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Match analysis

ItalySerie B

Juve Stabia vs Avellino

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie B fixture.

Full time2:0HT 2–0

Match Timeline

39'
N. Mosti⚽
Normal Goal
42'
M. Bellich⚽
Normal Goal → F. Maistro
46'
R. Russo🔄
Substitution 1 → V. Crespi
46'
F. Missori🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Insigne
49'
Leonardo Candellone🟨
Yellow Card
59'
L. Palmiero🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Besaggio
68'
Omar Correia🟨
Yellow Card
68'
Andrea Cagnano🟨
Yellow Card
70'
F. Maistro🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Burnete
70'
G. Leone🔄
Substitution 2 → C. Pierobon
70'
K. Piscopo🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Cacciamani
70'
A. Cagnano🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Milani
77'
T. Biasci🔄
Substitution 5 → F. Lescano
79'
M. Varnier🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Baldi
88'
N. Mosti🔄
Substitution 5 → F. Zuccon
90+4'
Roberto Insigne🟥
Red Card
90+4'
Roberto Insigne
Card upgrade

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal7
11Total Shots11
2Blocked Shots2
7Shots insidebox5
4Shots outsidebox6
23Fouls11
6Corner Kicks3
0Offsides1
45Ball Possession55
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves0
355Total passes446
273Passes accurate357
77Passes %80

Tipster previews (3)

Umery UnderdogLost

Underdog Avellino Offers Value Against Stabia

The pickAvellino win

Chance
38%
Odds
4.00
Model EV
+52.0%

Oh, what a delightful little matchup we have here! The market has Juve Stabia as the favorites at home, but if you look closer, you'll find a hidden gem in our underdog friends from Avellino. 🐾 Let me tell you why I'm wagging my tail with excitement about this one! First, take…

Mr SimpleLost

Goals Galore When Stabia Host Avellino?

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
45%
Odds
2.40
Model EV
+8.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Serie B scrap between Juve Stabia and Avellino. Both sides are knocking about the top half of the table, but there's a right old tale of two forms here when you dig into the numbers. Juve Stabia have been proper solid at home this…

Value VinnyLost

Value Found in Goals Market as Stabia Host Avellino

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
45%
Odds
2.40
Model EV
+8.0%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. Juve Stabia sits 9th with 10 points, while Avellino occupies 5th with 12 points - a mere two-point gap that suggests this could be a tightly contested affair. But where's the real value? The home side has been solid…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Juve Stabia

3W 5D 2L1.40 pts/game

Avellino

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Per game

Juve Stabia at home vs Avellino away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie B

Overall edge
+44Juve Stabia
Venue edge
+134Juve Stabia
Rating period
Match snapshot
Juve Stabia versus Avellino: long term Elo, before the match
Juve StabiaHomeRatingAvellinoAway
Strength
1,544Overall1,500
1,571Match venue1,437
1,571At home1,537
1,451Away1,437
Attack & defence
1,450Attack1,442
1,553Defence1,508
1,485Home attack1,461
1,431Away attack1,426
1,581Home defence1,553
1,479Away defence1,461
Match profile
1,503Goal environment1,485
1,505Home goals1,485
1,498Away goals1,500
1,509Possession1,495
Specialist ratings
1,498Set-piece attack1,459
1,499Set-piece defence1,461
1,556Close games1,546
1,535Winning margin1,487

Match venue compares Juve Stabia at home with Avellino away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Juve StabiaJuve Stabia1:1

Starting XI

1A. Confente1:1
6M. BellichD
11K. PiscopoM
37F. MaistroF
27L. CandelloneF
13M. VarnierD
29O. CorreiaM
33A. GiorginiD
55G. LeoneM
98N. MostiM
24L. CarissoniM

AvellinoAvellino1:1

Starting XI

1A. IannarilliG
63A. FontanarosaD
23A. CagnanoM
10R. RussoF
44L. SimicD
24D. SounasM
14T. BiasciF
29T. CancellottiD
6L. PalmieroM
16J. KumiM
2F. MissoriM