Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 14:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

55'
C. Carter
Normal Goal
61'
R. Coleman De-Graft
Normal Goal
86'
R. Moulton
Normal Goal

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Dorking Wanderers
Dorking Wanderers
Form: L-W-D-L-W
Worthing
Worthing
Form: W-D-W-W-W
Record
4 W
3 D
3 L
6 W
2 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
1.5
Scored
vs
1.7
Scored
1.5
Conceded
vs
0.8
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
0%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:1.3
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.8
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:1.6
Conceded
Home:0.4
Away:1.2

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1720
Good
1669
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1805
↑ Momentum (+85)
1745
↑ Momentum (+77)
Expected Outcome
39%
Home Win
32%
Draw
29%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1629
Attack
1630
1535
Defence
1595
Recent Form
1650
Attack
1650
1504
Defence
1615
Post-Match Changes
-18
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Dorking Wanderers vs Worthing - Match Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.28
Expected Value:+14.0%
Confidence:7

Hoe gaan dit, bettors? Welcome to the preview for Dorking Wanderers vs Worthing. This is a top-of-the-table clash in the National League South. Dorking sits 1st with 78 points, Worthing is 2nd with 75 points. It's a meaty game, no vegetables allowed! We love winning and we love football, so let's get some meat on the plate. Dorking Wanderers are the home team, but they are struggling recently. They just lost 0-3 to Horsham. Their defense is leaking; they have zero clean sheets in their last 10 games. They average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Their home win rate is 50%, but their recent form is declining. Worthing is the away team and they are in better form. They won their last game 2-1 against Eastbourne Borough. In their last 10 games, they have 6 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses. That's a 60% win rate. Their defense is tighter, with 40% clean sheets compared to Dorking's 0%. Head-to-Head history favors Worthing. In the last meeting, Worthing won 3-2. Over the last 4 meetings, Worthing has 2 wins, Dorking has 1 win, and 1 draw. Dorking's home record against Worthing is 0 wins, 1 draw. Goal expectancy suggests a high-scoring game. Combined expectancy is around 2.78 goals. However, the odds for Over 2.5 Goals (1.53) don't offer enough value (fair probability 63% vs implied 65%). So, let's get some meat on the plate. I'm backing Worthing to win. The odds are 2.28. Implied probability is 43.8%. If we estimate Worthing's win chance at 50%, that gives us a 6%+ edge. This meets our value threshold. Key Points: - Dorking lost last game 0-3. - Worthing won last game 2-1. - H2H favors Worthing recently. - Dorking has 0 clean sheets in last 10. - Worthing has 40% clean sheets. Summary: Back Worthing to win (AWAY_WIN).

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