Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 14:00
Serie B
Italy
Italy
Full Time

Match Timeline

44'
A. Tiritiello
Normal Goal → N. Karic
46'
S. Diakite🔄
Substitution 1 → B. Bereszynski
47'
Mattia Bani🟨
Yellow Card
58'
J. Pohjanpalo
Normal Goal → A. Palumbo
64'
T. Fumagalli🔄
Substitution 1 → B. Guiu
64'
N. Karic🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Dalla Vecchia
70'
A. Debenedetti🔄
Substitution 3 → F. Russo
70'
A. Vasic🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Segre
77'
J. Le Douaron🔄
Substitution 3 → G. Corona
78'
Marco Dalla Vecchia🟨
Yellow Card
78'
A. Blin🔄
Substitution 4 → S. Giovane
79'
A. Benali🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Nichetti
79'
D. Bariti🔄
Substitution 5 → L. Moretti

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal10
17Total Shots17
9Blocked Shots5
12Shots insidebox14
5Shots outsidebox3
14Fouls9
7Corner Kicks7
3Offsides3
46Ball Possession54
1Yellow Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves1
347Total passes422
244Passes accurate314
70Passes %74

Starting Lineups

Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella1:1

Starting XI

1Simone ColombiG
15Ivan MarconiD
26Stefano Di MarioM
20Tommaso FumagalliF
6Andrea TiritielloD
24Andrea FranzoniM
19Alessandro DebenedettiF
23Luca ParodiD
50Ahmad BenaliM
8Nermin KarićM
7Davide BaritiM

PalermoPalermo1:1

Starting XI

66Jesse JoronenG
32Pietro CeccaroniD
3Tommaso AugelloM
14Aljoša VasićF
20Joel PohjanpaloF
13Mattia BaniD
28Alexis BlinM
21Jérémy Le DouaronF
27Niccolò PierozziD
5Antonio PalumboM
23Salim DiakitéM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Virtus Entella
Virtus Entella
Form: D-W-L-D-W
Palermo
Palermo
Form: L-W-L-L-D
Record
3 W
3 D
4 L
3 W
3 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
0.9
Scored
vs
1.2
Scored
1.4
Conceded
vs
1.0
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
40%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.6
Away:0.2
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:2.0
Scored
Home:1.6
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.2

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1454
Average
1552
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1449
↓ Momentum (-4)
1562
↑ Momentum (+10)
Expected Outcome
26%
Home Win
29%
Draw
45%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1430
Attack
1497
1486
Defence
1579
Recent Form
1430
Attack
1495
1497
Defence
1600
Post-Match Changes
+2
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Battle of Minds: Entella's Home Fortress vs Palermo's Journey
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:1.65
Expected Value:+7.2%

In the grand tapestry of Serie B, two forces converge with equal momentum yet different paths. Virtus Entella, sitting 13th with 14 points, welcomes Palermo, 6th with 19 points, in what appears to be a meeting of equals in recent form. The home side has discovered their sanctuary within these walls. Five matches at home have brought three victories and two draws - a fortress indeed. Their defensive resolve shines brightest here, conceding merely 0.80 goals per game while finding the net 1.60 times. The 1-0 victory over Empoli and the 3-1 triumph against Sampdoria speak of growing confidence, though the 4-0 defeat to Frosinone reminds us that even the strongest walls can fall. Palermo travels with the burden of higher expectations but the weight of away struggles. Their journey on the road has yielded but one victory in five attempts, with goals proving elusive at 0.80 per game. The recent 5-0 demolition of Pescara showed their potential, yet subsequent defeats to Juve Stabia (1-0), Monza (3-0), and Catanzaro (1-0) reveal a vulnerability when far from home. History whispers caution to Entella - four meetings, zero victories against Palermo. Yet the past is but a shadow, and the present moment holds its own truth. Both sides arrive with identical recent form - 1.20 points per game over their last ten encounters - suggesting this contest may be decided by the smallest of margins. The deeper wisdom lies in the patterns of defense versus attack. Entella's home defensive solidity (0.80 goals conceded) against Palermo's away scoring struggles (0.80 goals scored) creates a fascinating tactical puzzle. When two forces of equal strength meet, often the path of least resistance prevails. Key Points: • Virtus Entella unbeaten in last 5 home games (3W-2D-0L) • Palermo struggling away with 1W-1D-3L in last 5 away matches • Both teams identical recent form: 1.20 PPG over last 10 games • Entella strong defensively at home (0.80 goals conceded per game) • Palermo finding goals difficult away (0.80 goals scored per game) • Head-to-head favors Palermo but recent form suggests closer contest In this meeting of equals, where defense meets attack and home advantage confronts league position, the wise path often leads toward restraint. The patterns speak of a contest where goals may be scarce and patience paramount.

