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Match analysis

AustraliaA-League

Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne City

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this A-League fixture.

Match Timeline

30'
Besian Kutleshi🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Sabit James NgorπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Bailey Brandtman
48'
Max Caputo🟨
Yellow Card
60'
Zane SchreiberπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Andreas Kuen
60'
Max CaputoπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ Medin Memeti
60'
Kavian RahmaniπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Emin Durakovic
67'
Arthur De LimaπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ Christian Theoharous
68'
Ryan EdmondsonπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Nicholas Duarte
69'
Samuel SouprayenπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Liam Bonetig
72'
Nathan PaullπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Harrison Steele
77'
Besian KutleshiπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ Harrison Shillington
79'
Miguel Di PizioπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ Abdul Faisal

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal4
0Shots off Goal5
3Total Shots14
1Blocked Shots5
2Shots insidebox9
1Shots outsidebox5
7Fouls8
3Corner Kicks8
2Offsides4
42Ball Possession58
0Yellow Cards2
5Goalkeeper Saves2
345Total passes475
272Passes accurate401
79Passes %84

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonLost

Mariners vs City: Both Teams To Score Value

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
1.70
Model EV
+10.5%

Right then, let's get down to business with this A-League clash! The Mariners might be sitting in 6th spot with 7 points, but their recent form has been rough - just 2 wins from their last 10 games and they're leaking goals like a sieve (2.2 per game). But here's the thing, at…

The Big "O"Lost

Mariners' Leaky Defense Sets Up Goal Fest

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+8.0%

Alright folks, The Big O is here and I'm smelling goals in the air! This matchup has all the ingredients for a proper goal-fest, and I'm getting excited just thinking about it. Let's talk about the Central Coast Mariners first. These boys are basically playing basketball on a…

Umery UnderdogLost

Mariners Ready to Bite Against City

The pickCentral Coast Mariners win

Chance
35%
Odds
4.75
Model EV
+66.3%

Hello fellow underdog enthusiasts! Today we're looking at a fascinating matchup where the little guys might just have their day. Central Coast Mariners, currently sitting 6th in the A-League, host Melbourne City in what the bookmakers see as a mismatch. But I see something…

Value VinnyLost

Mariners vs City: Value Found in BTTS Market

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
63%
Odds
1.70
Model EV
+7.1%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. The market has Melbourne City as heavy favorites at 1.75, but the data tells a different story when you dig deeper. Central Coast Mariners have been defensively porous this season, conceding 2.20 goals per game over…

Mr SimpleLost

Mariners vs City: BTTS Value Down Under

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
1.70
Model EV
+10.5%

Right then, let's have a proper gander at this A-League scrap between Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne City. The table tells you these two are neck and neck - just one point separating 'em, so we should be in for a proper battle. Now, let's talk form, and this is where it…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Central Coast Mariners

2W 3D 5L0.90 pts/game

Melbourne City

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Per game

Central Coast Mariners at home vs Melbourne City away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match Β· within A-League

Overall edge
+137Melbourne City
Venue edge
+20Melbourne City
Rating period
Match snapshot
Central Coast Mariners versus Melbourne City: long term Elo, before the match
Central Coast MarinersHomeRatingMelbourne CityAway
Strength
1,478Overall1,615
1,518Match venue1,538
1,518At home1,661
1,521Away1,538
Attack & defence
1,456Attack1,486
1,489Defence1,643
1,486Home attack1,528
1,485Away attack1,490
1,490Home defence1,647
1,540Away defence1,565
Match profile
2,062Goal environment2,142
1,803Home goals1,825
1,758Away goals1,817
1,496Possession1,508
Specialist ratings
1,491Set-piece attack1,511
1,491Set-piece defence1,510
1,537Close games1,580
1,445Winning margin1,622

Match venue compares Central Coast Mariners at home with Melbourne City away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast Mariners1:1

Starting XI

30A. RedmayneG
5L. MauragisD
22A. De LimaM
10M. Di PizioF
3N. PaullD
8A. McCalmontM
9R. EdmondsonF
2J. DonachieD
26B. TappM
15S. RouxD
11S. James NgorM

Melbourne CityMelbourne City1:1

Starting XI

1P. BeachG
16A. BehichD
19Z. SchreiberM
47K. RahmaniF
26S. SouprayenD
27K. TrewinM
17M. CaputoF
22G. FerreyraD
10T. KanamoriM
15A. NabboutF
44B. KutleshiD