Mon, 3 Nov 2025, 01:45
Full Time

Match Timeline

21'
Son Heung-Min
Normal Goal → D. Bouanga
25'
D. Bouanga
Normal Goal → Son Heung-Min
34'
Brendan Hines-Ike🟨
Yellow Card
44'
D. Bouanga
Normal Goal
45'
D. Pereira
Penalty
45+4'
Guilherme Biro
Penalty confirmed
45+5'
Ryan Porteous🟨
Yellow Card
46'
O. Svatok🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Cascante
46'
J. Gallagher🔄
Substitution 2 → Z. Kolmanic
46'
R. Taylor🔄
Substitution 3 → C. Fodrey
53'
Timothy Tillman🟨
Yellow Card
63'
Ilie Sánchez🟨
Yellow Card
68'
Jailson🔄
Substitution 1 → Nkosi Tafari
68'
S. Palencia🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Smolyakov
68'
N. Ordaz🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Moran
68'
M. Desler🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Obrian
68'
I. Sanchez🔄
Substitution 5 → B. Sabovic
71'
Andrew Moran🟨
Yellow Card
77'
Žan Kolmanič🟨
Yellow Card
79'
D. Bouanga🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Choiniere
81'
Owen Wolff🟨
Yellow Card
81'
Eddie Segura🟨
Yellow Card
88'
Son Heung-Min🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Ebobisse
90'
J. Ebobisse
Normal Goal → M. Delgado

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal7
8Total Shots18
0Blocked Shots6
7Shots insidebox14
1Shots outsidebox4
15Fouls12
2Corner Kicks2
3Offsides0
52Ball Possession48
4Yellow Cards4
1Goalkeeper Saves2
507Total passes472
442Passes accurate411
87Passes %87
2.41expected_goals2.47
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

AustinAustin1:1

Starting XI

1H. Lloris1:1
4E. Segura2:1
8M. Delgado3:1
99D. Bouanga4:1
5R. Porteous2:2
16Jailson3:2
7Son Heung-Min4:2
14S. Palencia2:3
11T. Tillman3:3
27N. Ordaz4:3
24R. Hollingshead3:4

Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC1:1

Starting XI

1B. Stuver1:1
29Guilherme Biro2:1
17J. Gallagher3:1
33O. Wolff4:1
4B. Hines-Ike2:2
8D. Pereira3:2
10M. Uzuni4:2
5O. Svatok2:3
6I. Sanchez3:3
16R. Taylor4:3
3M. Desler3:4

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Austin
Austin
Form: L-L-W-L-L
Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles FC
Form: W-D-L-W-W
Record
3 W
1 D
6 L
7 W
1 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
1.1
Scored
vs
2.3
Scored
1.7
Conceded
vs
1.0
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
80%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.3
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.5
Away:1.8
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:2.6
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.2

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1527
Average
1643
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1559
↑ Momentum (+32)
1645
↑ Momentum (+3)
Expected Outcome
24%
Home Win
29%
Draw
47%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1463
Attack
1560
1514
Defence
1578
Recent Form
1442
Attack
1557
1493
Defence
1583
Post-Match Changes
-11
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

LAFC to Feast in Texas?
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.65
Expected Value:+7.2%

Right then, let's get down to business! Austin hosting LAFC in what should be a cracker of a match. Looking at the table, there's a massive gap between these sides - Austin sitting 6th with 47 points while LAFC are flying high in 3rd with 60 points. That's a proper quality difference right there. Austin's recent form has been shocking, boet. Only 3 wins from their last 10 games, and they're leaking goals like a sieve - 17 conceded in that period. They just lost 1-2 to LAFC a few days ago, and before that got beaten by San Jose. The only bright spot was that 1-0 home win against LAFC on October 12, but that looks like a bit of a fluke given everything else. LAFC, on the other hand, are absolutely cooking! 7 wins from their last 10, scoring 23 goals - that's some serious firepower. They're averaging 2.3 goals per game and only letting in 1.0. Their away form is particularly impressive - 60% win rate on the road and scoring 2.6 goals per game away from home. That's the kind of form that gets the BBQ sizzling! The head-to-head shows LAFC generally dominates this fixture (5 wins to 2), but interestingly both teams scored in their last two meetings. Austin won 1-0 at home, then LAFC won 2-1 away. So both defenses have been breached recently. Looking at the shooting stats, LAFC are creating way more chances - 14 shots per game compared to Austin's 8.25. They're getting more shots on target too (5.7 vs 2.88). Austin's defense has only kept 1 clean sheet in their last 10 games, which is worrying for their fans. The goal expectancy has LAFC at 2.05 and Austin at 1.23, suggesting we should see some goals. Both teams to Score looks tempting here - Austin's defense is generous while LAFC's attack is lethal. Plus, both teams scored in 80% of Austin's recent games and 60% of LAFC's. With LAFC in such rich form and Austin struggling defensively, I'm expecting goals from both sides. The odds of 1.65 for BTTS Yes look pretty decent value given the recent head-to-head and both teams' scoring/conceding patterns.

