Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 14:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

7'
E. Clark
Normal Goal
22'
J. Newall🟥
Red Card
51'
D. Youmbi
Normal Goal

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Alfreton Town
Alfreton Town
Form: W-D-W-L-L
Oxford City
Oxford City
Form: W-D-W-W-W
Record
3 W
3 D
4 L
5 W
3 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
0.9
Scored
vs
1.5
Scored
1.4
Conceded
vs
1.1
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:1.8
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:2.0
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.3

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1536
Average
1506
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1543
↑ Momentum (+7)
1556
↑ Momentum (+50)
Expected Outcome
36%
Home Win
33%
Draw
31%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1450
Attack
1495
1512
Defence
1555
Recent Form
1427
Attack
1503
1521
Defence
1596
Post-Match Changes
-2
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Alfreton Town vs Oxford City Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.52
Expected Value:+15.9%
Confidence:7

Hmmm... the odds... they speak, but the stats speak louder. Listen, you must. Alfreton Town, they struggle at home. Oxford City, they travel strong. Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. The numbers, they tell a story. Oxford City, they sit higher in the table. 19th place, 49 points. Alfreton Town, 21st place, 44 points. A gap, there is. Form, it matters most. Oxford City, 1.80 points per game in last 10. Alfreton Town, 1.20 points per game. The difference, it is clear. Goals, they flow. Oxford City, they score 1.50 goals per game. Alfreton Town, they concede 1.40 goals per game. At home, Alfreton concedes 1.17 goals per game. Away, Oxford City scores 2.00 goals per game. A mismatch, it could be. Last time they met, Oxford City won 5-0. The scoreline, it is not forgotten. The bookmakers, they offer 2.52 for an away win. Implied probability, 39.7%. True probability, I say 46%. Edge, it is there. 6% or more, the rule says. This bet, it fits. Confidence, 7 out of 10. The path, it is clear. Wisdom... it is in the numbers. Oxford City to win, the choice is made. Do not bet blindly, you should. But value, it is present. Alfreton Town, they are improving, yes. But Oxford City, they are stronger. The H2H record, it favors the visitors. 5-0 victory, it stands tall. Key Points: - Oxford City: 1.80 PPG (Last 10), 19th in table. - Alfreton Town: 1.20 PPG (Last 10), 21st in table. - H2H: Oxford City won 5-0 last meeting. - Away Win Odds: 2.52. - Edge: ~6.3%. Summary: Oxford City to Win.

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