Mon, 13 Apr 2026, 18:30
Full Time

Match Timeline

18'
L. Giudici
Normal Goal
45+3'
G. Felicioli🟨
Yellow Card
45+4'
L. Clemenza
Penalty
46'
G. Felicioli🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Travaglini
46'
E. Toci🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Vacca
55'
N. Gobetti🔄
Substitution 2 → N. Trabucchi
55'
D. Mondonico🔄
Substitution 3 → F. Migliardi
58'
J. Frosali🔄
Substitution 2 → G. Citterio
63'
G. Marconi
Normal Goal
68'
L. Giudici🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Orfei
69'
G. Tunjov🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Schiro
72'
G. Citterio
Normal Goal
72'
G. Marconi🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Saccani
74'
F. Mastroianni
Normal Goal
83'
M. Barbini🔄
Substitution 5 → T. Olonisakin
85'
A. Orfei
Normal Goal
87'
B. Renelus🔄
Substitution 5 → P. Reggiori

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Dolomiti Bellunesi
Dolomiti Bellunesi
Form: D-L-W-L-W
Pro Patria
Pro Patria
Form: D-L-L-L-D
Record
3 W
1 D
6 L
1 W
4 D
5 L
Goals Per Game
1.4
Scored
vs
0.9
Scored
1.9
Conceded
vs
1.6
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
0%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
80%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.4
Away:1.4
Conceded
Home:2.0
Away:1.8
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:0.6
Conceded
Home:1.6
Away:1.6

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1465
Average
1419
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1431
↓ Momentum (-34)
1386
↓ Momentum (-33)
Expected Outcome
38%
Home Win
33%
Draw
29%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1460
Attack
1393
1462
Defence
1432
Recent Form
1451
Attack
1391
1445
Defence
1407
Post-Match Changes
-16
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Pro Patria - Betting Preview
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.80
Expected Value:+8.0%
Confidence:7

The match, it is. Dolomiti Bellunesi versus Pro Patria, in Serie C Girone A. A clash of the bottom half, it is. Careful, you must be. Dolomiti Bellunesi, at home, they struggle. Last five home games, only one win. 20% win rate, the data shows. Goals conceded, many there are. 2.00 per game at home, the defense is weak. But strength, long term, they have. Elo strength, 1464.8, it is. Stronger than the visitors, they are. Pro Patria, away from home, they falter. Last five away games, zero wins. 0% win rate, the record states. Goals scored, few they make. 0.60 per game away, the offense is quiet. Defense, also weak. 1.60 goals conceded per game away. Head-to-head, the history is clear. Last meeting, December 2025. Dolomiti Bellunesi won 2-0. Psychological edge, Dolomiti holds. Pro Patria, they fear the home side. Odds, the bookmakers set. Home Win at 1.80. Implied probability, 55.5%. Fair probability, we calculate. 60% chance, we estimate. Edge, 8% there is. Value, it presents itself. Goals, many may fall. Expectancy, 1.50 for home, 1.30 for away. Total, 2.80 goals. Over 2.5, the odds are 2.00. Fair probability, 47.37%. Implied, 50%. No value there. Under 2.5, also no value. BTTS, the market is balanced. No edge, you find. Confidence, high it is. 7 out of 10, I say. The home advantage, the Elo gap, the H2H record. All point to Dolomiti Bellunesi. But hedge your bets, you should. Risk, it exists. Key Points: - Dolomiti Bellunesi: 16th place, 39 points. Home win rate 20% (last 5). - Pro Patria: 19th place, 20 points. Away win rate 0% (last 5). - H2H: Dolomiti won 2-0 in the last meeting. - Odds: Home Win 1.80 offers value (8% edge). - Goal Expectancy: 2.80 total goals expected. The bet, Home Win it is. 1.80 odds, the value lies. Do or do not bet, there is no try. But this one, worth the try it is.

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