Read Full Preview →

📝 Match Preview

Entella's Home Fortress vs Palermo's Travel Woes
Recommendation:DRAW
Odds:3.10
Expected Value:+8.5%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Serie B scrap between Virtus Entella and Palermo. On paper, you'd think Palermo have this sorted - sitting 6th in the table with 19 points, while Entella are down in 13th with 14. But football's not played on spreadsheets, is it? Here's the thing - Entella have actually been proper decent at home lately. Unbeaten in their last 5 home games, with 3 wins and 2 draws. They're banging in 1.6 goals per game on their own patch and only letting in 0.8. That's the sort of home form that makes visiting teams nervous. Palermo away from home? Different story entirely. Only 1 win in their last 5 away matches, and they've been shipping goals while struggling to score themselves. Recent away losses to Juve Stabia and Catanzaro don't exactly scream promotion contenders, do they? Both teams have identical recent form over their last 10 games - 3 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses each. But the home/away split tells the real story here. Entella have turned their place into a bit of a fortress, while Palermo seem to leave their shooting boots at home when they travel. The head-to-head does favor Palermo - they've won 3 and drawn 1 of the 4 meetings, with Entella never beating them. But that last meeting was a 2-2 draw, and both teams have scored in 3 of those 4 matches. Looking at the recent results, Entella ground out a 1-0 win over Empoli and grabbed a point at Reggiana. Palermo, meanwhile, put 5 past Pescara but then lost 1-0 to Juve Stabia. It's all a bit up and down, isn't it? The bookies have Palermo as slight favorites at 2.55, but given Entella's home form and Palermo's travel troubles, those odds might be a bit generous for the away side. Key Points: - Entella unbeaten in last 5 home games (3W-2D-0L) - Palermo won just 1 of last 5 away matches - Both teams identical recent form (3W-3D-4L last 10) - Palermo dominate head-to-head but last meeting was 2-2 draw - Entella scoring 1.6 goals per game at home, Palermo only 0.8 away For me, this has got draw written all over it. Entella's home form is too solid to ignore, and Palermo's away form is too poor to back them with confidence. The odds of 3.10 for the draw look decent value given what we're seeing.

Read Full Preview →

📝 Match Preview

Low-Scoring Affair Expected When Entella Host Palermo
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:1.65
Expected Value:+7.2%

Right then, let's get down to business with this Serie B clash! Virtus Entella might have home advantage, but they're sitting in 13th place with just 14 points, while Palermo are cruising in 6th with 19 points. That tells you everything you need to know about the quality gap here. Looking at recent form, both teams have been pretty inconsistent - identical records actually (3W-3D-4L). But dig deeper and you see Entella can only beat the weaker sides, like their 1-0 win over Empoli and 3-1 vs Sampdoria. When they face decent teams, they get hammered - remember that 0-4 thrashing by Frosinone and 0-2 loss to Modena? Ouch! Palermo haven't been much better on the road though. Only 20% win rate away from home, scoring just 0.8 goals per game on their travels. They did put five past Pescara recently, but let's be honest, Pescara are terrible - sitting second from bottom. The head-to-head tells a brutal story for Entella fans. Four meetings, Palermo has won three and drawn one. Entella has NEVER beaten Palermo. Not once! Even at home, they're 0-0-2 against these guys. Both teams struggle in front of goal - Entella averaging 0.9 goals per game, Palermo 1.2. At home, Entella scores 1.6 but keeps it tight defensively (0.8 conceded). Palermo away? Just 0.8 goals scored, 1.2 conceded. This has all the makings of a tight, cagey affair. Both teams need points but neither has the firepower to run riot. Expect plenty of midfield battles and not much action in either penalty area. Key Points: - Palermo dominates historically with 3W-1D-0L record vs Entella - Entella has never beaten Palermo in 4 attempts - Both teams average under 1.2 goals per game this season - Entella strong defensively at home (0.8 goals conceded per game) - Palermo poor away form with only 20% win rate on the road - Recent encounters between these sides have been low-scoring affairs The smart money here has to be on goals being at a premium. Neither side has been prolific, and with Entella's decent home defense and Palermo's away struggles, Under 2.5 goals looks like the value play.

