Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 23:30
Full Time

Match Timeline

48'
W. Abou Ali
Normal Goal → M. Arfsten
53'
W. Abou Ali
Normal Goal → D. Chambost
58'
W. Reilly🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Sanchez
58'
T. Muyumba🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Fortune
60'
A. Miranchuk
Normal Goal
61'
M. Arfsten
Normal Goal → A. Herrera
68'
M. Arfsten🔄
Substitution 1 → H. Picard
68'
A. Gomes🔄
Substitution 2 → T. Habroune
74'
S. Alzate🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Lobjanidze
74'
T. Jacob🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Edwards
84'
G. Martino🟨
Yellow Card
85'
D. Chambost🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Bangoura
86'
D. Rossi🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Thiare
90'
A. Herrera🔄
Substitution 5 → N. Akhundzade
90'
E. Mihaj🟨
Yellow Card
90+2'
E. Baez🟨
Yellow Card
90+3'
D. Chambost🟨
Yellow Card
90+3'
G. Martino🟥
Red Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal7
3Shots off Goal7
7Total Shots16
0Blocked Shots2
3Shots insidebox9
4Shots outsidebox7
9Fouls9
4Corner Kicks8
3Offsides4
58Ball Possession42
2Yellow Cards1
4Goalkeeper Saves4
593Total passes424
525Passes accurate372
89Passes %88
1.24expected_goals1.52
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC1:1

Starting XI

1Lucas HoyosG
3Elías BáezD
8Tristan MuyumbaM
10Miguel AlmirónM
9Emmanuel Latte LathF
4Enea MihajD
28William ReillyM
5Stian GregersenD
7Steven AlzateM
55Tomás JacobD
59Aleksei MiranchukM

Columbus CrewColumbus Crew1:1

Starting XI

28Patrick SchulteG
18Malte AmundsenD
27Maximilian ArfstenM
10Diego RossiF
25Sean ZawadzkiD
7Dylan ChambostM
9Wessam Abou AliF
4Rudy CamachoD
20André GomesM
31Steven MoreiraD
2Marcelo HerreraM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Atlanta United FC
Atlanta United FC
Form: D-W-L-L-L
Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew
Form: L-L-D-D-L
Record
2 W
5 D
3 L
1 W
3 D
6 L
Goals Per Game
1.1
Scored
vs
1.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
40%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.4
Away:0.3
Conceded
Home:0.7
Away:1.7
Scored
Home:1.3
Away:0.9
Conceded
Home:0.3
Away:1.6

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1498
Average
1606
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1471
↓ Momentum (-27)
1584
↓ Momentum (-23)
Expected Outcome
25%
Home Win
29%
Draw
46%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1538
Attack
1540
1465
Defence
1499
Recent Form
1532
Attack
1517
1461
Defence
1483
Post-Match Changes
-13
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Atlanta United FC vs Columbus Crew - Betting Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.70
Expected Value:+19.0%
Confidence:7

Listen closely, young padawan. The path of the ball is uncertain, but the numbers do not lie. Strong is the force of the data. Careful you must be with your bets. The history between these two is loud. Ten times they have met, and seven times the goals flowed freely. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 70% of their encounters. A high-scoring tradition, it is. The last meeting ended 4-5, a chaotic battle of fire and fury. Such history, you cannot ignore. Look at the form, you must. Atlanta United FC at home scores 1.43 goals per game, concedes 0.71. Columbus Crew away, they score 0.86 and concede 1.57. Combined, the expected goals are high. The defense of the Crew is leaking, like a bucket with a hole. Atlanta's attack is sharp, but the Crew's defense is weak. The odds say 1.70 for Over 2.5 Goals. The implied probability is 58.8%. But the history says 70%. The edge is clear, 11.2% value there is. Do not gamble blindly, but follow the signs. The market consensus fair probability is 55.26%. The bookmaker's odds are generous. A wise bettor sees the value. Trust the H2H record, for it speaks louder than the Poisson model. Key Points: - H2H: 7 out of 10 matches had Over 2.5 Goals (70%). - Atlanta Home: 1.43 Goals Scored Per Game. - Columbus Away: 1.57 Goals Conceded Per Game. - Last Meeting: 4-5 (9 total goals). - Value: 1.70 odds offer significant edge over fair probability. The Force is strong with this one. Over 2.5 Goals is the choice.

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