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Match analysis

ItalySerie B

Padova vs Monza

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie B fixture.

Full time1:2HT 1–1

Match Timeline

15'
A. Brorsson🟨
Yellow Card
17'
M. Bortolussi
Penalty
24'
M. Perrotta🟨
Yellow Card
39'
C. Faedo🟨
Yellow Card
45'
A. Colpani⚽
Normal Goal → S. Birindelli
46'
M. Perrotta🔄
Substitution 1 → L. Villa
63'
Papu Gomez🔄
Substitution 2 → K. Lasagna
65'
D. Mota🔄
Substitution 1 → P. Cutrone
65'
P. Obiang🔄
Substitution 2 → G. Caso
67'
L. Di Maggio🔄
Substitution 3 → K. Varas
74'
F. Sgarbi🟨
Yellow Card
82'
M. Bortolussi⚽
Goal Disallowed - Foul
84'
A. Brorsson🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Alvarez
84'
Hernani🔄
Substitution 3 → P. Ciurria
87'
A. Alvarez⚽
Normal Goal → G. Caso
90'
A. Colpani🔄
Substitution 5 → L. Lucchesi
90'
A. Barreca🔄
Substitution 5 → F. Di Mariano
90'
J. Harder🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Silva

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal8
10Shots off Goal5
19Total Shots19
8Blocked Shots6
12Shots insidebox10
7Shots outsidebox9
15Fouls9
3Corner Kicks9
2Offsides0
38Ball Possession62
3Yellow Cards1
6Goalkeeper Saves0
312Total passes532
241Passes accurate460
77Passes %86

Tipster previews (5)

The Big "O"Won

Monza's Firepower to Ignite Goal Fest at Padova

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
46%
Odds
2.25
Model EV
+3.5%

The Big O is back, and I'm feeling a surge of excitement for this Serie B clash. On paper, it's a classic top-third versus mid-table battle, with Monza sitting pretty in 3rd place and Padova languishing in 12th. But my specialty isn't picking winners; it's finding the action…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Defensive Wisdom: Low-Scoring Clash Expected

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
1.72
Model EV
+11.8%

In the great tapestry of Serie B, patterns there are. Some speak of goals flowing like rivers. Others, of defences standing as mountains. For Padova against Monza, the mountain path we see. Third in the table, Monza sits, with 41 points from 21 games. A strong campaign, this is…

Mr SimpleWon

Monza Out for Revenge in Serie B Showdown

The pickMonza win

Chance
60%
Odds
1.88
Model EV
+12.8%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Serie B clash. Padova welcome Monza, and on paper, it's a bit of a mismatch. Monza are sitting pretty in 3rd with 41 points, while Padova are down in 12th with just 25. That's a 16-point gap, folks – that's not just a gap, that's a…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Padova

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

Monza

5W 3D 2L1.80 pts/game

Per game

Padova at home vs Monza away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie B

Overall edge
+183Monza
Venue edge
+87Monza
Rating period
Match snapshot
Padova versus Monza: long term Elo, before the match
PadovaHomeRatingMonzaAway
Strength
1,459Overall1,643
1,460Match venue1,547
1,460At home1,668
1,465Away1,547
Attack & defence
1,420Attack1,556
1,532Defence1,614
1,429Home attack1,567
1,446Away attack1,507
1,538Home defence1,636
1,506Away defence1,566
Match profile
1,458Goal environment1,475
1,447Home goals1,493
1,512Away goals1,482
1,500Possession1,510
Specialist ratings
1,468Set-piece attack1,558
1,469Set-piece defence1,557
1,469Close games1,590
1,456Winning margin1,663

Match venue compares Padova at home with Monza away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

PadovaPadova1:1

Starting XI

22Alessandro SorrentinoG
5Marco PerrottaD
3Antonio BarrecaM
10Papu GómezF
32Filippo SgarbiD
23Luca Di MaggioM
20Mattia BortolussiF
72Carlo FaedoD
44Jonas HarderM
8Pietro FusiM
17Alessandro CapelliM

MonzaMonza1:1

Starting XI

20Demba ThiamG
44Andrea CarboniD
7Paulo AzziM
8HernaniF
47Dany MotaF
13Luca RavanelliD
14Pedro ObiangM
28Andrea ColpaniF
2Arvid BrorssonD
32Matteo PessinaM
19Samuele BirindelliM