Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 18:30
Full Time
2:0
HT: 0 - 0

Match Timeline

10'
J. Lipani🟨
Yellow Card
54'
K. LeoneπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ C. Saco
55'
S. OukhaddaπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ D. Liotti
61'
J. Lipani⚽
Normal Goal
73'
G. Parigi
Penalty
74'
S. PezzellaπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Y. Kallon
74'
S. GirelliπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ A. Bentivegna
75'
A. De CristofaroπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ A. Vona
75'
A. RiccardiπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ S. D'Angelo
75'
A. CioffiπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ N. Fasan
79'
C. Saco🟨
Yellow Card
80'
M. CasarottoπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ M. Vano
84'
J. LipaniπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ D. Hergheligiu
89'
G. ParigiπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ Y. Sylla
90+1'
M. Vano🟨
Yellow Card

Head-to-Head

πŸ“ˆ Team Form & Statistics

Latina
Latina
Form: L-D-W-L-L
Casertana
Casertana
Form: W-W-W-W-W
Record
3 W
2 D
5 L
β€’
7 W
1 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
1.1
Scored
vs
1.6
Scored
1.4
Conceded
vs
1.0
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
50%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
40%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:2.0
Scored
Home:2.2
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:0.6
Away:1.4

⚑ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1465
Average
1599
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1437
↓ Momentum (-28)
1673
↑ Momentum (+74)
Expected Outcome
23%
Home Win
27%
Draw
50%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1375
Attack
1535
1555
Defence
1590
Recent Form
1358
Attack
1587
1562
Defence
1606
Post-Match Changes
+14
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

πŸ“ Match Preview

Latina vs Casertana - Serie C Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.20
Expected Value:+21.0%
Confidence:7

Hmmm, the path of the ball is clear. To bet, you must look at the signs. The table tells a story, you see? Casertana sits in 3rd place with 65 points. Strong, they are. Latina sits in 16th place with 36 points. Weak, they are. Form, look at it. In the last 10 games, Casertana won 7 matches. Latina won only 3. The difference is clear. Last time they met, Casertana won 3-1. The memory of that victory, it lingers. Goals, there are many. Latina at home scores 1.20 goals per game. Casertana away scores 1.00 goals per game. Combined expectancy is 2.20 goals. Under 2.5 goals is priced at 1.60. But the fair probability suggests the bookmakers have priced it too high. No value there. Casertana's away defence is stable. They concede 1.40 goals away. Latina's home defence is decent, conceding 0.80 goals. But Casertana's attack is sharper. 1.60 goals per game overall for Casertana. Odds for Casertana win are 2.20. The implied probability is 45.45%. Given the gap in points and form, the true chance is higher. Value, there is. Confidence, 7 out of 10. Bet, you should. But hedge your bets, you should. The wisdom of the Force is with Casertana. Latina struggles with consistency. Volatility is high for Latina. Casertana is consistent. 50% clean sheet rate for Casertana. Latina only 20%. Do or do not bet, there is no try. But when the value is clear, act you must. The Away Win is the choice. 2.20 odds, a good price for the stronger team. The path is set.

Read Full Preview β†’