Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 13:00
Serie B
Italy
Italy
Full Time
3:1
HT: 1 - 1

Match Timeline

27'
Andrea Papetti🟨
Yellow Card
38'
Andrea Meroni🟨
Yellow Card
39'
Manuel Marras🟨
Yellow Card
41'
G. Moncini⚽
Normal Goal β†’ L. Dickmann
45'
E. Tavsan⚽
Normal Goal β†’ M. Marras
46'
A. PapettiπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ G. Magnani
59'
Dimitrios NikolaouπŸŸ₯
Red Card
59'
Dimitrios Nikolaou
Card upgrade
60'
N. GirmaπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ A. Novakovich
61'
M. AntonucciπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ R. Burgio
62'
A. PartipiloπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ M. Dorval
69'
M. BraunoderπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ R. Pagano
70'
A. Bozzolan⚽
Normal Goal β†’ E. Tavsan
76'
E. TavsanπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ M. Lambourde
80'
Charlys🟨
Yellow Card
81'
M. Lambourde⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Charlys
82'
A. BozzolanπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ M. Rover
82'
CharlysπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ M. Bertagnoli
84'
G. MonciniπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ C. Gytkjaer
84'
G. CastrovilliπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ G. Maggiore

Match Statistics

8Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal6
14Total Shots11
3Blocked Shots3
11Shots insidebox6
3Shots outsidebox5
13Fouls15
3Corner Kicks1
1Offsides0
51Ball Possession49
3Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves5
462Total passes450
399Passes accurate383
86Passes %85

Starting Lineups

ReggianaReggiana1:1

Starting XI

1E. MottaG
43S. BonettiD
3A. BozzolanM
90M. PortanovaF
10E. TavsanF
2A. PapettiD
8CharlysM
80N. GirmaF
17L. LibuttiD
16T. ReinhartM
7M. MarrasM

BariBari1:1

Starting XI

31M. CerofoliniG
43D. NikolaouD
16M. AntonucciM
4G. CastrovilliF
11G. MonciniF
13A. MeroniD
5E. DarboeM
21A. PartipiloF
25R. PucinoD
27M. BraunoderM
24L. DickmannM

Head-to-Head

πŸ“ˆ Team Form & Statistics

Reggiana
Reggiana
Form: W-D-L-D-D
Bari
Bari
Form: W-D-D-L-L
Record
3 W
5 D
2 L
β€’
2 W
3 D
5 L
Goals Per Game
1.5
Scored
vs
1.2
Scored
1.4
Conceded
vs
1.7
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
90%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:1.3
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:1.4
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:0.6
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:2.2

⚑ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1493
Average
1569
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1536
↑ Momentum (+43)
1590
↑ Momentum (+21)
Expected Outcome
27%
Home Win
31%
Draw
42%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1462
Attack
1465
1509
Defence
1532
Recent Form
1520
Attack
1476
1493
Defence
1503
Post-Match Changes
+10
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

πŸ“ Match Preview

Reggiana to Dominate Struggling Bari at Home
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.90
Expected Value:+30.5%
Confidence:65

Ag man, this one looks like a proper braai where the home team brings the meat and the visitors arrive empty-handed! Reggiana are sitting pretty in 11th spot with 9 points, while Bari are languishing down in 16th with only 6 points to show for their efforts. The difference in form is like night and day, especially when you look at how these teams perform on their respective patches. Reggiana have been solid at home, unbeaten in their last three matches on their own turf with a 33% win rate and 67% draw rate. They're averaging a tasty 2.00 goals per game at home, which is proper football! Their recent form shows they can mix it up too - they beat Cesena 2-1 away, drew 1-1 with Spezia at home, and even though they lost 3-1 to Sudtirol, they showed they can find the net. Now let's talk about Bari... shame, these okes can't buy a win on the road. ZERO wins in their last five away games with an 80% loss rate! They're only managing to score 0.60 goals per game away from home while conceding 2.20. That's like trying to braai with wet wood - it's just not working! Their recent away form reads like a horror story: lost 2-0 to Palermo, got hammered 3-0 by Modena, and went down 2-1 to Venezia. The head-to-head record is where it gets really interesting for us punters. Seven meetings between these teams and Bari have NEVER won! Reggiana have 2 wins and 5 draws. At home against Bari, Reggiana have 1 win and 3 draws from 4 meetings. The last time they met was a 0-0 draw, but before that, we saw a 2-2 and a 2-0 win for Reggiana. Looking at the stats, Reggiana are averaging 1.50 goals per game overall while Bari are only managing 1.20. Defensively, both teams are a bit leaky, but Reggiana have the home advantage where they score more freely. Bari's away defense is like a sieve - letting in 2.20 goals per game! The bookies have Reggiana at 2.90 to win, which looks like proper value to me. Given their home form, Bari's shocking away record, and the fact that Bari have never beaten Reggiana in 7 attempts, I'm backing the home team to get the job done. It might not be a thrashing, but three points look more likely than not for Reggiana. Time to fire up the braai and celebrate another winning bet!