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📝 Match Preview

Goal Fest Expected When LAFC Visits Leaky Austin Defense
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.75
Expected Value:+5.0%

Get ready for some serious goal action, folks! The Big O is getting excited about this matchup, and you should too. Los Angeles FC comes to town with their offensive guns blazing, averaging a whopping 2.30 goals per game over their last 10 matches. They've been absolutely ruthless on the road too, pumping in 2.60 goals per away game - that's the kind of production that makes my heart race! On the other side, Austin has been about as sturdy as a paper umbrella in a hurricane. They're leaking goals at 1.70 per game recently, and at home, they're conceding 1.50 goals per match. Their recent form reads like a horror story: 1-2 loss to LAFC, 2-1 loss to San Jose, 1-3 thrashing by St. Louis City. The only clean sheet in their last 10 games came in that 1-0 win over LAFC, but let's be real - that was the exception, not the rule. What really gets my motor running is the goal expectancy here - we're looking at 3.28 expected goals! LAFC's away attack (2.60 goals per game) against Austin's home defense (1.50 conceded per game) is a recipe for fireworks. Plus, both teams have been finding the net regularly - Austin sees BTTS in 80% of their recent games, while LAFC is at 60%. Sure, the recent head-to-head has been a bit tame with some 1-0 results, but LAFC is in red-hot form right now, and Austin's defense is begging to be punished. The Big O smells goals, and lots of them!

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📝 Match Preview

Austin Ready to Bark Again Against LAFC
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:3.96
Expected Value:+10.9%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While everyone's eyes are on the high-flying Los Angeles FC sitting pretty in 3rd place with 60 points, my attention is drawn to the little puppies from Austin. Sure, Austin may be languishing in 6th place with 47 points, and yes, their recent form shows just 3 wins in 10 games, but let me tell you why these underdogs have some serious bite! Looking at the recent head-to-head history, Austin actually beat LAFC 1-0 at home on October 12th - that's just a few weeks ago! And while LAFC got revenge 2-1 in the away fixture on October 30th, that was a closely contested match. Austin's home form tells an interesting story too - they've won 50% of their last 4 home games, including that precious victory over LAFC and a 2-1 win against Seattle Sounders. Now, LAFC comes in with impressive stats - 7 wins in their last 10 games, scoring 2.3 goals per game while conceding just 1.0. But here's where it gets interesting for us underdog lovers: LAFC's away defense, while solid, does concede 1.2 goals per game on the road. And Austin, despite their struggles, have shown they can find the net against top teams. The odds makers have Austin priced at 3.96 for the home win, implying roughly a 25% chance. But historically, Austin has won 33% of their home matches against LAFC! That's the kind of hidden value that gets my tail wagging. When you factor in their recent 1-0 home victory over this same LAFC side, those odds start looking mighty tempting. Austin's recent results show they can compete - they've taken points off quality teams like Seattle Sounders and Sporting Kansas City. Their home goals per game average of 1.25, combined with LAFC's away concession rate of 1.2, suggests goals could flow for the home side. This is exactly the type of situation where the underdog has more punch than the odds suggest. Austin has proven they can handle LAFC on their home patch, and at nearly 4/1, that's value worth barking about!

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📝 Match Preview

LAFC Set to Dominate Struggling Austin
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.95
Expected Value:+32.6%

