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Match analysis

EgyptPremier League

El Geish vs Masr

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time2:2HT 2–1

Match Timeline

8'
Karim Tarek⚽
Normal Goal → Ahmed Abdel Rahman Zola
35'
Mohamed Rabia⚽
Normal Goal → Ahmed Sayed Abdelnaby
37'
Karim Tarek⚽
Normal Goal → Ismail Ouro-Agoro
45+5'
Mahmoud Saber🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Ahmed Adel🔄
Substitution 1 → Abdelrahman El Banouby
46'
Abdel Rahman Emad🔄
Substitution 2 → Mostafa Saad
61'
Mohamed Camacho🟨
Yellow Card
73'
Karim Tarek🟨
Yellow Card
74'
Mostafa Khawaga🔄
Substitution 1 → Ahmed Alaa Eldin
82'
Shady Hussein🔄
Substitution 3 → Rafaat Khalil
86'
Ismail Ouro-Agoro🟨
Yellow Card
89'
Ahmed Tarek🔄
Substitution 4 → Mohamed Ashraf
90'
Ahmed Abdel Rahman Zola🔄
Substitution 2 → Ghaith Al Madadha
90+4'
Mostafa Saad⚽
Normal Goal → Rafaat Khalil
90+5'
Mostafa Saad🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal1
16Total Shots8
4Blocked Shots2
11Shots insidebox4
5Shots outsidebox4
13Fouls10
5Corner Kicks4
2Offsides2
35Ball Possession65
3Yellow Cards2
3Goalkeeper Saves3
272Total passes531
202Passes accurate447
74Passes %84

Tipster previews (3)

Umery UnderdogLost

El Geish Ready to Bite Back Against Masr

The pickEl Geish win

Chance
30%
Odds
4.07
Model EV
+22.1%

Oh, what a delightful underdog story we have brewing here! 🐾 While the market might be sleeping on El Geish due to their league position, I've sniffed out some hidden value that could make this a profitable little adventure for us underdog lovers! Looking at the league table…

Value VinnyLost

Mathematical Value in Low-Scoring Encounter

The pickBTTS No

Chance
82%
Odds
1.53
Model EV
+25.5%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. El Geish sits 16th in the Premier League with a paltry 9 points from 11 games, but more importantly, they've managed just 2 goals in their last 10 matches. That's not a typo - 0.20 goals per game. Their home form…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

El Geish

2W 2D 6L0.80 pts/game

Masr

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Per game

El Geish at home vs Masr away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+58Masr
Venue edge
+62Masr
Rating period
Match snapshot
El Geish versus Masr: long term Elo, before the match
El GeishHomeRatingMasrAway
Strength
1,486Overall1,544
1,477Match venue1,539
1,477At home1,506
1,531Away1,539
Attack & defence
1,362Attack1,458
1,592Defence1,626
1,378Home attack1,448
1,385Away attack1,468
1,584Home defence1,585
1,609Away defence1,606
Match profile
963Goal environment1,357
1,307Home goals1,407
1,157Away goals1,450
1,496Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,534Set-piece attack1,506
1,533Set-piece defence1,505
1,514Close games1,493
1,477Winning margin1,560

Match venue compares El Geish at home with Masr away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

El GeishEl Geish1:1

Starting XI

16Mohamed ShaabanG
19Hamed Khaled El GabryD
14Ali HamdyM
12Islam MoharebM
28Ismail Ouro-AgoroF
4Mohamed CamachoD
8Ahmed Abdel Rahman ZolaM
6Khaled StouhiD
22Mostafa KhawagaM
24Khaled AwadD
11Karim TarekM

MasrMasr1:1

Starting XI

1Ali LotfiG
24Mohamed RabiaD
26Peter Zilu MutumosiM
14Ahmed AdelM
9Ahmed AtefF
3Abdallah BakriD
19Abdel Rahman EmadM
77Mahmoud SaberM
5Ahmed TarekD
10Shady HusseinM
8Ahmed Sayed AbdelnabyD