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Wisdom of The Force: Reggiana vs Bari Battle
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.91
Expected Value:+24.1%
Confidence:65

In the grand theater of Serie B, two forces converge. Reggiana, sitting 11th with 9 points, welcomes Bari, who languish in 16th with but 6 points. The Force flows differently through these teams. Reggiana's recent journey reveals a team finding balance - 3 wins, 5 draws, 2 losses in their last 10 encounters. They scored 15 goals while conceding 14, showing neither dominance nor weakness. At their home sanctuary, they have been formidable, scoring 2.00 goals per game while conceding 1.33. Their recent 2-1 victory over Cesena away demonstrates growing power. Bari's path has been more troubled. Only 2 wins from 10 games, with 5 defeats staining their record. Away from home, they have been but shadows of themselves - 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses in their last 5 away journeys. They manage only 0.60 goals per game on the road while conceding 2.20. Their recent 2-2 draw with Virtus Entella shows they can find the net, but consistency eludes them. The history between these sides speaks volumes. In 7 meetings, Reggiana has never lost - 2 wins and 5 draws. The Force favors the home side. Recent encounters have been tight affairs: 0-0 in January 2025, 2-2 in November 2024, suggesting neither can fully dominate the other. The betting odds offer interesting insights. Both teams to score stands at 1.91, reflecting Reggiana's 90% BTTS rate in recent games and Bari's 60%. Under 2.5 goals at 1.65 may hold value, as only 1 of their 7 meetings has exceeded this total. Remember, young bettor: "Patience you must have, my young padawan." The data points toward a game where both sides will likely score, but few goals will grace the net. Reggiana's home strength against Bari's away weakness creates a compelling narrative. Key Points: - Reggiana has never lost to Bari in 7 meetings (2W, 5D) - Bari has terrible away form: 0 wins in last 5 away games - Reggiana scores 2.00 goals at home, Bari concedes 2.20 away - Both teams have high BTTS rates recently (Reggiana 90%, Bari 60%) - Only 1 of 7 H2H matches went over 2.5 goals - Reggiana's home form: 33.33% win rate, 66.67% draw rate The path forward becomes clear. Both teams possess the power to score, yet the historical pattern suggests few goals will flow. The value lies in both teams finding the net.

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Goal Fest Expected When Reggiana Hosts Leaky Bari Defense
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:2.20
Expected Value:+5.6%
Confidence:75

Alright folks, The Big O is here to bring you the goods, and I'm seeing a beautiful opportunity for goals in this Serie B clash! Let's break it down. Reggiana have been treating us home fans to some real entertainment lately, averaging a juicy 2.0 goals per game at their own patch. They've been involved in some absolute crackers recently - that 3-1 demolition of Empoli was pure poetry, and the 2-2 thrillers against Catanzaro and Juventus (even in friendly) show they're not afraid to let it all hang out. What really gets me excited is their 90% both teams to score rate - these boys just love to join the party! Now, onto Bari. Oh boy, their away form is music to my ears! They're shipping goals at an alarming 2.2 per game on their travels. Just look at their recent away adventures: 2-2 at Virtus Entella, 0-2 at Palermo, 0-3 at Modena, 1-2 at Venezia. The pattern is clear - when Bari hit the road, the floodgates open! Sure, the head-to-head stats might suggest a tighter affair, but I'm all about current form and momentum. Reggiana are scoring freely at home, Bari are conceding freely away - that's the recipe for Big O satisfaction! The goal expectancy of 3.07 total goals has me practically drooling. With both teams showing they can find the net (Reggiana's 90% BTTS rate is insane!) and Bari's defensive woes on the road, I'm expecting nothing less than a goal-fest. Life's too short for boring 0-0s, and this match has all the ingredients for an Over 2.5 celebration!

