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Match analysis

Brazil flagBrazilSerie A

Atletico-MG vs Flamengo

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time1:1HT 1–0

Match Timeline

34'
Atletico-MGBernard⚽
Normal Goal → Dudu
46'
Atletico-MGVitor Hugo🔄
Substitution 1 → Ruan Tressoldi
46'
FlamengoWallace Yan🔄
Substitution 1 → Bruno Henrique
53'
FlamengoEvertton Araujo🔄
Substitution 2 → Jorginho
53'
FlamengoJ. Carrascal🔄
Substitution 3 → G. de Arrascaeta
54'
Atletico-MGNatanael🟨
Yellow Card
56'
Atletico-MGNatanael🔄
Substitution 2 → I. Roman
56'
Atletico-MGHulk🔄
Substitution 3 → Rony
67'
Atletico-MGDudu🔄
Substitution 4 → Caio Paulista
67'
FlamengoSamuel Lino🔄
Substitution 4 → Everton
68'
Atletico-MGEverson🟨
Yellow Card
74'
FlamengoE. Pulgar🟨
Yellow Card
74'
FlamengoLuiz Araujo🔄
Substitution 5 → G. Plata
78'
Atletico-MGBernard🟨
Yellow Card
83'
Atletico-MGBernard🔄
Substitution 5 → Reinier
86'
FlamengoBruno Henrique🟨
Yellow Card
90'
FlamengoBruno Henrique⚽
Normal Goal → Danilo
90+4'
Atletico-MGRony🟥
Red Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal7
8Total Shots15
1Blocked Shots4
6Shots insidebox12
2Shots outsidebox3
9Fouls8
2Corner Kicks4
2Offsides2
28Ball Possession72
3Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves3
284Total passes731
219Passes accurate669
77Passes %92
1.22expected_goals2.14
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceYoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Flamengo's Force Strong Against Atletico-MG

The pickFlamengo win

Chance
55%
Odds
2.04
Model EV
+12.2%

In the grand theater of Brazilian football, a tale of two teams unfolds. Flamengo, perched atop the Serie A mountain with 71 points from 34 games, faces Atletico-MG, who find themselves in the shadows of 11th place with merely 44 points. The force, it seems, is not equally…

Mr CertaintyMr CertaintyLost

Flamengo's Perfect Record Favors Away Victory

The pickFlamengo win

Chance
70%
Odds
2.04
Model EV
+42.8%

This matchup presents a clear case of league leadership versus mid-table mediocrity, with historical dominance playing a crucial role. Flamengo sits atop the Serie A table with 71 points, showcasing their superiority throughout the season with 21 victories and an impressive +47…

PajimonPajimonLost

Flamengo to Continue Dominance Atletico-MG

The pickFlamengo win

Chance
55%
Odds
2.04
Model EV
+12.2%

Listen up boets! This is a proper mismatch if I've ever seen one. Flamengo are sitting pretty at the top of the table with 71 points - 27 points ahead of these okes from Atletico-MG who are languishing in 11th spot. That's like the difference between a proper braai and burnt…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Atletico-MGAtletico-MG

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

FlamengoFlamengo

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Per game

Atletico-MG at home vs Flamengo away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+175Flamengo
Venue edge
+30Flamengo
Rating period
Match snapshot
Atletico-MG versus Flamengo: long term Elo, before the match
Atletico-MGAtletico-MGHomeRatingFlamengoFlamengoAway
Strength
1,543Overall1,719
1,619Match venue1,649
1,619At home1,706
1,488Away1,649
Attack & defence
1,477Attack1,625
1,561Defence1,656
1,550Home attack1,606
1,421Away attack1,590
1,579Home defence1,644
1,555Away defence1,620
Match profile
1,580Goal environment1,613
1,645Home goals1,572
1,435Away goals1,542
1,507Possession1,549
Specialist ratings
1,502Set-piece attack1,532
1,502Set-piece defence1,532
1,536Close games1,604
1,547Winning margin1,757

Match venue compares Atletico-MG at home with Flamengo away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Atletico-MGAtletico-MG1:1

Starting XI

22EversonG
6J. AlonsoD
13Guilherme AranaM
92DuduF
7HulkF
14Vitor HugoD
5AlexsanderM
11BernardF
26Renzo SaraviaD
21A. FrancoM
2NatanaelM

FlamengoFlamengo1:1

Starting XI

1A. RossiG
6Ayrton LucasD
5E. PulgarM
16Samuel LinoM
64Wallace YanF
4Leo PereiraD
52Evertton AraujoM
15J. CarrascalM
13DaniloD
7Luiz AraujoM
22Emerson RoyalD