals Per Game
2.2
Scored
vs
1.0
Scored
1.2
Conceded
vs
1.3
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
30%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.6
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.4
Scored
Home:1.3
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.5

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Chelmsford City versus AFC Totton: long term ELO, before the match
Chelmsford CityHomeRatingAFC TottonAway
Strength
1,564.5Overall1,480.7
1,562.7Match venue1,423.6
1,562.7At home1,560.6
1,541Away1,423.6
Attack & defence
1,507.6Attack1,470.9
1,563.4Defence1,474.5
1,483.8Home attack1,514.6
1,520.7Away attack1,449.2
1,583.8Home defence1,536.8
1,541.2Away defence1,432.3
Match profile
1,695Goal environment1,556.7
1,538.3Home goals1,511.7
1,656.7Away goals1,545
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,552.3Close games1,572.3
1,566.5Winning margin1,465

Match venue compares Chelmsford City at home with AFC Totton away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Chelmsford City vs AFC Totton - Match Preview and Betting Tips
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.70
Expected Value:+5.4%
Confidence:65

The time is right, for a tale of two teams, we shall tell today. Chelmsford City, at home, they wait. AFC Totton, they come to visit. Chelmsford, they are strong at home. Sixty percent win rate, you see. Two point six goals per game, they score at home. Defense, also good—only one goal conceded per game at home. Recent form, mixed it is. Victory over Chippenham one-nil, then defeat to Farnborough four-two. Then Dover, they beat Chelmsford two-one at home. But against Slough, clean sheet and two-nil victory. AFC Totton, away from home, they struggle. Thirty-three percent win rate away. Less than one goal per game away from home. One point five goals conceded per game away—concerning, this is. Recent form shows three defeats in four away games. Maidstone beat them three-one. Worthing, three-nil. Only victory came at Chesham, two-one. Head-to-head, one meeting there was. Totton won two-one, away at Chelmsford. But one game, it is not enough to judge. The Force, it works in mysterious ways. Goal expectancy says Chelmsford two point zero five, Totton zero point nine two. The numbers, they speak clearly. Chelmsford, stronger at home. Totton, struggling away. The odds of one point seven for home win, fair value it seems. Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. The home win, it looks like the path forward. Two goals for Chelmsford, perhaps one for Totton. A two-one victory, likely it is. The Force is strong with Chelmsford this one, I think. Trust your instincts, but also the statistics.

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