Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 17:30
Serie B
Italy
Italy
Full Time
2:0
HT: 1 - 0

Match Timeline

12'
A. Palumbo
Normal Goal → J. Le Douaron
33'
L. Palmiero🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Le Borgne
37'
Niccolò Pierozzi🟨
Yellow Card
37'
Armando Izzo🟨
Yellow Card
43'
Armando Izzo🟨
Yellow Card
43'
Armando Izzo🟥
Red Card
43'
Armando Izzo🟥
Red card cancelled
45+2'
Lorenco Šimić🟨
Yellow Card
46'
N. Pierozzi🔄
Substitution 1 → E. Gyasi
46'
C. Patierno🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Russo
46'
M. Besaggio🔄
Substitution 3 → P. Enrici
57'
J. Joronen🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Gomis
64'
T. Biasci🔄
Substitution 4 → R. Insigne
66'
Emmanuel Gyasi🟨
Yellow Card
71'
A. Palumbo🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Vasic
72'
J. Segre🔄
Substitution 4 → S. Giovane
80'
D. Sounas🔄
Substitution 5 → G. Tutino
82'
F. Ranocchia
Normal Goal → J. Pohjanpalo
85'
M. Bani🔄
Substitution 5 → G. Magnani

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal2
10Total Shots5
0Blocked Shots2
6Shots insidebox1
4Shots outsidebox4
14Fouls15
1Corner Kicks0
2Offsides3
51Ball Possession49
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves1
405Total passes385
317Passes accurate287
78Passes %75
0.67expected_goals0.12
-1goals_prevented-1

Starting Lineups

PalermoPalermo1:1

Starting XI

66Jesse JoronenG
32Pietro CeccaroniD
3Tommaso AugelloM
5Antonio PalumboF
20Joel PohjanpaloF
13Mattia BaniD
10Filippo RanocchiaM
21Jérémy Le DouaronF
29Patryk PedaD
8Jacopo SegreM
27Niccolò PierozziM

AvellinoAvellino1:1

Starting XI

30Giovanni DaffaraG
3Marco SalaD
39Michele BesaggioM
20Martin PalumboM
14Tommaso BiasciF
4Armando IzzoD
6Luca PalmieroM
9Cosimo PatiernoF
44Lorenco ŠimićD
24Dimitrios SounasM
29Tommaso CancellottiD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Palermo
Palermo
Form: W-D-L-W-W
Avellino
Avellino
Form: L-W-W-W-L
Record
6 W
2 D
2 L
3 W
2 D
5 L
Goals Per Game
1.9
Scored
vs
1.0
Scored
1.3
Conceded
vs
1.6
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.6
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.6
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:2.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1615
Good
1522
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1680
↑ Momentum (+65)
1526
↑ Momentum (+3)
Expected Outcome
44%
Home Win
30%
Draw
26%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1552
Attack
1469
1582
Defence
1479
Recent Form
1605
Attack
1469
1575
Defence
1475
Post-Match Changes
+6
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Palermo vs Avellino - Serie B Betting Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.85
Expected Value:+18.4%
Confidence:7

Hello bettors! Pajimon here, bringing you the meat of the match. What do you mean no meat? We want goals, not vegetables! Today we look at Palermo vs Avellino in Serie B, kicking off on 2026-04-05. This is a crucial fixture for both sides, but the stats point clearly to a high-scoring affair. Palermo is sitting pretty at 4th place with 61 points. Their home form is strong. In the last 5 home games, they won 80% of them. They average 2.60 goals per game at home. That's a lot of meat on the BBQ plate! Their recent results show wins against Padova (1-0), Carrarese (1-0), and Mantova (2-1). They are averaging 1.90 goals per game over the last 10 matches. Their shot accuracy at home is 38.0%, which is solid. Avellino is struggling away. They are 10th with 39 points. Their away win rate is only 20% in the last 5 away games. They concede 2.00 goals per game on the road. That defense is leaking like a sieve. Their recent away results include losses to Sampdoria (1-2), Venezia (0-4), and Monza (1-2). Their shot accuracy away is 42.4%, but they are conceding heavily. The goal expectancy suggests a total of 3.30 goals (2.30 home + 1.00 away). With Palermo scoring heavily at home and Avellino leaking goals away, the Over 2.5 Goals market looks tasty. The odds are 1.85. The last meeting ended in a 2-2 draw, which supports the goal expectation. Head-to-head shows 4 out of 9 matches had Over 2.5 goals. I'm confident in the Over 2.5 Goals bet. The stats back it up. No politics, just pure football and winning. Let's grab some beer and watch the goals fly. The edge is clear when you look at the home goal environment and away defensive stats. Key Points: - Palermo Home Win Rate: 80% - Avellino Away Win Rate: 20% - Expected Goals: 3.30 - Recommended Bet: Over 2.5 Goals

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