Sat, 25 Oct 2025, 17:30
Serie B
Italy
Italy
Full Time
1:0
HT: 1 - 0

Match Timeline

8'
Niccolò Pierozzi🟨
Yellow Card
15'
Jacopo Petriccione🟨
Yellow Card
39'
Simone Pontisso🟨
Yellow Card
45'
A. Cisse
Normal Goal → P. Iemmello
46'
J. Petriccione🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Buglio
46'
N. Pierozzi🔄
Substitution 1 → B. Bereszynski
50'
Pietro Iemmello🟨
Yellow Card
67'
J. Le Douaron🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Brunori
72'
S. Pontisso🔄
Substitution 2 → G. Alesi
72'
G. Di Chiara🔄
Substitution 3 → M. D'Alessandro
73'
T. Augello🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Vasic
74'
Patryk Peda🟨
Yellow Card
77'
F. Ranocchia🔄
Substitution 4 → G. Corona
78'
J. Segre🔄
Substitution 5 → C. Gomes
84'
A. Cisse🔄
Substitution 4 → F. Pittarello
89'
P. Iemmello🔄
Substitution 5 → D. Bettella
90+2'
Antonio Palumbo🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal4
10Total Shots15
1Blocked Shots6
7Shots insidebox11
3Shots outsidebox4
8Fouls25
2Corner Kicks8
2Offsides0
43Ball Possession57
3Yellow Cards3
4Goalkeeper Saves2
303Total passes391
231Passes accurate323
76Passes %83

Starting Lineups

CatanzaroCatanzaro1:1

Starting XI

22Mirko PigliacelliG
23Nicolò BrighentiD
17Gianluca Di ChiaraM
80Alphadjo CissèF
9Pietro IemmelloF
4Matias AntoniniD
20Simone PontissoM
32Fabio RispoliF
84Tommaso CassandroD
10Jacopo PetriccioneM
27Costantino FavasuliM

PalermoPalermo1:1

Starting XI

66Jesse JoronenG
32Pietro CeccaroniD
3Tommaso AugelloM
5Antonio PalumboF
20Joel PohjanpaloF
29Patryk PedaD
10Filippo RanocchiaM
21Jérémy Le DouaronF
27Niccolò PierozziD
8Jacopo SegreM
23Salim DiakitéM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Catanzaro
Catanzaro
Form: L-L-D-D-D
Palermo
Palermo
Form: D-W-D-D-L
Record
0 W
6 D
4 L
4 W
5 D
1 L
Goals Per Game
0.8
Scored
vs
1.1
Scored
1.2
Conceded
vs
0.6
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
50%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:0.7
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:1.2
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:0.4
Away:0.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1513
Average
1559
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1486
↓ Momentum (-26)
1581
↑ Momentum (+22)
Expected Outcome
29%
Home Win
33%
Draw
38%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1504
Attack
1496
1534
Defence
1586
Recent Form
1478
Attack
1491
1538
Defence
1625
Post-Match Changes
+13
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Catanzaro Ready to Bite High-Flying Palermo
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:3.40
Expected Value:+19.0%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While everyone's looking at the league table and seeing Palermo sitting pretty in 2nd place, my underdog senses are tingling for Catanzaro! 🐾 Let me tell you why this little puppy has some bite in them. Yes, Catanzaro sits 15th with just 6 points, but they've been incredibly resilient with 6 draws from 8 games. They're not losing matches - they're frustrating the big boys! At home, they've drawn 3 of their last 4 games, including a 2-2 thriller against Juve Stabia and a 1-1 with Carrarese. Now here's the real magic - the head-to-head history! Catanzaro actually DOMINATES this matchup historically with 4 wins, 4 draws, and only 1 loss against Palermo. That's right, our underdog has won 4 times more than Palermo in their 9 meetings! Even at home, Catanzaro has a respectable 1-3-1 record. Palermo might be unbeaten this season, but they've drawn half their games (4 of 8). They were held 1-1 by league leaders Modena in their last match and could only manage 1-1 against Cesena. On the road, they've drawn 2 of 5 away games. Catanzaro's defensive approach at home (conceding just 1.25 goals per game) combined with their historical dominance over Palermo makes this a classic value spot. The odds of 3.40 are simply too generous for a team that knows how to handle Palermo! Key Points: • Catanzaro has historically dominated Palermo (4W-4D-1L in H2H) • Catanzaro are draw specialists at home (3 draws in last 4 home games) • Palermo has drawn 50% of their league games this season • Catanzaro's defensive resilience makes them tough to break down • The 3.40 odds underestimate Catanzaro's chances based on H2H record This is exactly the kind of underdog opportunity I love - where the stats tell a different story than the league table! Time to back the little guy with the big heart!

