Match Timeline
E. Clark⚽
J. Newall🟥D. Youmbi⚽Head-to-Head
📈 Team Form & Statistics
ELO comparison
Pre-match ratings
 Alfreton TownHome | Rating |  Oxford CityAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,482.3 | Overall | 1,538.2 |
| 1,535.7 | Match venue | 1,470.7 |
| 1,535.7 | At home | 1,506.1 |
| 1,434.8 | Away | 1,470.7 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,416.6 | Attack | 1,475.7 |
| 1,511.6 | Defence | 1,555.1 |
| 1,450 | Home attack | 1,494.8 |
| 1,415.8 | Away attack | 1,447.7 |
| 1,550.4 | Home defence | 1,529.4 |
| 1,480.8 | Away defence | 1,519.4 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,620 | Goal environment | 1,591.7 |
| 1,555 | Home goals | 1,575 |
| 1,565 | Away goals | 1,516.7 |
| 1,500 | Possession | 1,500 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,500 | Set-piece attack | 1,500 |
| 1,500 | Set-piece defence | 1,500 |
| 1,559.3 | Close games | 1,492.6 |
| 1,460.2 | Winning margin | 1,548 |
Match venue compares Alfreton Town at home with Oxford City away. All ratings are within this league.
Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.
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📝 Match Preview
Hmmm... the odds... they speak, but the stats speak louder. Listen, you must. Alfreton Town, they struggle at home. Oxford City, they travel strong. Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. The numbers, they tell a story. Oxford City, they sit higher in the table. 19th place, 49 points. Alfreton Town, 21st place, 44 points. A gap, there is. Form, it matters most. Oxford City, 1.80 points per game in last 10. Alfreton Town, 1.20 points per game. The difference, it is clear. Goals, they flow. Oxford City, they score 1.50 goals per game. Alfreton Town, they concede 1.40 goals per game. At home, Alfreton concedes 1.17 goals per game. Away, Oxford City scores 2.00 goals per game. A mismatch, it could be. Last time they met, Oxford City won 5-0. The scoreline, it is not forgotten. The bookmakers, they offer 2.52 for an away win. Implied probability, 39.7%. True probability, I say 46%. Edge, it is there. 6% or more, the rule says. This bet, it fits. Confidence, 7 out of 10. The path, it is clear. Wisdom... it is in the numbers. Oxford City to win, the choice is made. Do not bet blindly, you should. But value, it is present. Alfreton Town, they are improving, yes. But Oxford City, they are stronger. The H2H record, it favors the visitors. 5-0 victory, it stands tall. Key Points: - Oxford City: 1.80 PPG (Last 10), 19th in table. - Alfreton Town: 1.20 PPG (Last 10), 21st in table. - H2H: Oxford City won 5-0 last meeting. - Away Win Odds: 2.52. - Edge: ~6.3%. Summary: Oxford City to Win.
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