Tue, 21 Apr 2026, 18:45
Full Time

Match Timeline

54'
I. Buckley
Normal Goal
64'
D. Lloyd
Normal Goal
83'
L. Fensome
Normal Goal

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Macclesfield
Macclesfield
Form: L-L-W-L-W
Southport
Southport
Form: L-L-W-W-L
Record
6 W
0 D
4 L
6 W
0 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
1.6
Scored
vs
1.5
Scored
1.5
Conceded
vs
1.6
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:1.9
Conceded
Home:1.7
Away:1.4
Scored
Home:1.5
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:1.7
Away:1.5

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1537
Average
1501
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1546
↑ Momentum (+9)
1531
↑ Momentum (+30)
Expected Outcome
37%
Home Win
33%
Draw
30%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1540
Attack
1484
1517
Defence
1523
Recent Form
1553
Attack
1504
1514
Defence
1512
Post-Match Changes
+11
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Macclesfield vs Southport: Umery Underdog Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:4.60
Expected Value:+38.0%
Confidence:7

Hello there, football fans! It's time to sniff out some hidden value in the National League North. Today we're looking at Macclesfield hosting Southport. As always, I'm here to root for the little puppies, not the big dogs. Macclesfield sits 4th in the table with 76 points, while Southport is 15th with 57 points. On paper, Macclesfield looks like the favorite, but the form tells a different story for us underdog lovers. Macclesfield's home form has been shaky. In their last 3 home games, they've only managed 1 win (33.33% win rate). They conceded 1.67 goals per game at home recently. Southport, on the other hand, has been a proper scrappy little pup on the road. In their last 4 away games, they won 3 of them (75% win rate). That's a massive contrast to the home side's struggles. Looking at the goal stats, Southport averages 1.50 goals scored per game away, while Macclesfield concedes 1.67 goals per game at home. This suggests goals will be involved, but our focus is on the result. The odds for a Southport win are 4.60, implying a 21.7% chance. Given Southport's 75% away win rate in recent fixtures, there's significant value here. Macclesfield's recent home performance (1 win in 3 games) doesn't justify the favorite status. Head-to-head history favors Macclesfield (4 wins to 2 in 10 meetings), but recent form trumps history for us. Southport has shown they can punch above their weight. If you're looking for value where the odds are against the majority view, Southport is the pup to back. **Key Points:** - Southport has won 3 of their last 4 away games (75% win rate). - Macclesfield has won only 1 of their last 3 home games (33% win rate). - Southport averages 1.50 goals per game away; Macclesfield concedes 1.67 at home. - Odds of 4.60 for Southport offer value given their current away form. **Summary:** With Macclesfield struggling at home and Southport flying away, the value lies with the underdog. I'm recommending the **Away Win** for Southport at 4.60 odds.

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