Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 15:30
Full Time

Match Timeline

35'
S. Parlati🟨
Yellow Card
51'
M. Guarneri🟨
Yellow Card
55'
R. Nessi⚽
Normal Goal
59'
M. Guarneri⚽
Normal Goal
63'
M. GuarneriπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ G. Mondini
63'
A. TorriπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ F. Gobbi
64'
E. SottiniπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ A. De Paoli
64'
A. LombardiπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ L. Sorrentino
64'
E. GianniniπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ A. Garattoni
71'
G. SciaccaπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ G. Boloca
79'
M. IevoliπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ S. Regazzetti
81'
F. Gobbi⚽
Normal Goal
83'
B. BarbaπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ G. Ferrarini
90'
M. CasaliπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ A. Contessi
90'
M. BertoliπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ A. Pavanello

Head-to-Head

πŸ“ˆ Team Form & Statistics

Ospitaletto
Ospitaletto
Form: D-W-D-W-L
Albinoleffe
Albinoleffe
Form: W-D-W-L-W
Record
3 W
6 D
1 L
β€’
5 W
3 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
1.3
Scored
vs
1.3
Scored
1.3
Conceded
vs
0.6
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
50%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
30%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:1.5
Away:1.2
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:1.4
Conceded
Home:0.4
Away:0.8

⚑ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1524
Average
1518
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1568
↑ Momentum (+44)
1541
↑ Momentum (+22)
Expected Outcome
33%
Home Win
35%
Draw
32%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1504
Attack
1488
1539
Defence
1567
Recent Form
1532
Attack
1515
1549
Defence
1597
Post-Match Changes
+12
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

πŸ“ Match Preview

Ospitaletto vs Albinoleffe - Serie C Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:3.00
Expected Value:+20.0%
Confidence:6

Hello friends! Umery Underdog here, sniffing out value where others miss it. Today, we look at Ospitaletto hosting Albinoleffe in Serie C. The bookies have Ospitaletto as the slight favourite at 2.25, but our little puppy Albinoleffe is the true underdog at 3.00. We always back the pups, not the big dogs. Albinoleffe has been rock solid away from home, remaining unbeaten in their last 5 away matches. They've conceded just 0.60 goals per game, compared to Ospitaletto's leaky 1.30. Ospitaletto sits 15th with 42 points, while Albinoleffe is 10th with 47 points. Albinoleffe's recent form (1.80 PPG) outshines Ospitaletto (1.50 PPG). With Albinoleffe unbeaten away and Ospitaletto conceding more goals, the value lies with the underdog. Looking at the recent results, Albinoleffe has secured wins against Pergolettese (3-0), Virtus Verona (3-1), Inter U23 (1-0), Union Brescia (1-0), and Arzignano Valchiampo (2-0). Their defensive record is stellar, keeping clean sheets in 50% of games. Ospitaletto, while unbeaten at home in their last 4 games, has a higher concession rate of 1.50 goals per home game. Their recent home wins include a 3-2 victory over Giana Erminio and a 3-2 win over Trento, but they also drew 0-0 with Pro Patria and Inter U23. The head-to-head record shows a 1-1 draw in their last meeting. Goal expectancy suggests a tight game, with Ospitaletto expected to score 1.40 and Albinoleffe 1.45. However, Albinoleffe's defensive solidity gives them the edge. We recommend backing Albinoleffe to win. **Key Points:** - Albinoleffe unbeaten in last 5 away games. - Albinoleffe concedes fewer goals (0.60 vs 1.30). - Albinoleffe higher PPG (1.80 vs 1.50). - Albinoleffe 10th in table vs Ospitaletto 15th. **Summary:** Albinoleffe Away Win.

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