This matchup presents a clear contrast in form and quality. Los Angeles FC arrives in excellent touch, having won 7 of their last 10 matches (70% win rate) and demonstrating superior attacking prowess with 2.30 goals per game. Their away form is particularly impressive, averaging 2.60 goals per game on the road. Austin, meanwhile, has been struggling significantly with only 3 wins in their last 10 matches (30% win rate). Their defensive record is concerning, conceding 1.70 goals per game overall and 1.50 at home. They've managed just one clean sheet in their last 10 games, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities. The head-to-head record heavily favors Los Angeles FC, who have won 5 of the 9 meetings between these sides. Most tellingly, LAFC defeated Austin 2-1 just four days ago, demonstrating their current superiority. Austin's home record against LAFC stands at a modest 1-1-1. Statistical advantages further support LAFC's case - they average 14 shots per game compared to Austin's 8.25, and 5.7 shots on target versus Austin's 2.88. The goal expectancy model projects LAFC to score 2.05 goals against Austin's 1.23. While Austin did manage a 1-0 home victory over LAFC on October 12th, their overall form trajectory and defensive issues suggest this was an outlier rather than a new pattern. LAFC's consistent performance against various opponents, including convincing wins over St. Louis City (3-0) and Real Salt Lake (4-1), indicates they're operating at a higher level. Given the stark difference in recent form, attacking output, and historical head-to-head dominance, Los Angeles FC appears positioned to secure another victory.

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📝 Match Preview

Wisdom of the Force: Austin vs LAFC Battle
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.65
Expected Value:+12.2%

In the grand tapestry of Major League Soccer, much like the Force, form reveals the true nature of teams. Austin, sitting 6th with 47 points, finds themselves in a period of struggle - only 3 victories in their last 10 encounters, gathering but 1.00 point per game. Their recent journey has been fraught with defeat, losing 6 of 10, including a 2-1 setback against these very opponents just days ago. Los Angeles FC, however, flows with the power of the dark side - relentless and dominant. Third in their conference with 60 points, they have claimed 7 victories in their last 10 battles, accumulating 2.20 points per game. Their attack has been formidable, scoring 23 goals while conceding merely 10 in this period. The recent 2-1 victory over Austin was no fluke, but part of a pattern that includes impressive triumphs like the 4-1 dismantling of Real Salt Lake and the 4-2 conquest of San Jose. The head-to-head history speaks volumes - Los Angeles FC has emerged victorious in 5 of 9 meetings, with Austin managing only 2 wins. Yet the Force works in mysterious ways, for Austin did defeat LAFC 1-0 on October 12th, showing that even the mightiest can fall. Austin's defensive frailty cannot be ignored - they concede 1.70 goals per game, with only one clean sheet in their last 10 matches. Yet they do find the net, scoring 1.10 goals per game. Los Angeles FC arrives with offensive firepower, averaging 2.30 goals per game, but they too are not impenetrable, allowing 1.00 goals per game. The wisdom of the data suggests both sides will score. Austin has seen both teams score in 80% of their recent matches, while Los Angeles FC has experienced this in 60% of theirs. The last meeting ended 2-1, continuing a pattern of attacking exchanges. Remember, young bettor: "In betting, as in life, the path to victory is not always clear, but the signs, when read correctly, illuminate the way."

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📝 Match Preview

LAFC Visit Austin: Goals on the Cards?
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.65
Expected Value:+7.2%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this MLS clash between Austin and Los Angeles FC. The lads from Austin are having a right old time of it lately - not in a good way, mind you. They've only managed 3 wins in their last 10 games, shipping 17 goals in the process. That's nearly two goals conceded per game, which is about as solid as a chocolate teapot. Austin's recent form reads like a proper horror story: losses to LAFC (2-1), San Jose (2-1), St. Louis (1-3), Nashville (1-2), and Real Salt Lake (3-1). They did manage a cheeky 1-0 win over LAFC earlier in October, but let's be honest, that looks more like a blip than the norm. They've only kept one clean sheet in their last 10 matches - that's not exactly defensive fortress stuff, is it? Now, Los Angeles FC are a different kettle of fish altogether. Sitting pretty in 3rd place with 60 points, they've been banging in the goals for fun. Seven wins in their last 10 games, scoring 23 times while only letting in 10. They're averaging 2.3 goals per game, which is proper tasty stuff. Their away form's been decent too - 60% win rate on the road. The head-to-head tells its own story - LAFC have won 5 of the 9 meetings between these sides. They just beat Austin 2-1 a few days ago, and before that, Austin nicked a 1-0. But here's the interesting bit: both teams have scored in 4 of those 9 meetings, and recently it's been quite open. Looking at the stats, Austin might be struggling, but they're still finding the net. Both teams have scored in 80% of Austin's recent games and 60% of LAFC's. With Austin's leaky defence and LAFC's attacking prowess, we could be in for some goals. The odds for both teams to score are sitting at 1.65, which looks about right given the patterns we're seeing. Austin concede for fun, LAFC score for fun - simple maths, really.

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