Skip to main content

Match analysis

ItalySerie B

Monza vs Sudtirol

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie B fixture.

Full time1:1HT 1–0

Match Timeline

11'
Jacopo Martini🟨
Yellow Card
32'
M. Maric⚽
Normal Goal → A. Carboni
66'
J. Martini🔄
Substitution 1 → F. Tait
66'
E. Pecorino🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Odogwu
69'
M. Maric🔄
Substitution 1 → L. Colombo
69'
K. Balde🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Petagna
76'
R. Odogwu⚽
Normal Goal
80'
D. Mota🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Alvarez
81'
D. Casiraghi🔄
Substitution 3 → N. Pietrangeli
81'
H. El Kaouakibi🔄
Substitution 4 → S. Davi
87'
Raphael Odogwu🟨
Yellow Card
87'
P. Ciurria🔄
Substitution 4 → N. Galazzi
88'
S. Tronchin🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Masiello
90+2'
Andrea Carboni🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal5
9Total Shots13
1Blocked Shots5
6Shots insidebox9
3Shots outsidebox4
15Fouls22
3Corner Kicks0
0Offsides1
63Ball Possession37
1Yellow Cards2
2Goalkeeper Saves4
559Total passes323
473Passes accurate234
85Passes %72

Tipster previews (4)

PajimonWon

Monza vs Sudtirol: Top vs Bottom Clash

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+12.4%

Alright boys, let's talk about this mismatch! Monza sitting pretty at the top of Serie B with 30 points, while Sudtirol are struggling down in 17th with just 13 points. This is like comparing a proper braai to a burnt sausage - no contest! Monza's been absolutely firing lately…

Mr CertaintyWon

Monza vs Sudtirol: Low-Scoring Affair Expected

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
68%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+17.6%

This Serie B clash presents a fascinating contrast between the league leaders and a team struggling near the relegation zone. Monza sits atop the table with an impressive 30 points from 14 games, showcasing their dominance this season. Their recent form has been exceptional…

Value VinnyLost

Monza's Home Dominance vs Sudtirol's Travel Woes

The pickMonza win

Chance
70%
Odds
1.53
Model EV
+7.1%

The numbers don't lie here, and they're screaming value. Monza sit atop Serie B with 30 points from 14 games, and their recent form reads like a textbook case of dominance: 7 wins, 2 draws, and just 1 loss in their last 10 matches. They've been keeping things tight at the back…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Monza

7W 2D 1L2.30 pts/game

Sudtirol

1W 5D 4L0.80 pts/game

Per game

Monza at home vs Sudtirol away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie B

Overall edge
+195Monza
Venue edge
+182Monza
Rating period
Match snapshot
Monza versus Sudtirol: long term Elo, before the match
MonzaHomeRatingSudtirolAway
Strength
1,669Overall1,475
1,667Match venue1,486
1,667At home1,483
1,561Away1,486
Attack & defence
1,556Attack1,447
1,627Defence1,529
1,544Home attack1,448
1,528Away attack1,453
1,645Home defence1,537
1,567Away defence1,526
Match profile
1,467Goal environment1,425
1,480Home goals1,460
1,487Away goals1,465
1,508Possession1,467
Specialist ratings
1,548Set-piece attack1,510
1,546Set-piece defence1,510
1,610Close games1,469
1,689Winning margin1,478

Match venue compares Monza at home with Sudtirol away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

MonzaMonza1:1

Starting XI

20D. ThiamG
44A. CarboniD
7P. AzziM
17K. BaldeF
47D. MotaF
15F. Delli CarriD
32M. PessinaM
9M. MaricF
4A. IzzoD
14P. ObiangM
26P. CiurriaM

SudtirolSudtirol1:1

Starting XI

31M. AdamonisG
34F. VeseliD
7K. ZedadkaM
9E. PecorinoF
28R. KoflerD
17D. CasiraghiM
33S. MerkajF
94H. El KaouakibiD
18S. TronchinM
6J. MartiniM
79S. MolinaM