Wed, 3 Dec 2025, 22:00
Serie A
Brazil
Brazil
Full Time

Match Timeline

-5'
Vanderlan🟨
Yellow Card
6'
Eduardo Sasha
Normal Goal → Jhon Jhon
8'
Eduardo Sasha
Normal Goal → I. Pitta
38'
Lucas Barbosa🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Lucas Halter🔄
Substitution 1 → Dudu
46'
A. Cantalapiedra🔄
Substitution 2 → Matheuzinho
51'
Lucas Barbosa
Normal Goal → Eduardo Sasha
63'
Gustavo Neves🟨
Yellow Card
65'
Jhon Jhon
Normal Goal
69'
Unknown Player🔄
Substitution 3 → Ricardo Ryller
70'
Eduardo Sasha🔄
Substitution 1 → Vinicinho
70'
Lucas Barbosa🔄
Substitution 2 → Matheus Fernandes
70'
Renato Kayzer🔄
Substitution 4 → Ronald Lopes
70'
Erick🔄
Substitution 5 → Osvaldo
71'
Juninho Capixaba🔄
Substitution 3 → Guilherme
81'
Gustavo Neves🔄
Substitution 4 → Eric Ramires
81'
I. Pitta🔄
Substitution 5 → T. Borbas

Match Statistics

9Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal2
21Total Shots7
3Blocked Shots2
13Shots insidebox3
8Shots outsidebox4
21Fouls12
5Corner Kicks0
3Offsides3
57Ball Possession43
3Yellow Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves5
463Total passes360
393Passes accurate285
85Passes %79
2.21expected_goals0.35
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

RB BragantinoRB Bragantino1:1

Starting XI

1CleitonG
29Juninho CapixabaD
6Gabriel GirottoM
10Jhon JhonM
9Isidro PittaF
16Gustavo MarquesD
22Gustavo NevesM
8Eduardo SashaM
4Alix ViniciusD
21Lucas BarbosaM
45Nathan MendesD

VitoriaVitoria1:1

Starting XI

12Thiago CoutoG
3Zé MarcosD
13RamonM
17Aitor CantalapiedraF
79Renato KayzerF
4CamutangaD
44Gabriel BaralhasM
33ErickF
5Lucas HalterD
29Willian OliveiraM
27Raúl CáceresM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

RB Bragantino
RB Bragantino
Form: L-L-W-W-W
Vitoria
Vitoria
Form: W-W-D-D-W
Record
4 W
0 D
6 L
5 W
2 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
0.8
Scored
vs
1.3
Scored
1.6
Conceded
vs
1.0
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
50%
BTTS
30%
BTTS
40%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:0.6
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:2.2
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:1.6
Conceded
Home:0.4
Away:1.6

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1568
Average
1535
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1565
↓ Momentum (-3)
1609
↑ Momentum (+75)
Expected Outcome
37%
Home Win
33%
Draw
30%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1494
Attack
1461
1523
Defence
1584
Recent Form
1477
Attack
1457
1534
Defence
1631
Post-Match Changes
+9
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Bragantino vs Vitoria: Battle of Mid-Table Strugglers
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.75
Expected Value:+13.8%

Alright folks, let's fire up the braai and break down this Serie A clash between two teams who've had their ups and downs this season! RB Bragantino hosts Vitoria in what should be a cracking encounter. Looking at the table, these sides are practically neighbors - just 3 points separating them in 12th and 15th place. But recent form tells a very different story! Bragantino have been struggling lately, picking up just 4 wins from their last 10 games. They've had some shocking results like that 0-3 hammering by Flamengo and a 0-1 loss to bottom-half Fortaleza. To be fair, they've shown some fight with wins against decent sides like Atletico-MG (2-0) and Corinthians (2-1), but consistency has been their biggest enemy. Vitoria, on the other hand, have been cooking with gas! Five wins in their last 10 games, including a brilliant 2-0 victory over high-flying Mirassol and a 3-1 thrashing of Sport Recife. They even managed to hold Palmeiras to a 0-0 draw away from home - that's no mean feat, my friends! Now here's where it gets interesting. Bragantino have a perfect home record against Vitoria historically - 4 wins from 4 meetings at their place. But current form suggests that streak might be under threat. Vitoria are scoring goals for fun on their travels (1.6 per game away), while Bragantino are leaking goals at the back (1.6 conceded per game overall). The stats don't lie - Vitoria look sharper in attack and more solid defensively. They've kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 compared to Bragantino's 3. Plus, Vitoria have had more rest days (4 vs 7 for Bragantino), which could be crucial at this stage of the season. I'm expecting goals in this one. Vitoria's away scoring record combined with Bragantino's defensive vulnerabilities makes both teams to score look like the smart play here.

