Skip to main content

Match analysis

AustraliaA-League

Sydney vs Melbourne Victory

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this A-League fixture.

Match Timeline

-5'
Patrick Wood🟨
Yellow Card
58'
Joe Lolley⚽
Normal Goal → Joel King
60'
Al Hassan Toure🔄
Substitution 1 → Abel Walatee
60'
Jing Lual🔄
Substitution 1 → Nikos Vergos
66'
Jason Davidson🟨
Yellow Card
70'
Joe Lolley⚽
Normal Goal → Marcel Tisserand
74'
Lachlan Jackson🔄
Substitution 2 → Sebastian Esposito
75'
Matthew Grimaldi🔄
Substitution 3 → Clarismario
75'
Jordi Valadon🔄
Substitution 4 → Louis D'Arrigo
76'
Alex Grant⚽
Normal Goal → Piero Quispe
82'
Juan Mata🔄
Substitution 5 → Xavier Stella
88'
Joe Lolley🔄
Substitution 2 → Patrick Wood
90'
Alex Grant🔄
Substitution 3 → Jordan Courtney-Perkins

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal10
17Total Shots17
4Blocked Shots3
12Shots insidebox11
5Shots outsidebox6
8Fouls10
6Corner Kicks7
1Offsides3
51Ball Possession49
1Yellow Cards1
4Goalkeeper Saves2
384Total passes378
314Passes accurate306
82Passes %81

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonWon

Sydney Ready to Grill Victory at Home

The pickSydney win

Chance
65%
Odds
2.05
Model EV
+33.3%

Right then, let's get down to business! Sydney sitting pretty in 2nd place with 9 points from 4 games - that's proper form! Melbourne Victory struggling down in 9th with only 4 points, big gap between these sides. Sydney's recent form is what I like to see - 6 wins from their…

Mr SimpleWon

Sydney Flying High vs Victory's Away Woes

The pickSydney win

Chance
55%
Odds
2.05
Model EV
+12.8%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this A-League clash between Sydney and Melbourne Victory. The lads from Sydney are sitting pretty in 2nd place with 9 points from 4 games, while Victory are languishing down in 9th with just 4 points. There's a proper gap between these two…

Umery UnderdogLost

Victory Ready to Bite the Sky Blues

The pickMelbourne Victory win

Chance
35%
Odds
3.30
Model EV
+15.5%

Oh, what a delightful underdog story we have brewing here! While everyone's looking at Sydney sitting pretty in second place with their shiny 9 points, I'm over here wagging my tail at Melbourne Victory, the ninth-placed pups with a secret weapon - they absolutely OWN this…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

Sydney's Home Wisdom Faces Victory's Journey

The pickSydney win

Chance
55%
Odds
2.05
Model EV
+12.8%

In the grand tapestry of football, the force of home advantage often reveals its true power. Sydney, sitting second in the league with 9 points from 4 matches, has found harmony on their home ground. Two consecutive clean sheets - 2-0 against Macarthur and 2-0 versus Central…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Sydney

6W 1D 3L1.90 pts/game

Melbourne Victory

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Per game

Sydney at home vs Melbourne Victory away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within A-League

Overall edge
+5Sydney
Venue edge
+53Sydney
Rating period
Match snapshot
Sydney versus Melbourne Victory: long term Elo, before the match
SydneyHomeRatingMelbourne VictoryAway
Strength
1,548Overall1,543
1,585Match venue1,532
1,585At home1,525
1,500Away1,532
Attack & defence
1,574Attack1,487
1,523Defence1,567
1,630Home attack1,473
1,491Away attack1,488
1,521Home defence1,573
1,518Away defence1,550
Match profile
2,088Goal environment1,995
1,797Home goals1,800
1,792Away goals1,695
1,500Possession1,499
Specialist ratings
1,497Set-piece attack1,510
1,497Set-piece defence1,509
1,461Close games1,518
1,577Winning margin1,539

Match venue compares Sydney at home with Melbourne Victory away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

SydneySydney1:1

Starting XI

12Harrison Devenish-MearesG
16Joel KingD
35Al Hassan ToureM
7Piero QuispeF
5Alex GrantD
24Paul Okon-EngstlerM
9Víctor CampuzanoF
32Marcel TisserandD
36Rhys YoulleyM
23Rhyan GrantD
10Joe LolleyM

Melbourne VictoryMelbourne Victory1:1

Starting XI

25Jack DuncanG
2Jason DavidsonD
14Matthew GrimaldiM
64Juan MataF
19Jing LualF
4Lachlan JacksonD
10Denis GenreauM
21Roderick MirandaD
8Jordi ValadonM
16Joshua InserraD
23Keegan JelacicM