Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 15:30
Full Time

Match Timeline

41'
F. Fanini🟨
Yellow Card
45+3'
M. Panatti🟨
Yellow Card
46'
F. FaniniπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ C. Gatti
46'
M. PagliucaπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ T. Mancini
50'
L. Zarpellon🟨
Yellow Card
57'
S. RegazzettiπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ M. Gualandris
57'
G. MaucciπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ M. Bertoli
61'
M. AmadioπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ F. Saiani
65'
L. MunarettiπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ M. Daffara
67'
G. MondiniπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ M. Ievoli
78'
N. PataneπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ M. Fabbro
85'
F. GobbiπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ A. Torri
85'
M. GuarneriπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ M. Scheffer
87'
R. Nessi🟨
Yellow Card

Head-to-Head

πŸ“ˆ Team Form & Statistics

Virtus Verona
Virtus Verona
Form: L-L-D-L-L
Ospitaletto
Ospitaletto
Form: W-D-W-L-D
Record
0 W
3 D
7 L
β€’
3 W
6 D
1 L
Goals Per Game
0.8
Scored
vs
1.4
Scored
2.2
Conceded
vs
1.4
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
0%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.6
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.8
Away:2.6
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.4
Away:1.4

⚑ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1410
Average
1524
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1345
↓ Momentum (-65)
1568
↑ Momentum (+44)
Expected Outcome
24%
Home Win
29%
Draw
47%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1391
Attack
1504
1461
Defence
1530
Recent Form
1368
Attack
1532
1411
Defence
1531
Post-Match Changes
+2
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

πŸ“ Match Preview

Virtus Verona vs Ospitaletto - Serie C Betting Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.05
Expected Value:+12.8%
Confidence:7

Hmmm. The form, it tells a story. Virtus Verona, they struggle. Ten games without a win, you see? Their defense, it leaks like a sieve. Twenty-two goals conceded in ten matches. That is 2.20 goals per game, a dangerous number. At home, they score only 0.60 goals per game. Their attack, it is weak. Ospitaletto, they are different. Three wins in ten games. Their defense is solid, conceding 1.40 goals per game. Away from home, they draw often, but they win sometimes. In the league table, Ospitaletto sits at 15th place with 41 points. Verona is 18th, with only 22 points. The gap is large, the gap is real. Head-to-head, they met once before. A 1-1 draw it was. But that was months ago. Form changes, things do. Verona has not won in ten games. Ospitaletto has not lost in five away games. The trend is clear. Goals? Verona concedes 2.20 per game. Ospitaletto scores 1.40 per game. Over 2.5 goals, the odds are 2.08. But the expected goals sum to 2.40. Close, it is. But the most likely outcome is an Ospitaletto victory. The odds for Away Win are 2.05. Implied probability is 48.78%. If you believe Ospitaletto wins 55% of the time, the edge is over 6%. That is value, yes. Do not bet blindly. Look at the stats. Verona has zero clean sheets in ten games. Ospitaletto has three. The away team is stronger. The odds of 2.05 for an Away Win are tempting. But hedge your bets, you should. If you must bet, the Away Win is the logical choice. Verona is in deep trouble. Ospitaletto is stable. The wise choice, it is.

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Virtus Verona vs Ospitaletto: Away Win Value
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.05
Expected Value:+12.8%
Confidence:7

Right then, let's have a chat about this Serie C clash between Virtus Verona and Ospitaletto. It's April 2026, and the season is winding down, but the stakes are still high for both sides. When you look at the stats, the story is pretty clear cut. Verona are in a proper slump, while Ospitaletto are holding their own. Virtus Verona are currently sitting in 18th place with just 22 points from 34 games. Their recent form is grim. In their last 10 matches, they haven't won a single game. They've drawn three and lost seven. Look at their last result: a heavy 5-0 defeat to Triestina. Their defence is leaking like a sieve, conceding 2.20 goals per game on average. At home, they haven't won in their last five fixtures either. It's a tough spot for them. On the other side, Ospitaletto are in 15th place with 41 points. Their last 10 games show three wins, six draws, and only one loss. They are much more consistent. They scored 14 goals in that run and kept three clean sheets. Their away form isn't perfect, but they've taken points on the road, including a 2-1 win against Arzignano Valchiampo. They are averaging 1.40 goals scored per game. When we look at the odds, the bookies have Ospitaletto to win at 2.05. The implied probability there is around 49%. Given the massive gap in form and points (19 points difference), the true chance of an away win feels higher, closer to 55%. That gives us a solid edge of over 6%, which meets our value threshold. The goal expectancy suggests around 2.4 total goals, which leans slightly towards Under 2.5, but the odds there don't offer the same value. Key Points: - Virtus Verona: 0 wins in last 10 games, 22 points total. - Ospitaletto: 3 wins in last 10 games, 41 points total. - Verona concedes 2.20 goals per game; Ospitaletto scores 1.40 goals per game. - Away Win odds at 2.05 offer value based on form gap. - Last H2H was a 1-1 draw in November 2025. In short, the value lies with Ospitaletto to take the three points. Tip: Away Win.

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