Read Full Preview →

📝 Match Preview

Goals Galore Expected When Entella Hosts Palermo
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:2.20
Expected Value:+5.6%
Confidence:65

Alright, goal lovers! The Big O is here to bring you the excitement you crave, and this Serie B clash between Virtus Entella and Palermo has all the ingredients for a scoring spectacle! Let's talk about the home side first. Virtus Entella might be sitting mid-table, but they transform into goal machines on their own patch. We're talking 1.60 goals per game at home - that's the kind of attacking firepower that gets my blood pumping! Their recent home reads like a goal-fest waiting to happen: a 3-1 thrashing of Sampdoria, a 2-2 thriller with Bari, and a 1-1 draw with Pescara. When Entella plays at home, the nets bulge! Now, Palermo might be struggling on the road with only 0.80 goals scored per game away, but here's the juicy part - these two teams have HISTORY when it comes to Overs! Their head-to-head record reads like a goal scorer's dream: 3 out of 4 meetings have gone Over 2.5 goals, with both teams finding the net in 75% of those encounters. The last time they met? A 2-2 blockbuster that had us all on our feet! Sure, Palermo's recent away form shows some low-scoring affairs, but they did put five past Pescara not too long ago, proving they've got explosive potential. And let's not forget that Entella's home defense, while decent at 0.80 conceded per game, has shown it can be breached. The goal expectancy sits at 2.20 combined, which is right on the moneyline, but with that tasty H2H trend and Entella's home attacking prowess, I'm seeing value here. The bookies are offering 2.20 for Over 2.5, but I reckon the real probability is closer to 48-50% given the historical patterns and home advantage. This isn't just about numbers - it's about the thrill of the game! When these two meet, goals tend to flow, and that's exactly what The Big O lives for!

Read Full Preview →

📝 Match Preview

Entella's Home Fortress vs Palermo's Travel Woes
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.90
Expected Value:+16.0%

Oh, what a delightful opportunity we have here! While the market might be looking up at Palermo's league position, I'm looking at the real story - and it's all about home advantage! Virtus Entella have been absolutely superb on their own patch, remaining unbeaten in their last five home games with three wins and two draws. They've been keeping things tight at the back too, conceding just 0.80 goals per game at home while finding the net 1.60 times. Now, let's talk about Palermo's travels. The visitors have been struggling on the road, losing three of their last five away matches and scoring only 0.80 goals per game away from home. Recent away defeats include 1-0 losses to both Juve Stabia and Catanzaro - hardly the form of a team that should be favorites at 2.55 odds! What's really fascinating is that both teams have identical recent form - both averaging 1.20 points per game over their last 10 matches. Yet the odds suggest a significant gap that simply isn't reflected in current performances. Entella's recent home victories include a solid 1-0 win against Empoli and an impressive 3-1 triumph over Sampdoria. The goal expectancy model actually favors Entella (1.40 vs 0.80), which tells us everything we need to know about where the real value lies. While Palermo may sit higher in the table, form and venue tell a completely different story. This is exactly the kind of situation where the underdog can bark loudest! Key Points: - Virtus Entella unbeaten in last 5 home games (3W, 2D) - Palermo lost 3 of last 5 away matches - Both teams identical recent form: 1.20 points per game - Entella concede only 0.80 goals at home vs Palermo scoring 0.80 away - Goal expectancy model favors Entella 1.40 vs 0.80 With Entella's home fortress looking solid and Palermo's travel troubles continuing, I see tremendous value in backing the home side. The odds of 2.90 for a team that hasn't lost at home in five games against a side struggling away from home? That's the kind of underdog opportunity that makes my tail wag!

Read Full Preview →