Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 18:30
Serie B
Italy
Italy
Full Time
2:3
HT: 2 - 3

Match Timeline

11'
Riccardo Pagano
Goal cancelled
12'
A. Raimondo
Normal Goal → I. Monterisi
21'
M. Verreth
Normal Goal
27'
G. Bracaglia
Normal Goal → G. Calo
34'
Francesco Vicari🟨
Yellow Card
42'
Lorenzo Dickmann🟨
Yellow Card
42'
F. Ghedjemis
Normal Goal
45'
G. Castrovilli
Normal Goal → M. Antonucci
46'
C. Gytkjaer🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Partipilo
47'
Anthony Oyono🟨
Yellow Card
62'
R. Pagano🔄
Substitution 2 → G. Maggiore
63'
M. Antonucci🔄
Substitution 3 → E. Rao
66'
G. Kvernadze🔄
Substitution 1 → N. Corrado
69'
Gabriele Bracaglia🟨
Yellow Card
75'
G. Bracaglia🔄
Substitution 2 → G. Cittadini
76'
B. L. Kone🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Cichella
80'
G. Castrovilli🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Braunoder
80'
F. Vicari🔄
Substitution 5 → L. Cerri
86'
G. Calo🔄
Substitution 4 → F. Gelli
86'
A. Raimondo🔄
Substitution 5 → M. Zilli
87'
Ilario Monterisi🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal8
4Shots off Goal14
10Total Shots28
2Blocked Shots6
6Shots insidebox23
4Shots outsidebox5
13Fouls19
4Corner Kicks9
1Offsides0
52Ball Possession48
2Yellow Cards3
5Goalkeeper Saves1
396Total passes368
315Passes accurate292
80Passes %79

Starting Lineups

BariBari1:1

Starting XI

31Michele CerofoliniG
16Mirko AntonucciD
8Riccardo PaganoM
9Christian GytkjærF
43Dimitrios NikolaouD
29Matthias VerrethM
11Gabriele MonciniF
23Francesco VicariD
4Gaetano CastrovilliM
13Andrea MeroniD
24Lorenzo DickmannD

FrosinoneFrosinone1:1

Starting XI

22Lorenzo PalmisaniG
14Giacomo CalòD
8Ilias KoutsoupiasM
17Giorgi KvernadzeF
30Ilario MonterisiD
79Gabriele BracagliaM
9Antonio RaimondoF
3Gabriele CalvaniD
92Ben Lhassine KoneM
7Farès GhedjemisF
20Anthony OyonoD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Bari
Bari
Form: D-W-W-L-W
Frosinone
Frosinone
Form: D-W-W-D-L
Record
3 W
4 D
3 L
4 W
3 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.0
Scored
vs
2.0
Scored
1.4
Conceded
vs
1.5
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:0.6
Away:2.2
Scored
Home:2.2
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:1.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1587
Average
1570
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1633
↑ Momentum (+46)
1565
↓ Momentum (-4)
Expected Outcome
35%
Home Win
34%
Draw
31%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1458
Attack
1538
1542
Defence
1580
Recent Form
1463
Attack
1567
1533
Defence
1593
Post-Match Changes
-13
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Frosinone's Attack vs Bari's Home Fortress
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.80
Expected Value:+4.4%

