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Match analysis

ItalySerie B

Bari vs Spezia

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie B fixture.

Full time0:0HT 0–0

Match Timeline

8'
G. Bonfanti🟨
Yellow Card
25'
M. Verreth🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Braunoder
58'
L. Skjellerup🔄
Substitution 2 → G. Di Serio
58'
G. Bonfanti🔄
Substitution 1 → P. Beruatto
66'
N. Cavuoti🔄
Substitution 2 → E. Rao
66'
C. Odenthal🔄
Substitution 3 → V. Mantovani
71'
A. Bellemo🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Valoti
71'
L. Vignali🔄
Substitution 3 → L. Sernicola
77'
D. Traore🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Esteves
77'
M. Cuni🔄
Substitution 5 → R. Pagano
90'
C. Comotto🔄
Substitution 5 → E. Adamo

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal8
21Total Shots18
8Blocked Shots4
9Shots insidebox14
12Shots outsidebox4
12Fouls10
5Corner Kicks10
2Offsides0
52Ball Possession48
0Yellow Cards1
6Goalkeeper Saves7
398Total passes352
321Passes accurate268
81Passes %76
1.57expected_goals1.33
1goals_prevented1

Tipster previews (5)

Mr CertaintyWon

Relegation Six-Pointer Set for Low-Scoring Affair

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
68%
Odds
1.60
Model EV
+8.8%

The Serie B relegation battle takes centre stage as 19th-placed Bari host 18th-placed Spezia in a crucial match where just one point separates the sides. With both teams desperate for points, the instinct might be to expect a frantic, open contest. However, a deep dive into the…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Bari

1W 4D 5L0.70 pts/game

Spezia

4W 1D 5L1.30 pts/game

Per game

Bari at home vs Spezia away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie B

Overall edge
+36Spezia
Venue edge
+39Bari
Rating period
Match snapshot
Bari versus Spezia: long term Elo, before the match
BariHomeRatingSpeziaAway
Strength
1,432Overall1,468
1,519Match venue1,480
1,519At home1,531
1,425Away1,480
Attack & defence
1,391Attack1,431
1,513Defence1,556
1,432Home attack1,461
1,394Away attack1,425
1,560Home defence1,558
1,512Away defence1,580
Match profile
1,323Goal environment1,290
1,402Home goals1,428
1,422Away goals1,362
1,494Possession1,491
Specialist ratings
1,448Set-piece attack1,485
1,450Set-piece defence1,485
1,480Close games1,481
1,414Winning margin1,462

Match venue compares Bari at home with Spezia away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

BariBari1:1

Starting XI

31Michele CerofoliniG
51Andrea CistanaD
93Mehdi DorvalM
28Kevin PiscopoF
11Gabriele MonciniF
26Cas OdenthalD
29Matthias VerrethM
90Marvin ÇuniF
25Raffaele PucinoD
66Daouda TraoreM
20Nicolò CavuotiM

SpeziaSpezia1:1

Starting XI

22Boris RadunovićG
94Giovanni BonfantiD
31Giuseppe AurelioM
9Gabriele ArtisticoF
55Petko HristovD
6Alessandro BellemoM
90Laurs SkjellerupF
37Aleš MatějůD
60Alessandro RomanoM
34Christian ComottoM
32Luca VignaliM