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Match analysis

EgyptPremier League

Masr vs Zamalek SC

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time1:2HT 0–1

Match Timeline

22'
Juan Bezerra⚽
Normal Goal → Naser Mansi
46'
Sulahmana Mamadu Bah🔄
Substitution 1 → Rafaat Khalil
46'
Ahmed El-Saghiri🔄
Substitution 2 → Abdelrahman El Banouby
46'
Omar Gaber🔄
Substitution 1 → Mohamed Ibrahim Hassan
46'
Ahmed Sherif🔄
Substitution 2 → Ahmed Fatouh
67'
Mohamed El Sayed🔄
Substitution 3 → Oday Dabbagh
68'
Juan Bezerra🔄
Substitution 4 → Chico Banza
74'
Rafaat Khalil⚽
Normal Goal → Mahmoud Saber
76'
Abdallah El-Said🔄
Substitution 5 → Ahmed Rabia
80'
Tariq Alaa🔄
Substitution 3 → Sameh Ibrahim
82'
Ahmed Rabia⚽
Normal Goal → Chico Banza
83'
Abdallah Bakri🟨
Yellow Card
83'
Mahdi Soliman🟨
Yellow Card
87'
Kabaka🔄
Substitution 4 → Ahmed Atef
87'
Mohamed Rabia🔄
Substitution 5 → Ziad Tarek

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal5
11Total Shots14
3Blocked Shots5
6Shots insidebox10
5Shots outsidebox4
14Fouls12
7Corner Kicks5
1Offsides1
57Ball Possession43
1Yellow Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves5
412Total passes309
354Passes accurate250
86Passes %81
0.83expected_goals0.98
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (3)

PajimonWon

Zamalek to Sizzle Past Masr in Cairo Clash

The pickZamalek SC win

Chance
40%
Odds
2.62
Model EV
+4.8%

Howzit my bru! Pajimon here, fresh from the braai with a cold Castle in hand and not a vegetable in sight – because WTF are vegetables anyway? Tonight we're heading to Egypt for some Premier League action that promises more spice than a boerewors roll at the rugby. Masr are…

Umery UnderdogLost

Masr vs Zamalek SC: Underdog Value Bet

The pickMasr win

Chance
33%
Odds
3.36
Model EV
+10.9%

There's nothing that gets my tail wagging quite like a little puppy standing up to the big dogs, and that's exactly what we have here as Masr prepare to host Egyptian Premier League title challengers Zamalek SC! While the bookmakers have Zamalek priced as favourites at 2.62, my…

Value VinnyWon

Zamalek Value Emerges Against Defensive Masr

The pickZamalek SC win

Chance
42%
Odds
2.62
Model EV
+10.0%

The numbers don't lie, and they're telling me the odds compilers have overreacted to a recent cup upset. Zamalek SC travel to Masr priced at 2.62, which implies they win this fixture less than 40% of the time. Given their 75% away win rate and superior quality, that's a…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Masr

4W 5D 1L1.70 pts/game

Zamalek SC

7W 1D 2L2.20 pts/game

Per game

Masr at home vs Zamalek SC away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+156Zamalek SC
Venue edge
+137Zamalek SC
Rating period
Match snapshot
Masr versus Zamalek SC: long term Elo, before the match
MasrHomeRatingZamalek SCAway
Strength
1,570Overall1,726
1,512Match venue1,649
1,512At home1,732
1,556Away1,649
Attack & defence
1,475Attack1,618
1,626Defence1,648
1,452Home attack1,607
1,482Away attack1,593
1,588Home defence1,651
1,608Away defence1,603
Match profile
1,350Goal environment1,387
1,403Home goals1,502
1,447Away goals1,385
1,501Possession1,519
Specialist ratings
1,485Set-piece attack1,515
1,486Set-piece defence1,514
1,510Close games1,578
1,587Winning margin1,769

Match venue compares Masr at home with Zamalek SC away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

MasrMasr1:1

Starting XI

1Ali LotfiG
24Mohamed RabiaD
37Maata MagassaM
77Mahmoud SaberF
5Ahmed TarekD
18Ahmed El-SaghiriM
22Sulahmana Mamadu BahF
3Abdallah BakriD
88KabakaM
11Mostafa SaadF
23Tariq AlaaD

Zamalek SCZamalek SC1:1

Starting XI

37Mahdi SolimanG
3Mahmoud BentaygD
17Mohamed ShehataM
33Juan BezerraM
9Naser MansiF
5Hossam AbdelmaguidD
24Mohamed IsmailM
19Abdallah El-SaidM
4Omar GaberD
31Ahmed SherifM
39Mohamed El SayedD