Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 01:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

10'
L. Messi
Normal Goal → T. Allende
34'
Baltasar Rodriguez🟨
Yellow Card
39'
L. Messi
Normal Goal → M. Silvetti
42'
Rodrigo de Paul🟨
Yellow Card
45'
Walker Zimmerman🟨
Yellow Card
46'
P. Yazbek🔄
Substitution 1 → G. Brugman
46'
J. Bauer🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Lovitz
46'
M. Corcoran🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Shaffelburg
60'
B. Rodriguez🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Segovia
67'
Jack Maher🟨
Yellow Card
69'
Mateo Silvetti🟨
Yellow Card
73'
T. Allende
Normal Goal
75'
M. Silvetti🔄
Substitution 2 → Y. Bright
75'
A. Muyl🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Bunbury
76'
T. Allende
Normal Goal → L. Messi
77'
Lionel Messi🟨
Yellow Card
79'
Teal Bunbury🟨
Yellow Card
80'
Daniel Lovitz🟨
Yellow Card
83'
S. Surridge🔄
Substitution 5 → T. Boyd
90+1'
T. Allende🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Aviles

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal4
11Total Shots11
4Blocked Shots3
3Shots insidebox6
8Shots outsidebox5
16Fouls21
0Corner Kicks6
1Offsides2
50Ball Possession50
4Yellow Cards4
4Goalkeeper Saves1
432Total passes429
374Passes accurate373
87Passes %87
2.12expected_goals0.48
-1goals_prevented-1

Starting Lineups

Inter MiamiInter Miami1:1

Starting XI

34R. RiosG
18J. AlbaD
5S. BusquetsM
11B. RodriguezM
10L. MessiF
32N. AllenD
7R. de PaulM
24M. SilvettiM
37M. FalconD
21T. AllendeM
17I. FrayD

Nashville SCNashville SC1:1

Starting XI

1J. WillisG
22J. BauerD
16M. CorcoranM
10H. MukhtarF
5J. MaherD
20E. TagsethM
9S. SurridgeF
25W. ZimmermanD
8P. YazbekM
19A. MuylF
31A. NajarD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Inter Miami
Inter Miami
Form: L-W-W-D-W
Nashville SC
Nashville SC
Form: W-L-L-D-W
Record
6 W
2 D
2 L
4 W
1 D
5 L
Goals Per Game
2.7
Scored
vs
1.7
Scored
1.5
Conceded
vs
1.9
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
0%
BTTS
80%
BTTS
90%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.7
Away:2.8
Conceded
Home:1.7
Away:1.3
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:1.4
Conceded
Home:1.8
Away:2.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1612
Good
1569
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1669
↑ Momentum (+57)
1627
↑ Momentum (+58)
Expected Outcome
38%
Home Win
32%
Draw
30%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1652
Attack
1524
1483
Defence
1527
Recent Form
1720
Attack
1556
1482
Defence
1518
Post-Match Changes
+7
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Miami's Home Fortress vs Nashville's Travel Woes
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.50
Expected Value:+5.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this MLS showdown between Inter Miami and Nashville SC. Miami are sitting pretty in 3rd spot with 65 points, while Nashville are lagging behind in 6th on 54 points - there's a proper gap between these two sides. Miami have been banging them in at home this season, netting 2.67 goals per game on their own patch and winning two-thirds of their home matches. They've been in decent nick lately too, putting four past New England and NYCFC, and even smashing five past Nashville in that 5-2 thriller back in October. Mind you, they did have a bit of a wobble with that 3-5 loss to Chicago Fire and then got turned over 2-1 by Nashville in the most recent meeting. Nashville, on the other hand, have been proper shocking on their travels. Just 20% win rate away from home, and they're shipping goals for fun - two per game on average. The lads haven't kept a single clean sheet in their last 10 matches, which tells you all you need to know about their defensive solidity. They did manage to nick a 2-1 win over Miami last time out, but that's been a rare bright spot in what's been a dodgy run of form. When these two have met, it's usually goal-fest time. Eight of the nine previous meetings have seen both teams score, and eight have gone over 2.5 goals. The last three encounters alone have produced 16 goals between them - proper end-to-end stuff! Miami's home form and Nashville's away struggles point to one outcome here. The odds of 1.50 for a home win look about right for a side that's historically dominated this fixture and has the home advantage to boot. Nashville's defensive record on the road is shocking, and Miami should have enough to exploit that.

