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Match analysis

ItalySerie B

Palermo vs Mantova

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie B fixture.

Full time2:1HT 2–0

Match Timeline

2'
F. Ranocchia⚽
Normal Goal → T. Augello
17'
Federico Zuccon🟨
Yellow Card
19'
Filippo Ranocchia🟨
Yellow Card
32'
Federico Zuccon🟨
Yellow Card
32'
Federico Zuccon🟥
Red Card
38'
J. Pohjanpalo⚽
Normal Goal → A. Palumbo
46'
F. Ranocchia🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Blin
46'
D. Bragantini🔄
Substitution 1 → F. Paoletti
54'
A. Dembele🔄
Substitution 2 → T. Maggioni
54'
D. Mensah🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Marras
67'
Alexis Blin🟥
Red Card
67'
Alexis Blin
Card upgrade
68'
T. Marras
Penalty
69'
A. Palumbo🔄
Substitution 2 → C. Gomes
70'
Alessio Castellini🟨
Yellow Card
71'
Nicolò Radaelli🟨
Yellow Card
75'
Niccolò Pierozzi🟨
Yellow Card
77'
J. Le Douaron🔄
Substitution 3 → D. Johnsen
77'
M. Caprini🔄
Substitution 4 → N. Buso
77'
A. Castellini🔄
Substitution 5 → L. Mancuso
81'
Patryk Peda🟨
Yellow Card
84'
P. Peda🔄
Substitution 4 → G. Magnani
85'
N. Pierozzi🔄
Substitution 5 → E. Gyasi
90+2'
Emmanuel Gyasi🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal2
17Total Shots7
3Blocked Shots2
11Shots insidebox2
6Shots outsidebox5
23Fouls12
9Corner Kicks2
0Offsides4
54Ball Possession46
4Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
368Total passes319
298Passes accurate252
81Passes %79
1.17expected_goals1.02
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (2)

PajimonWon

Palermo vs Mantova: Rosanero to Braai the Bottom Half

The pickPalermo win

Chance
70%
Odds
1.51
Model EV
+5.7%

Howzit my bru! Grab a cold one and pull up a chair next to the braai, because we've got a lekker Serie B clash coming up on Tuesday. Palermo hosting Mantova, and let me tell you, this looks like a proper mismatch on paper. Palermo are sitting pretty in 4th place with 51 points…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Palermo

6W 3D 1L2.10 pts/game

Mantova

3W 4D 3L1.30 pts/game

Per game

Palermo at home vs Mantova away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie B

Overall edge
+147Palermo
Venue edge
+198Palermo
Rating period
Match snapshot
Palermo versus Mantova: long term Elo, before the match
PalermoHomeRatingMantovaAway
Strength
1,599Overall1,452
1,614Match venue1,416
1,614At home1,506
1,513Away1,416
Attack & defence
1,563Attack1,447
1,591Defence1,495
1,547Home attack1,486
1,531Away attack1,432
1,616Home defence1,511
1,537Away defence1,475
Match profile
1,535Goal environment1,528
1,487Home goals1,512
1,548Away goals1,517
1,491Possession1,529
Specialist ratings
1,505Set-piece attack1,491
1,505Set-piece defence1,490
1,497Close games1,496
1,633Winning margin1,446

Match venue compares Palermo at home with Mantova away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

PalermoPalermo1:1

Starting XI

66Jesse JoronenG
32Pietro CeccaroniD
3Tommaso AugelloM
5Antonio PalumboF
20Joel PohjanpaloF
13Mattia BaniD
10Filippo RanocchiaM
21Jérémy Le DouaronF
29Patryk PedaD
8Jacopo SegreM
27Niccolò PierozziM

MantovaMantova1:1

Starting XI

24Francesco BardiG
27Alessio CastelliniD
50Fahem Benaissa-YahiaM
28Maat Daniel CapriniF
7Davis MensahF
29Stefano CellaD
98Federico ZucconM
30Davide BragantiniF
3Ali DembéléD
21Simone TrimboliM
17Nicolò RadaelliM