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Match analysis

ItalySerie B

Modena vs Cesena

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie B fixture.

Full time0:0HT 0–0

Match Timeline

65'
G. Ambrosino🔄
Substitution 1 → P. Mendes
65'
M. De Luca🔄
Substitution 2 → E. Gliozzi
65'
R. Ciervo🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Guidi
75'
T. Berti🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Bisoli
75'
A. Cerri🔄
Substitution 3 → G. Vrioni
89'
Francesco Zampano🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal1
8Shots off Goal1
17Total Shots3
5Blocked Shots1
8Shots insidebox0
9Shots outsidebox3
8Fouls10
7Corner Kicks1
0Offsides2
54Ball Possession46
1Yellow Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
534Total passes464
465Passes accurate398
87Passes %86
0.91expected_goals0.09
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (4)

PajimonLost

Modena to Braai Cesena's Leaky Defence

The pickModena win

Chance
60%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+8.0%

Howzit my bru! Nothing beats a Friday night fixture with a cold one in hand and the braai going while Serie B delivers the goods. This week we've got Modena hosting Cesena, and if you're looking for a lekker bet to get the weekend started, pull up a chair because this one smells…

Mr SimpleLost

Modena vs Cesena: Home Comforts for the Canaries?

The pickModena win

Chance
58%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+4.4%

Alright, settle in with your pint, because we've got a proper Serie B scrap coming up on Saturday evening. Modena are hosting Cesena, and if the numbers are anything to go by, the home side should be fancying their chances to get back on track after a couple of dodgy results…

Value VinnyLost

Modena vs Cesena: Home Comforts Offer Solid Value

The pickModena win

Chance
58%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+4.4%

Value Vinnie here, and I've been crunching the numbers on this Serie B Saturday evening fixture. Sixth-placed Modena host eighth-placed Cesena, and while the table suggests proximity, the underlying data reveals a significant gulf in current form that the market hasn't fully…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Modena

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Cesena

2W 1D 7L0.70 pts/game

Per game

Modena at home vs Cesena away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie B

Overall edge
+44Modena
Venue edge
+15Modena
Rating period
Match snapshot
Modena versus Cesena: long term Elo, before the match
ModenaHomeRatingCesenaAway
Strength
1,515Overall1,471
1,490Match venue1,475
1,490At home1,509
1,523Away1,475
Attack & defence
1,485Attack1,459
1,582Defence1,491
1,480Home attack1,490
1,477Away attack1,436
1,550Home defence1,515
1,578Away defence1,512
Match profile
1,470Goal environment1,508
1,468Home goals1,512
1,502Away goals1,497
1,503Possession1,497
Specialist ratings
1,554Set-piece attack1,538
1,553Set-piece defence1,537
1,436Close games1,526
1,540Winning margin1,455

Match venue compares Modena at home with Cesena away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

ModenaModena1:1

Starting XI

1Leandro ChichizolaG
25Alessandro DellavalleD
98Luca ZanimacchiaM
10Giuseppe AmbrosinoF
28Davide AdorniD
8Simone SantoroM
99Manuel De LucaF
77Daniel TonoliD
16Fabio GerliM
17Yanis MassolinM
7Francesco ZampanoM

CesenaCesena1:1

Starting XI

33Jonathan KlinsmannG
26Matteo PiacentiniD
99Gianluca FrabottaM
9Cristian ShpendiF
19Giovanni ZaroD
70Matteo FrancesconiM
7Alberto CerriF
15Andrea CiofiD
4Michele CastagnettiM
14Tommaso BertiM
11Riccardo CiervoM