Alright folks, let's break down this Serie B clash! We've got Frosinone sitting pretty in 4th place with 22 points, traveling to face Bari who are stuck in 15th with just 13 points. There's a clear gap in quality here, but football's not played on paper, hey! Bari's been decent at home lately - unbeaten in their last 5 home matches with 3 wins and 2 draws. They've only conceded 0.6 goals per home game, which is solid stuff. Their recent 1-0 wins over Cesena (3rd place!) and Mantova show they can grind out results when needed. But let's be honest, they're not exactly scoring for fun with just 1 goal per game overall. Frosinone, on the other hand, are flying high! They're banging in 2 goals per game and creating chances like it's going out of style - 16.4 shots and 5.4 on target per game tells you everything you need to know about their attacking intent. That 4-0 demolition of Virtus Entella and 5-1 thrashing of Mantova show what they're capable of on their day. Here's the interesting bit - head-to-head, Bari actually owns Frosinone at home with a perfect 3-1-0 record. But current form suggests Frosinone might finally break that duck. They've been solid away too, winning 40% of their away games and scoring 1.8 goals per trip. Both teams have been finding the net regularly - 60% BTTS rate for both sides in recent matches. With Frosinone's attack firing and Bari's home resilience, I reckon we'll see both teams score here. Key Points: • Frosinone 4th in table vs Bari 15th - clear quality gap • Bari unbeaten in 5 home games (3W-2D) but low scoring • Frosinone averaging 2 goals per game with 16.4 shots per match • Head-to-head favors Bari at home (3-1-0 record) • Both teams scoring in 60% of recent matches • Frosinone's away form: 40% win rate, 1.8 goals per game The way I see it, Frosinone's attacking quality should be enough to breach Bari's home defense, while Bari should be able to find the net against a Frosinone side that concedes 1.5 goals per game. Both teams to score looks like the smart play here!

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📝 Match Preview

Goal Fest Expected When Frosinone Visits Bari
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:2.05
Expected Value:+10.7%

Alright folks, The Big O is here to bring you the goods on what promises to be an entertaining encounter in Serie B! When Bari hosts Frosinone, we're looking at a clash of styles that should get the scoreboard ticking over nicely. Let's talk numbers, because that's where the real story is. Frosinone have been absolutely electric on their travels this season, averaging 1.8 goals scored AND 1.8 goals conceded per away game. That's right - when they hit the road, it's basically an open invitation for goal fests! We've seen them put five past Mantova and four past Virtus Entella recently. This team doesn't do boring - they bring the fireworks wherever they go. Now, Bari at home have been surprisingly solid defensively, letting in just 0.6 goals per game at their own patch. But here's the thing - they've still managed to concede in 60% of their recent matches, and they've been involved in some thrillers themselves. That 3-1 loss to Reggiana and 2-2 draw with Virtus Entella show they can be breached. What really gets The Big O excited is the Both Teams To Score trend - both sides are hitting that mark 60% of the time. When you combine Frosinone's away attacking prowess (they're averaging nearly 2 goals per game on the road) with Bari's decent home scoring rate of 1.2 goals per game, you've got all the ingredients for an Over. The head-to-head stats might show a slight edge to low-scoring games historically, but form tells a different story. Frosinone are in red-hot scoring form, and even Bari's tight home defense has shown cracks against decent opposition. With goal expectancies suggesting around 2.7 total goals, The Big O sees value in the Over 2.5 market at 2.05. This isn't just about numbers - it's about the style clash. Frosinone's free-scoring away form against Bari's solid-but-porous home setup? That's the recipe for excitement that The Big O lives for! **Key Points:** - Frosinone averaging 3.6 total goals per away game (1.8 scored + 1.8 conceded) - Both teams have 60% Both Teams To Score rates in recent matches - Bari's home defense strong (0.6 conceded) but has been breached in recent games - Frosinone's recent away form includes 5-1 and 4-0 victories - Goal expectancies point to 2.7 total goals in this match - Over 2.5 odds at 2.05 offer value based on current form **Summary:** The Big O is backing OVER 2.5 GOALS in this Serie B showdown. Frosinone's away attacking explosion combined with both teams' tendency to concede makes this a prime candidate for goal action. The odds offer nice value, and let's be honest - who doesn't love a good goal fest? Time to get those nets bulging!

