Sat, 28 Mar 2026, 15:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

14'
R. Campbell
Normal Goal
62'
P. McCallum
Normal Goal
84'
J. Prior
Normal Goal

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Dorking Wanderers
Dorking Wanderers
Form: D-L-W-W-D
Hemel Hempstead Town
Hemel Hempstead Town
Form: W-W-W-W-W
Record
4 W
4 D
2 L
7 W
0 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.5
Scored
vs
1.4
Scored
1.2
Conceded
vs
1.0
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
50%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
20%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.5
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.5
Scored
Home:1.4
Away:1.4
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1715
Good
1574
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1793
↑ Momentum (+78)
1613
↑ Momentum (+40)
Expected Outcome
50%
Home Win
28%
Draw
22%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1627
Attack
1493
1552
Defence
1589
Recent Form
1646
Attack
1475
1542
Defence
1612
Post-Match Changes
+6
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.93
Expected Value:+15.8%
Confidence:60

Hmm. The Force flows through the numbers, it does. Dorking Wanderers, at the summit they sit. Hemel Hempstead Town, close behind they are. A battle of the top two, it is. Standings, we examine. Dorking, seventy-five points, first place. Hemel, seventy points, third place. A tight race, it is. Both teams, high quality they show. Head-to-head, the key is. Dorking, at home against Hemel, undefeated they are. Four matches, four wins. Zero draws, zero losses. A pattern, it is. The history, it speaks. Recent form, we look. Dorking, last ten games: four wins, four draws, two losses. One point six per game, they average. Hemel, last ten games: seven wins, zero draws, three losses. Two points one per game, they average. Goals, also to consider. Dorking, at home, 1.50 goals per game. Hemel, away, 1.40 goals per game. Together, 2.90 goals they produce. Over 2.5, the history suggests. Seven out of nine H2H matches, Over 2.5 occurred. But Poisson, it says 2.32 total goals. Conflicted, the data is. The Force is unclear on goals. On the winner, it is clearer. Odds, we see. Home Win, 1.93. Implied probability, fifty-two percent it is. Our estimate, sixty percent. Value, there is. Edge, positive it is. Hedge your bets, you should. But the home win, the choice is. Do or do not bet, there is no try. The venue, it is neutral in the data, but Dorking, at home, strong they are. Hemel, away, strong they are. But the H2H record, it is the truth. Dorking, at home against Hemel, 100% win rate. Recent results, we see. Dorking vs Torquay, 2-2 draw. Dorking vs Maidenhead, 0-2 loss. Dorking vs Enfield, 4-2 win. Hemel vs Bath, 3-0 win. Hemel vs Hornchurch, 1-0 win. The math, it says. Dorking, 1.50 home goals. Hemel, 1.40 away goals. Sum, 2.90. But Poisson, 2.32. Conflicted, the data is. The H2H Home Record, 4-0-0. This is the strongest signal. The odds, 1.93. Value, it offers. Hedge your bets, you should. But the home win, the choice is. Do or do not bet, there is no try.

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