Tue, 21 Apr 2026, 18:45
Full Time

Match Timeline

54'
I. Buckley⚽
Normal Goal
64'
D. Lloyd⚽
Normal Goal
83'
L. Fensome⚽
Normal Goal

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Macclesfield
Macclesfield
Form: L-L-W-L-W
Southport
Southport
Form: L-L-W-W-L
Record
6 W
0 D
4 L
•
6 W
0 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
1.6
Scored
vs
1.5
Scored
1.5
Conceded
vs
1.6
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:1.9
Conceded
Home:1.7
Away:1.4
Scored
Home:1.5
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:1.7
Away:1.5

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Macclesfield versus Southport: long term ELO, before the match
MacclesfieldHomeRatingSouthportAway
Strength
1,593.4Overall1,541
1,537.2Match venue1,484.1
1,537.2At home1,500.9
1,566.8Away1,484.1
Attack & defence
1,566.6Attack1,491.5
1,517.3Defence1,523.1
1,539.5Home attack1,484.4
1,556.9Away attack1,439.3
1,512.9Home defence1,529
1,508.4Away defence1,511.1
Match profile
1,613.3Goal environment1,586.7
1,546.7Home goals1,550
1,566.7Away goals1,536.7
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,560.6Close games1,563.4
1,594.5Winning margin1,535.1

Match venue compares Macclesfield at home with Southport away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Macclesfield vs Southport: Umery Underdog Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:4.60
Expected Value:+38.0%
Confidence:7

Hello there, football fans! It's time to sniff out some hidden value in the National League North. Today we're looking at Macclesfield hosting Southport. As always, I'm here to root for the little puppies, not the big dogs. Macclesfield sits 4th in the table with 76 points, while Southport is 15th with 57 points. On paper, Macclesfield looks like the favorite, but the form tells a different story for us underdog lovers. Macclesfield's home form has been shaky. In their last 3 home games, they've only managed 1 win (33.33% win rate). They conceded 1.67 goals per game at home recently. Southport, on the other hand, has been a proper scrappy little pup on the road. In their last 4 away games, they won 3 of them (75% win rate). That's a massive contrast to the home side's struggles. Looking at the goal stats, Southport averages 1.50 goals scored per game away, while Macclesfield concedes 1.67 goals per game at home. This suggests goals will be involved, but our focus is on the result. The odds for a Southport win are 4.60, implying a 21.7% chance. Given Southport's 75% away win rate in recent fixtures, there's significant value here. Macclesfield's recent home performance (1 win in 3 games) doesn't justify the favorite status. Head-to-head history favors Macclesfield (4 wins to 2 in 10 meetings), but recent form trumps history for us. Southport has shown they can punch above their weight. If you're looking for value where the odds are against the majority view, Southport is the pup to back. **Key Points:** - Southport has won 3 of their last 4 away games (75% win rate). - Macclesfield has won only 1 of their last 3 home games (33% win rate). - Southport averages 1.50 goals per game away; Macclesfield concedes 1.67 at home. - Odds of 4.60 for Southport offer value given their current away form. **Summary:** With Macclesfield struggling at home and Southport flying away, the value lies with the underdog. I'm recommending the **Away Win** for Southport at 4.60 odds.

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