Fri, 3 Apr 2026, 14:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

15'
M. Worthington
Normal Goal
84'
L. Dennis
Normal Goal
86'
L. Dennis
Normal Goal

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Weston-super-Mare
Weston-super-Mare
Form: D-W-L-W-L
Torquay
Torquay
Form: W-D-L-W-W
Record
4 W
2 D
4 L
3 W
2 D
5 L
Goals Per Game
1.1
Scored
vs
1.3
Scored
1.2
Conceded
vs
2.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.6
Scored
Home:1.7
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:1.8
Away:2.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1564
Average
1642
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1584
↑ Momentum (+20)
1673
↑ Momentum (+30)
Expected Outcome
27%
Home Win
31%
Draw
42%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1502
Attack
1595
1584
Defence
1533
Recent Form
1493
Attack
1615
1600
Defence
1501
Post-Match Changes
-14
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Weston-super-Mare vs Torquay - The Big O's Over 2.5 Tip
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.85
Expected Value:+48.0%
Confidence:7

Welcome back, goal-hungry fans! I'm The Big O, and let's be honest: life's too short for nil-nil. Today, we're looking at Weston-super-Mare hosting Torquay in the National League South. The numbers are screaming for goals, and I'm here to listen. The head-to-head record is the star of the show here. In their last five meetings, four of them saw Over 2.5 Goals. That's an 80% strike rate for goals galore. The last time they met, Torquay won 3-1. The average goal count in these clashes is a massive 4.6 goals per game. That's the kind of fireworks I live for. Let's look at the teams individually. Torquay's defense on the road is a sieve. In their last 10 away games, they've conceded 2.75 goals per game. That's a leaky backline that invites trouble. Weston-super-Mare at home isn't exactly a fortress, conceding 0.80 goals per game, but their offense is decent enough, scoring 1.00 goals per game at home. When you mix Torquay's shaky away defense with Weston's home scoring, the math points to a high-scoring affair. The bookmakers are offering 1.85 for Over 2.5 Goals. Given the H2H trend of 80% and Torquay's defensive struggles, the implied probability of 54% is significantly lower than the historical likelihood. That's the edge we need for long-term profitability. I'm not looking at Under markets; I'm all about the action. Key Points: - H2H: 4 out of 5 matches ended Over 2.5 Goals. - Torquay Away Conceded: 2.75 goals per game. - Weston Home Scored: 1.00 goals per game. - Bookmaker Odds: 1.85 for Over 2.5 Goals. - Expected Goals: 2.66 total (Home 1.88, Away 0.78). The Big O's Pick: Over 2.5 Goals.

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