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Match analysis

ItalySerie B

Mantova vs Palermo

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie B fixture.

Full time1:1HT 0–1

Match Timeline

8'
P. Ceccaroni⚽
Normal Goal → A. Vasic
10'
Pietro Ceccaroni⚽
Goal confirmed
37'
Filippo Ranocchia🟨
Yellow Card
53'
Simone Trimboli🟨
Yellow Card
59'
F. Ruocco🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Mensah
59'
T. Maggioni🔄
Substitution 2 → F. Paoletti
60'
S. Trimboli🔄
Substitution 3 → F. Zuccon
64'
A. Vasic🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Le Douaron
70'
F. Ranocchia🔄
Substitution 2 → C. Gomes
70'
P. Peda🔄
Substitution 3 → B. Bereszynski
70'
A. Palumbo🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Blin
76'
A. Fiori🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Marras
76'
C. Falletti🔄
Substitution 5 → D. Bragantini
78'
Jesse Joronen🟨
Yellow Card
82'
J. Segre🔄
Substitution 5 → S. Giovane
83'
Cristiano Bani🟨
Yellow Card
90'
T. Marras⚽
Normal Goal → D. Wieser
90+2'
Alessio Castellini🟥
Red card cancelled
90+3'
Alessio Castellini🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal8
6Total Shots18
1Blocked Shots4
2Shots insidebox14
4Shots outsidebox4
7Fouls18
3Corner Kicks6
5Offsides1
64Ball Possession36
3Yellow Cards2
4Goalkeeper Saves0
603Total passes329
468Passes accurate232
78Passes %71

Tipster previews (4)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

The Force is Strong with the Fourth

The pickPalermo win

Chance
58%
Odds
2.05
Model EV
+18.9%

In the great tapestry of Serie B, a clear pattern woven is. At the top, Palermo sits, in fourth place with 33 points. At the bottom, Mantova dwells, in nineteenth with only 15. Eighteen points between them, a chasm of quality, there is. Look at the recent path, we must…

Value VinnyWon

Serie B Value Alert: The Draw Ticks All the Boxes

The pickDraw

Chance
32%
Odds
3.40
Model EV
+8.8%

On paper, this is a classic top-versus-bottom clash. Palermo sit comfortably in 4th with 33 points, eyeing automatic promotion. Mantova languish in 19th with just 15, staring down the barrel of relegation. The market has priced this accordingly, making the away win a short 2.05…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Mantova

3W 1D 6L1.00 pts/game

Palermo

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Per game

Mantova at home vs Palermo away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie B

Overall edge
+154Palermo
Venue edge
+20Palermo
Rating period
Match snapshot
Mantova versus Palermo: long term Elo, before the match
MantovaHomeRatingPalermoAway
Strength
1,429Overall1,582
1,498Match venue1,518
1,498At home1,580
1,421Away1,518
Attack & defence
1,426Attack1,515
1,501Defence1,594
1,472Home attack1,502
1,440Away attack1,523
1,516Home defence1,604
1,477Away defence1,541
Match profile
1,517Goal environment1,523
1,500Home goals1,480
1,517Away goals1,543
1,531Possession1,495
Specialist ratings
1,492Set-piece attack1,506
1,492Set-piece defence1,506
1,466Close games1,483
1,426Winning margin1,609

Match venue compares Mantova at home with Palermo away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

MantovaMantova1:1

Starting XI

24Francesco BardiG
27Alessio CastelliniD
6Cristiano BaniM
19Francesco RuoccoF
9Leonardo MancusoF
29Stefano CellaD
10David WieserM
18César FallettiF
96Tommaso MaggioniD
21Simone TrimboliM
11Antonio FioriM

PalermoPalermo1:1

Starting XI

66Jesse JoronenG
32Pietro CeccaroniD
3Tommaso AugelloM
14Aljoša VasićF
20Joel PohjanpaloF
13Mattia BaniD
10Filippo RanocchiaM
5Antonio PalumboF
29Patryk PedaD
8Jacopo SegreM
27Niccolò PierozziM