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📝 Match Preview

Bari Ready to Bite Back Against Frosinone
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.90
Expected Value:+13.1%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While the league table might suggest Frosinone comes in as the clear favorite sitting pretty in 4th place, I've got my eyes firmly on the little puppies from Bari who are just waiting to spring a surprise! Let me tell you why I'm feeling optimistic about our underdog friends. First off, Bari has been absolutely brilliant at home recently - they've won 60% of their last 5 home matches and have been defensively solid, conceding just 0.6 goals per game on their own patch. They even managed to shut out 3rd-placed Cesena with a 1-0 victory not too long ago, showing they can mix it with the big boys when playing in front of their home crowd. But here's the real gem - the head-to-head record! Bari has historically dominated Frosinone at home with a fantastic 3-1-0 record (that's 75% win rate, folks!). They've won the last two meetings at home, including a 2-1 victory in their most recent encounter. Sometimes teams just have another team's number, and it seems Bari has figured out how to get the better of Frosinone regardless of league positions. Now, Frosinone is no pushover - they're scoring goals for fun with 2.0 per game overall and 1.8 on their travels. But they've also been conceding plenty away from home (1.8 goals per game), which could play right into Bari's hands. The visitors have lost 40% of their last 5 away games, showing they can be vulnerable on the road. Bari's recent form shows they're no pushovers either - they've picked up points in 7 of their last 10 games and have shown real resilience with 4 draws. Their ability to keep things tight at home could frustrate Frosinone's attacking ambitions. With odds of 2.90, the bookmakers are clearly underestimating Bari's chances here. Given their historical dominance over Frosinone at home, solid recent defensive form, and that impressive win over Cesena, I see tremendous value in backing the home side. This is exactly the kind of underdog opportunity that gets my tail wagging! Key Points: - Bari has excellent historical H2H record at home vs Frosinone (3-1-0, 75% win rate) - Bari's recent home form: 60% win rate, only 0.6 goals conceded per game - Bari recently beat 3rd-placed Cesena 1-0 at home - Frosinone concedes 1.8 goals per game away from home - Frosinone has lost 40% of their last 5 away matches - Odds of 2.90 represent excellent value for the home underdog Summary: I'm backing Bari to continue their historical dominance over Frosinone at home. The combination of their solid home defensive record, previous victories over top teams at home, and that fantastic head-to-head advantage makes this too good to pass up. Sometimes the underdog has the last bark, and I believe Bari will prove the bookmakers wrong here!

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📝 Match Preview

Frosinone To Continue Fine Form
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.45
Expected Value:+10.3%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Serie B clash between Bari and Frosinone. On paper, this looks like a tale of two teams heading in opposite directions, innit? Frosinone are sitting pretty in 4th place with 22 points from 12 games, while Bari are lingering down in 15th with just 13 points from 11 matches. That's a proper gap in quality there, mate. Now, Bari have been decent enough at home recently, keeping things tight at the back. They've had some solid results like that 1-0 win over Cesena and another 1-0 against Mantova. At home, they're only letting in 0.60 goals per game, which ain't bad at all. But here's the thing - they're not exactly prolific scorers themselves, only managing 1.20 per game on their own patch. Frosinone, on the other hand, are banging them in for fun this season. Two goals per game on average, and they've had some proper hammerings - remember that 5-1 at Mantova and the 4-0 against Virtus Entella? They're taking more shots too (16.4 per game vs Bari's 11.6) and their accuracy is better. The head-to-head record is interesting though. Bari have actually done well against Frosinone at home, winning 3 out of 4 meetings. Last time they met, Bari nicked it 2-1. But that was then and this is now, and Frosinone are playing much better football this season. Both teams tend to score in their games (60% of the time), but I'm leaning towards Frosinone here. They're just the better side this season, more consistent, and they're creating more chances. Bari's home form looks decent but they've had a bit of a mixed bag overall. The odds make Frosinone slight favorites at 2.45, and I reckon that's about right. They've got the momentum, they're scoring freely, and they're playing with confidence. Bari might make it tough, but I fancy Frosinone to have too much quality in the end.

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