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Match analysis

USAMajor League Soccer

Nashville SC vs New York City FC

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Major League Soccer fixture.

Match Timeline

16'
J. Palacios⚽
Normal Goal → C. Espinoza
23'
N. Mercau
Penalty
25'
K. Trewin🟨
Yellow Card
35'
Unknown Player⚽
Goal Disallowed - video review
49'
M. Woledzi⚽
Normal Goal → B. Acosta
65'
A. Qasem🟨
Yellow Card
66'
M. Jones🔄
Substitution 1 → H. Wolf
66'
A. Farnos🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Shore
72'
A. Qasem🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Surridge
78'
A. Perea🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Carrizo
79'
W. Madrigal🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Muyl
79'
B. Acosta🔄
Substitution 3 → C. Brunet
85'
N. Cavallo🔄
Substitution 4 → S. Reid
85'
K. Trewin🔄
Substitution 5 → K. Pierre
86'
C. Espinoza🟨
Yellow Card
89'
C. Espinoza🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Bauer

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal2
12Total Shots7
3Blocked Shots1
7Shots insidebox5
5Shots outsidebox2
11Fouls12
6Corner Kicks3
2Offsides0
48Ball Possession52
2Yellow Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
448Total passes490
395Passes accurate426
88Passes %87
0.75expected_goals1.36
-1.36goals_prevented-1.36

Tipster previews (5)

OracleWon

Oracle's MLS Preview: Nashville SC vs New York City FC

The pickNashville SC win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+12.4%

The tapestry of Major League Soccer reveals its patterns to those who observe with patience. At present, the ledger of Nashville SC stands illuminated at the summit, thirty points gathered from thirteen contests, a rhythm of two points per game that separates them from the…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Nashville SC

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

New York City FC

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Per game

Nashville SC at home vs New York City FC away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Major League Soccer

Overall edge
+51Nashville SC
Venue edge
+74Nashville SC
Rating period
Match snapshot
Nashville SC versus New York City FC: long term Elo, before the match
Nashville SCHomeRatingNew York City FCAway
Strength
1,599Overall1,548
1,613Match venue1,538
1,613At home1,556
1,490Away1,538
Attack & defence
1,543Attack1,497
1,574Defence1,565
1,592Home attack1,536
1,429Away attack1,441
1,566Home defence1,533
1,570Away defence1,597
Match profile
1,512Goal environment1,990
1,617Home goals1,887
1,395Away goals1,603
1,513Possession1,527
Specialist ratings
1,532Set-piece attack1,469
1,531Set-piece defence1,470
1,519Close games1,536
1,627Winning margin1,553

Match venue compares Nashville SC at home with New York City FC away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Nashville SCNashville SC1:1

Starting XI

99B. SchwakeG
2D. LovitzD
16M. CorcoranM
37A. QasemM
10H. MukhtarF
3M. WoledziD
6B. AcostaM
41W. MadrigalM
4J. PalaciosD
7C. EspinozaM
27R. Baker-WhitingD

New York City FCNew York City FC1:1

Starting XI

49M. FreeseG
2N. CavalloD
8A. PereaM
88M. JonesM
7N. MercauF
34Raul GustavoD
5K. TrewinM
87A. FarnosM
13Thiago MartinsD
26A. OjedaM
24T. GrayD