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📝 Match Preview

Bragantino vs Vitoria: Away Win on the Cards?
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:3.10
Expected Value:+8.5%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Brazilian Serie A clash between RB Bragantino and Vitoria. Both sides are lingering in the bottom half of the table, but there's a right old contrast in form between these two. Bragantino, sitting in 12th, have been proper hit and miss lately. They've only managed 4 wins in their last 10 games, and blimey, some of those losses have been heavy - getting stuffed 5-1 by Palmeiras and 3-0 by Flamengo. They do have some decent results mixed in, like beating Atletico-MG 2-0 and Corinthians 2-1, but consistency isn't their strong suit. At home, they're scoring just 1 goal per game, which ain't gonna set the world alight. Vitoria, meanwhile, are looking much more the business. They're 15th but have been picking up points nicely - 5 wins and 2 draws from their last 10. They've just beaten Mirassol 2-0 and had a cracking 0-0 draw with Palmeiras. Away from home, they're actually scoring more than at home (1.6 goals per game on the road), and they're keeping clean sheets half the time. Now, here's the interesting bit - Bragantino have a perfect home record against Vitoria historically (4 wins from 4). But current form often tells a different story, doesn't it? Vitoria are conceding fewer goals overall (1.0 per game vs Bragantino's 1.6), and they're grabbing 1.7 points per game recently compared to Bragantino's 1.2. The stats suggest this could be tight, with both teams expected to score around 1.3 goals. But given Vitoria's much better recent form and solid away performances, I reckon there's value in backing them to cause an upset.

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📝 Match Preview

Vitoria Ready to Bark Louder Than Expected
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:3.10
Expected Value:+17.8%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While most eyes might be on the home team, I've spotted something special brewing with our visiting puppies from Vitoria. Let me tell you why these underdogs have caught my attention! Looking at the recent form, Vitoria has been absolutely delightful to watch. They've collected 5 wins and 2 draws in their last 10 games, scoring 13 goals while keeping 5 clean sheets. That's a solid 50% clean sheet rate! Just look at their recent performances - a 2-0 victory over Mirassol (who are sitting pretty in 4th place), a 3-1 thrashing of Sport Recife, and most impressively, a 0-0 draw against Palmeiras. These little puppies are showing real bite! Meanwhile, RB Bragantino has been struggling lately. Despite their home advantage, they've only managed 4 wins in their last 10 games, scoring a mere 8 goals. Their recent form includes losses to Fortaleza (0-1), Flamengo (0-3), and they've been conceding 1.6 goals per game on average. Yes, they've had some bright moments like the 2-0 win over Atletico-MG, but consistency has been elusive. What really excites me about Vitoria is their defensive solidity. They're conceding just 1 goal per game recently, compared to Bragantino's 1.6. And away from home? They're scoring 1.6 goals per game! That's the kind of attacking prowess that can trouble any defense, even at home. Sure, the head-to-head record shows Bragantino has historically dominated at home against Vitoria, but form often trumps history in football. And right now, Vitoria's form is simply superior. With 1.70 points per game compared to Bragantino's 1.20, the visitors are clearly the team in better shape. The odds of 3.10 for an away win seem to underestimate Vitoria's current capabilities. They've shown they can compete with the best, and I believe they have what it takes to at least secure a positive result here. Sometimes the underdog's bark is indeed worse than their bite, and I think Vitoria is ready to surprise everyone! Key Points: • Vitoria's recent form is superior with 5 wins, 2 draws in last 10 games • Vitoria keeping clean sheets at 50% rate vs Bragantino's 30% • Vitoria scoring 1.3 goals per game vs Bragantino's 0.8 • Vitoria held Palmeiras to 0-0 draw and beat Mirassol 2-0 recently • Bragantino conceding 1.6 goals per game in recent matches • Vitoria's away form shows 40% win rate in last 5 away games Summary: I'm backing Vitoria here as they represent excellent value as underdogs. Their recent form, defensive solidity, and ability to score goals away from home make them an attractive proposition at 3.10. Sometimes the little puppies have the biggest hearts!

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