Skip to main content

Match analysis

Brazil flagBrazilSerie A

Bahia vs Vasco DA Gama

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time1:0HT 0–0

Match Timeline

35'
BahiaSantiago Ramos Mingo🟨
Yellow Card
45+1'
Vasco DA GamaCauan Barros🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Vasco DA GamaMatheus Franca🔄
Substitution 1 → David
48'
Vasco DA GamaRayan🟨
Yellow Card
68'
Vasco DA GamaDavid🟥
Red Card
70'
BahiaJean Lucas🔄
Substitution 1 → Michel Araujo
70'
BahiaEverton Ribeiro🔄
Substitution 2 → Tiago
70'
Vasco DA GamaN. Moreira🔄
Substitution 2 → Lucas Freitas
73'
BahiaErick Pulga⚽
Normal Goal → Ademir
78'
BahiaWillian Jose🔄
Substitution 3 → Cauly
82'
Vasco DA GamaHugo Moura🔄
Substitution 3 → Mateus Carvalho
82'
Vasco DA GamaRobert Renan🔄
Substitution 4 → P. Vegetti
84'
BahiaSantiago Ramos Mingo🟨
Yellow Card
84'
BahiaSantiago Ramos Mingo🟥
Red Card
84'
BahiaErick Pulga🔄
Substitution 4 → Caio Alexandre
87'
BahiaNicolas Acevedo🔄
Substitution 5 → Gabriel Xavier
87'
Vasco DA GamaCauan Barros🔄
Substitution 5 → Tche Tche
90+9'
Vasco DA GamaTchê Tchê🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal1
8Shots off Goal3
19Total Shots7
7Blocked Shots3
15Shots insidebox2
4Shots outsidebox5
10Fouls11
11Corner Kicks1
1Offsides0
55Ball Possession45
2Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
521Total passes430
452Passes accurate367
87Passes %85
2.33expected_goals0.35
1goals_prevented1

Tipster previews (4)

PajimonPajimonWon

Bahia's Home Fortress vs Struggling Vasco

The pickBahia win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.75
Model EV
+13.8%

Alright folks, let's break down this clash between Bahia and Vasco DA Gama! Looking at the table, Bahia sitting pretty in 7th with 53 points while Vasco languishes in 12th with just 42 points tells you a story right there. Now, here's where it gets interesting - Bahia's home…

Mr CertaintyMr CertaintyWon

Bahia's Home Fortress Faces Struggling Vasco

The pickBTTS No

Chance
72%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+29.6%

This Serie A clash presents a clear picture of contrasting fortunes, with Bahia's formidable home form pitted against Vasco DA Gama's recent struggles on the road. The data paints a compelling story that demands careful analysis. Bahia has transformed their home ground into a…

Value VinnyValue VinnyWon

Bahia's Home Fortress vs Vasco's Travel Woes

The pickBahia win

Chance
63%
Odds
1.75
Model EV
+10.3%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the mathematical reality here. Bahia have transformed their home ground into a statistical fortress - 80% win rate in their last five home matches, conceding just 0.2 goals per game. That's not just good; that's dominant. Meanwhile, Vasco…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

BahiaBahia

4W 1D 5L1.30 pts/game

Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama

5W 0D 5L1.50 pts/game

Per game

Bahia at home vs Vasco DA Gama away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+29Bahia
Venue edge
+173Bahia
Rating period
Match snapshot
Bahia versus Vasco DA Gama: long term Elo, before the match
BahiaBahiaHomeRatingVasco DA GamaVasco DA GamaAway
Strength
1,564Overall1,534
1,645Match venue1,472
1,645At home1,551
1,438Away1,472
Attack & defence
1,526Attack1,530
1,533Defence1,489
1,558Home attack1,531
1,462Away attack1,467
1,614Home defence1,518
1,468Away defence1,492
Match profile
1,317Goal environment1,400
1,342Home goals1,472
1,475Away goals1,428
1,523Possession1,525
Specialist ratings
1,497Set-piece attack1,505
1,497Set-piece defence1,505
1,556Close games1,513
1,559Winning margin1,536

Match venue compares Bahia at home with Vasco DA Gama away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

BahiaBahia1:1

Starting XI

96RonaldoG
46Luciano JubaD
6Jean LucasM
16Erick PulgaF
21Santiago Ramos MingoD
26Nicolás AcevedoM
12Willian JoséF
4KanuD
10Everton RibeiroM
7AdemirF
13Santiago AriasD

Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama1:1

Starting XI

1Léo JardimG
6Lucas PitonD
25Hugo MouraM
17Nuno MoreiraM
77RayanF
30Robert RenanD
88Cauan BarrosM
9Matheus FrançaM
46Carlos CuestaD
11Andrés GómezM
96Paulo HenriqueD