Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 14:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

9'
R. Walker
Normal Goal
21'
C. Cooper
Normal Goal
39'
K. Donnelly
Normal Goal
53'
J. Meddows🟥
Red Card
90+7'
A. Morgan-Smith
Missed Penalty → A. Morgan-Smith

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

AFC Telford United
AFC Telford United
Form: L-D-L-W-D
Kidderminster Harriers
Kidderminster Harriers
Form: W-L-L-W-L
Record
3 W
3 D
4 L
5 W
2 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.5
Scored
vs
1.8
Scored
1.2
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:1.3
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:0.6
Away:1.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1488
Average
1635
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1532
↑ Momentum (+44)
1702
↑ Momentum (+67)
Expected Outcome
22%
Home Win
27%
Draw
51%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1523
Attack
1547
1527
Defence
1618
Recent Form
1576
Attack
1558
1545
Defence
1594
Post-Match Changes
-10
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

AFC Telford United vs Kidderminster Harriers Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.74
Expected Value:+23.5%
Confidence:7

Life's too short for nil-nil, and this National League North clash looks primed for fireworks. Welcome to the Big O's exclusive preview of AFC Telford United hosting Kidderminster Harriers. AFC Telford United have been finding the net at home, averaging 2.00 goals scored per game and conceding 1.17. That's a combined total of 3.17 goals per home fixture. Kidderminster Harriers are no slouch on the road either, averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded away from home, totaling 3.34 goals per away game. The head-to-head record screams goals. In the last 7 meetings, 5 matches saw Over 2.5 goals. That's a 71% strike rate for the Over market. The last meeting ended 0-3 to Kidderminster, and another recent clash finished 3-1. The Goal Expectancy model also predicts a total of 3.25 goals (Home 1.83 + Away 1.42). The bookies have priced Over 2.5 Goals at 1.74. This implies a 57.5% chance. However, the H2H data suggests a 71% probability. That's a significant edge. With both teams averaging over 3 goals per game in their respective home/away splits, the path to a high-scoring affair is clear. The Big O is calling for goals. Don't let the nil-nils win. Trust the stats, trust the H2H, and trust the Over.

Read Full Preview →