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📝 Match Preview

Palermo to feast on winless Catanzaro
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.20
Expected Value:+43.0%

Alright boet, let's fire up the braai and talk football! This one looks like a mismatch of note - Palermo is flying high in 2nd spot while Catanzaro is stuck in the mud without a single win all season! Palermo has been rock solid this campaign - 4 wins and 4 draws from 8 games, not a single loss! They're averaging 1.7 points per game and keeping clean sheets half the time. Their recent form shows real quality too, drawing 1-1 with league leaders Modena and winning 2-1 at Spezia. Only 1 loss in their last 10 matches tells you everything you need to know about this team's consistency. Catanzaro, on the other hand, is struggling big time. Zero wins from 8 games says it all. They've drawn 6 times but just can't get over the line. At home, they're even worse - 0% win rate in their last 4 home games! They're only scoring 0.8 goals per game while letting in 1.2. Recent losses to Padova (0-1) and Monza (1-2) show they struggle against decent opposition. The head-to-head might look close overall (Catanzaro 4W-4D-1L), but at home against Palermo they're weak - just 1 win from 5 meetings. And Palermo smashed them 3-1 last time they met. Palermo's defense is tight as a drum (0.6 goals conceded per game) while Catanzaro can't find the net consistently. With Palermo's 40% away win rate and Catanzaro's 0% home win rate, this looks pretty straightforward. Key Points: - Palermo unbeaten in 8 league games (4W-4D-0L) - Catanzaro winless all season (0W-6D-2L) - Palermo keeping clean sheets 50% of the time - Catanzaro 0% home win rate this season - Palermo won 3-1 in last H2H meeting This one's got Palermo written all over it. They're organized, solid defensively, and facing a team that can't buy a win. The odds of 2.20 look like good value for a team sitting pretty in 2nd place against the bottom half strugglers.

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📝 Match Preview

Palermo's Defensive Solidity Key in Catanzaro Clash
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:1.67
Expected Value:+10.2%

This Serie B encounter presents a fascinating contrast between two teams heading in opposite directions. Palermo sits second in the table, boasting an impressive undefeated record with 4 wins and 4 draws from 8 matches. Their defensive prowess has been exceptional, conceding only 6 goals while keeping 5 clean sheets in their last 10 games. Catanzaro, meanwhile, remains winless this season, drawing 6 of their 8 matches but struggling to convert those draws into victories. The recent form data tells a compelling story about this matchup. Catanzaro's last eight competitive matches have been predominantly low-scoring affairs, with six games featuring under 2.5 goals. Their results include 0-0 draws against Sampdoria and Spezia, plus 1-1 draws with Carrarese and Sudtirol. While they've shown resilience in avoiding defeats, their attack has been toothless, averaging just 0.8 goals per game. Palermo's recent displays have followed a similar pattern. Six of their last eight matches have also seen under 2.5 goals, including goalless draws against Venezia and Frosinone, and a 1-1 stalemate with league leaders Modena. Their defensive record away from home has been particularly strong, conceding only 0.8 goals per game on their travels. The head-to-head record historically favors Catanzaro (4W-4D-1L), but recent form suggests Palermo holds the upper hand. The goal expectancies of 0.90 for Catanzaro and 1.23 for Palermo indicate a low-scoring contest is likely. Key Points: • Palermo remains undefeated this season with the best defensive record in the top half of the table • Catanzaro has drawn 75% of their league matches but failed to win any • Both teams have seen under 2.5 goals in 75% of their last 8 matches • Catanzaro averages only 0.8 goals scored per game • Palermo concedes just 0.6 goals per game with 50% clean sheets • The combined goal expectancy is only 2.13 goals Given the defensive solidity of both sides and the clear trend toward low-scoring encounters in their recent matches, the under 2.5 goals market presents the most reliable betting opportunity. While Palermo's quality makes them favorites, the probability of a low-scoring game exceeds my 65% threshold for recommendations.