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📝 Match Preview

Nashville SC Ready to Bite Again Against Miami
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:5.75
Expected Value:+26.5%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While everyone will be flocking to back the high-flying Inter Miami at home, my attention is drawn to the plucky Nashville SC - the little puppy that just showed it has some serious bite! Let's talk about that recent head-to-head history, shall we? Nashville SC just beat Inter Miami 2-1 on November 1st! Yes, you read that right - they traveled to Miami's backyard and walked away with all three points. This wasn't some fluke either; they've been competitive in all their recent meetings, with three of the last four encounters seeing both teams find the net. Now, I know what you're thinking - Nashville's away form looks concerning at just 20% wins. But here's where the hidden value shines through! They're scoring 1.4 goals per game on the road, and more importantly, they've seen both teams score in a whopping 90% of their last 10 matches. This team doesn't just roll over and play dead. Inter Miami, despite their lofty league position, has been conceding 1.5 goals per game at home this season. That's not exactly fortress-like defending, is it? They've kept clean sheets in only 20% of their recent matches, which means Nashville's attacking persistence could very well pay dividends again. The odds of 5.75 for Nashville SC to win might seem long to most, but to me, they represent beautiful value. We're talking about a team that just proved they can beat this opponent, has a knack for finding the net even in tough away games, and is facing a defense that's been far from impenetrable at home. Sometimes the best value lies in backing the team that everyone else has written off, especially when they've recently shown they can compete toe-to-toe with the favorite!

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📝 Match Preview

Inter Miami vs Nashville SC: High-Scoring Affair Expected
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.50
Expected Value:+27.5%

This matchup between Inter Miami and Nashville SC presents a fascinating study in contrasting fortunes and offensive tendencies. Inter Miami, sitting third in the Eastern Conference with 65 points, has demonstrated exceptional attacking prowess this season, averaging 2.7 goals per game over their last 10 matches. Their home form has been particularly impressive, with a 66.67% win rate and 2.67 goals per game at their venue. Nashville SC, while sitting sixth with 54 points, has struggled defensively on the road, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per away game. Their recent form shows vulnerability at the back, having failed to keep a single clean sheet in their last 10 matches. However, they've shown they can score, finding the net in 90% of their recent games. The head-to-head record heavily favors goals, with 8 out of 9 previous meetings seeing both teams score and over 2.5 total goals. Recent encounters have been particularly high-scoring: a 5-2 Inter Miami victory, a 3-1 win, and most recently a 2-1 Nashville triumph. This pattern suggests another offensive showcase is likely. Inter Miami's attacking statistics are formidable, averaging 14.67 shots per game with 7.22 on target, while Nashville manages 13.38 shots with 5.38 on target. Both teams maintain high possession rates (58.2% for Miami, 53.6% for Nashville), indicating an open, attacking style of play. Given Nashville's defensive struggles on the road (0% clean sheet rate in last 10) and Inter Miami's consistent scoring at home, combined with the historical pattern of both teams finding the net in their encounters, the statistics point strongly toward another goal-filled affair.

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📝 Match Preview

Miami's Force Strong Against Nashville's Defensive Void
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.50
Expected Value:+12.5%

In the grand tapestry of Major League Soccer, patterns emerge, you see. Inter Miami, sitting third with 65 points, has woven a season of strength at home. Their 2.00 points per game in recent matches speaks of consistency, while their 2.70 goals scored per game reveals an attacking philosophy that flows like the Force itself. Nashville SC, however, travels to this battlefield with shadows following. Six points behind in the standings, their recent form shows 1.30 points per game - a number that whispers of struggle. Most telling, zero clean sheets in their last ten matches. A defense without clean sheets is like a Jedi without his lightsaber - vulnerable and exposed. The head-to-head history teaches us much. Nine meetings have passed, with Inter Miami victorious six times. At home, their dominance is absolute - four wins, one draw, no losses. Recent encounters have been goal festivals: 5-2, 3-1, and most recently 2-1 to Nashville. But even in defeat, Inter Miami found the net - a pattern that reveals itself repeatedly. Inter Miami's attacking statistics paint a picture of superiority. 14.67 shots per game compared to Nashville's 13.38, with better accuracy (50.5% vs 42.2%). Their possession control (58.2% vs 53.6%) suggests they will dictate the rhythm of this contest. Nashville's away form concerns me deeply - only 20% win rate on their travels, conceding 2.00 goals per game away from home. The numbers speak of goals coming. Inter Miami scores freely at home (2.67 per game), while Nashville cannot keep opponents out (1.90 conceded per game away). In their last ten matches combined, both teams have scored in 17 of 20 games - a pattern that suggests the path of wisdom lies in expecting goals from both sides. Remember, the result of one match does not define the truth. Nashville's recent 2-1 victory was but one moment in time. The larger pattern shows Inter Miami's superiority, especially on their home ground where they have lost only twice in ten matches. Key Points: - Inter Miami dominant at home: 66.67% win rate, 2.67 goals per game - Nashville defensive crisis: 0 clean sheets in last 10 matches - Head-to-head heavily favors Inter Miami at home: 4-1-0 record - Both teams scoring pattern: 80% for Inter Miami, 90% for Nashville in recent games - Recent meetings high-scoring: 8 of 9 over 2.5 goals - Nashville's away form poor: 20% win rate, 2.00 goals conceded per game The path forward becomes clear when you quiet your mind and listen to the data. Both teams to score emerges as the wise choice - it honors Nashville's ability to find the net while respecting Inter Miami's home dominance and attacking prowess.

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