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Reggiana Ready to Bark Louder Than Bari
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.88
Expected Value:+15.2%
Confidence:65

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! Little Reggiana, sitting pretty in 11th place, gets to host the struggling Bari side who are languishing down in 16th. Now, I know what you're thinking - Reggiana are the underdogs with those juicy 2.88 odds, but that's exactly where I see the hidden value! 🐾 Let's look at the tale of the tape, shall we? Reggiana have been quite the plucky performers at home, averaging a lovely 2.0 goals per game on their own patch. They've got some real bite in their recent results too - just look at that fantastic 2-1 victory away at Cesena, who happen to be flying high this season! And let's not forget their 3-1 home triumph over Empoli. These pups know how to score! Now, poor Bari... bless their hearts. Their away form is absolutely woeful - a big fat 0% win rate on the road, scoring just 0.6 goals per game while leaking 2.2 goals per game away from home. That's like leaving the back door wide open! They've been shut out in recent away trips to Palermo (2-0) and Modena (3-0). Ouch! But here's the real cherry on top - the head-to-head record! Reggiana have NEVER lost to Bari in 7 meetings (2 wins, 5 draws). That's right, NEVER! The last time they met, it was a 0-0 stalemate, but before that, Reggiana romped to a 2-0 victory. History is certainly smiling on our underdog friends here. The goal expectancy models are whispering sweet nothings in my ear too - Reggiana expected to score 2.10 goals vs Bari's 0.97. That's a recipe for success if I ever saw one! So while everyone might be looking at Bari as the slight favorite, I'm putting my faith firmly in the little guys. Reggiana have the home advantage, the better recent form, the historical edge, and most importantly, they're the underdogs we love to back!

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Reggiana to Edge Past Struggling Bari
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.88
Expected Value:+15.2%
Confidence:65

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Serie B scrap between Reggiana and Bari. The home side are sitting pretty in 11th with 9 points, while Bari are down in the doldrums at 16th with just 6 points to show for their efforts this season. Reggiana have been grinding out results lately - not exactly setting the world alight, but they're tough to beat. Three wins, five draws, and two losses in their last ten tells you they know how to get a result. They picked up a decent 2-1 win away at Cesena recently, and let me tell you, Cesena are flying high with 1.80 points per game, so that's no mean feat. At home, they've been drawing a fair bit, but they're finding the net with 2.0 goals per game on their own patch. Now Bari... where do I start? Their away form is absolutely shocking. Zero wins in their last five road trips, with four losses and just one draw. They're barely scoring too - just 0.6 goals per game away from home while shipping 2.2 at the back. They've been given a proper hiding by the better sides as well - 2-0 at Palermo, 3-0 at Modena. That's not the form of a team that's going to rock up and get a result. But here's the kicker - the head-to-head record is mental. Seven meetings between these two, Reggiana have two wins, five draws, and Bari have NEVER beaten them. Not once! The recent encounters have been tight affairs though - lots of 1-1s and 2-2s, with only one game going over 2.5 goals. Both teams are pretty generous at the back - Reggiana have kept just one clean sheet in ten games, Bari the same. Reggiana have seen both teams score in 90% of their games, which tells you they're always in for a goal-fest. The odds have got me interested though - Reggiana at 2.88 for the home win seems a bit generous given they're unbeaten against Bari historically and Bari can't buy a win on the road. They're scoring freely at home while Bari barely manage a shot on target away from home. Key Points: - Reggiana unbeaten in 7 meetings against Bari (2 wins, 5 draws) - Bari have shocking away form: 0 wins in last 5 away games - Reggiana scoring 2.0 goals per game at home - Bari only managing 0.6 goals per game away from home - Both teams leaky defensively - just 1 clean sheet each in last 10 games Given the form, the head-to-head dominance, and Bari's travel sickness, I'm backing Reggiana to edge this one. The odds are too good to ignore for a team that's never lost to their opponents and is playing at home where they're scoring for fun.

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Reggiana vs Bari: Bookmakers Miss Clear Value on Home Win
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.88
Expected Value:+38.2%
Confidence:75

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. The bookmakers have priced this match completely wrong, and that's where we find our value. Reggiana sits 11th in Serie B with 9 points, while Bari languishes in 16th with just 6 points. That's not just a table position - it's a reflection of performance differential. Reggiana has been solid at home, averaging 2.00 goals scored per game, while Bari has been abysmal on the road, managing only 0.60 goals scored while conceding 2.20 per away match. The head-to-head record tells an even clearer story: 7 meetings, Reggiana unbeaten with 2 wins and 5 draws. Bari has simply never beaten Reggiana. Recent results show Reggiana taking points from strong opposition like Cesena (2-1 away win) and holding their own against Spezia and Catanzaro. Bari, meanwhile, has been shipping goals away from home, losing to Palermo (2-0), Modena (3-0), and Venezia (2-1). Yet somehow, the bookmakers have Bari as the favorite at 2.62, with Reggiana at 2.88. This is a mathematical error we can exploit. The goal expectancy model gives Reggiana 2.10 goals vs Bari's 0.97, which aligns perfectly with the home/away performance differentials. The market has overreacted to Bari's recent home win against Padova while ignoring their catastrophic away form and Reggiana's home advantage. This is precisely the kind of mispricing that creates long-term profit opportunities.

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