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📝 Match Preview

Palermo To Continue Unbeaten Run At Winless Catanzaro
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.20
Expected Value:+21.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Serie B scrap down in Calabria. Catanzaro welcome Palermo, and blimey, what a tale of two teams we've got here. The home side are having a right old time of it - they're the only team in the bottom half without a win this season. Eight games played, six draws, two losses. That's zero wins, mate. They're drawing for fun like they're playing for points, but three points just won't come. At home, it's even worse - 75% draws and 25% losses. They recently lost 0-1 to Padova at home and got beaten 1-2 by Monza away. The goals are drying up too, averaging just 0.8 per game. Palermo, on the other hand, are living the dream up in 2nd place. Unbeaten all season with four wins and four draws. They're solid as a rock at the back, letting in just 0.6 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in half their matches. They went to Spezia and won 2-1, stuck two past Bari, and even held league leaders Modena to a 1-1 draw. That's proper form, that is. Now, you might look at the head-to-head and think Catanzaro have the edge historically (4 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss), but at home it's a different story - they've only won 20% of home meetings against Palermo. Last time these two met, Palermo walked away with a 3-1 win. The stats don't lie here. Palermo are scoring more, conceding less, and actually winning games. Catanzaro are stuck in draw-ville and can't seem to find that winning formula. The home side might make it tricky with their draw-happy approach, but quality tends to tell in the end. Key Points: • Catanzaro are winless in 8 league games this season (0 wins, 6 draws, 2 losses) • Palermo are unbeaten and sitting pretty in 2nd place (4 wins, 4 draws, 0 losses) • Palermo have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 games compared to Catanzaro's 2 • Catanzaro have drawn 75% of their home games but haven't won any • Palermo average 1.1 goals scored vs Catanzaro's 0.8 • Last meeting ended 3-1 to Palermo Sometimes the numbers just scream at you, and this is one of those times. Palermo are flying, Catanzaro are floundering. The away side at 2.20 looks decent value to me - they're the better team, in better form, and actually know how to win games of football.

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📝 Match Preview

Palermo's Force Strong Against Winless Catanzaro
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.20
Expected Value:+21.0%

In the grand theater of Serie B, a tale of two paths unfolds before us. One team, Palermo, marches undefeated through the season, gathering points like a Jedi master collects wisdom. The other, Catanzaro, wanders in the desert of draws, seeking victory but finding only mirages. The force of form speaks clearly. Palermo, sitting second in the league with 16 points from 8 games, has known no defeat in league play. Their recent journey shows resilience - a 1-1 draw against the league leaders Modena demonstrates their quality against the strongest opponents. In their travels, they have claimed victory in 40% of away games, scoring 1.20 goals per game while conceding merely 0.80. Catanzaro, however, has not tasted victory in 10 matches. Their league story reads 0 wins, 6 draws, 2 losses. At home, they have become masters of the stalemate - 75% of their recent home games end in draws. Their attack slumbers, averaging 0.80 goals per game, while their defense concedes 1.20. The weight of winlessness grows heavier with each passing match. Head-to-head history once favored Catanzaro, but the last meeting told a different story - Palermo's 3-1 victory suggests the balance of power has shifted. The home team's record against Palermo on their own soil stands at a mere 20% win rate. Patience, the wise bettor must have. For in the numbers, truth reveals itself. Palermo's defensive solidity (50% clean sheets) against Catanzaro's scoring struggles creates a compelling narrative. The goal expectancy speaks of Palermo's advantage (1.23 to 0.90), and the odds of 2.20 for an away win may yet hold value for those who see beyond the surface. Remember, young padawan: "Do or do not bet, there is no try." But when the force of form is this strong, the path becomes clear.

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📝 Match Preview

Palermo's Unbeaten Run Faces Winless Catanzaro
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.20
Expected Value:+21.0%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. Palermo arrives as the only unbeaten team in Serie B, sitting pretty in 2nd place with 16 points from 8 games. They've been grinding out results with 4 wins and 4 draws, conceding a mere 6 goals all season. Their defensive record is stellar - just 0.60 goals conceded per game with a 50% clean sheet rate. Catanzaro, on the other hand, is the statistical definition of mediocre. Rock bottom of the form table with 0 wins in 8 league games, they've managed 6 draws but simply can't find a way to win. Their home form tells the same story: 0% win rate, 75% draws, 25% losses. They're scoring just 0.80 goals per game while conceding 1.20. The recent results paint a clear picture. Catanzaro's last two games were losses: 0-1 at home to Padova and 2-1 away to Monza. Before that, they managed draws against Sampdoria (0-0) and Juve Stabia (2-2). Palermo, meanwhile, just drew 1-1 with league leaders Modena and previously won 2-1 at Spezia. Head-to-head history slightly favors Catanzaro overall (4-4-1), but at home it's 1-3-1. The last meeting ended 3-1 to Palermo. The goal expectancy model gives Palermo a clear edge at 1.23 goals vs Catanzaro's 0.90. When you combine Palermo's superior form, defensive solidity, and Catanzaro's inability to win games, the value becomes obvious. Key Points: • Palermo is the only unbeaten team in Serie B (4W-4D-0L) • Catanzaro has 0 wins in 8 league games, drawing 6 of them • Palermo concedes just 0.60 goals per game vs Catanzaro's 1.20 • Catanzaro's home win rate is 0% this season • Goal expectancy favors Palermo: 1.23 vs 0.90 The bookmakers have Palermo at 2.20, implying a 45.5% chance. Based on the massive form disparity and Palermo's defensive record, I calculate their true win probability closer to 55-60%. That's significant value in the away win market.

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